CVS Caremark After Earnings: Solid Returns Ahead

Source: CVS Caremark.

CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS  ) reported sound financial performance for the first quarter of 2014, even if earnings came in below analysts' expectations. The company is outperforming competitors such as Walgreen (NASDAQ: WBA  ) and Rite Aid (NYSE: RAD  ) , both over the last several years and in recent months. However, when comparing valuation ratios for CVS Caremark versus Walgreen and Rite Aid, the stock looks attractively valued. CVS Caremark looks well positioned for solid returns in the years ahead.

Healthy performance
Sales during the first quarter of 2014 increased by 6.3% to $32.69 billion, marginally above Wall Street estimates of $32.54 billion for the quarter. Earnings per share came in below expectations, though, as the company made $1.02 in adjusted earnings per share versus an average forecast of $1.04 per share for the period.

It's worth noting that this still represents a big increase of 22.5% in adjusted earnings per share versus the same quarter in the prior year, quite an impressive performance for a big company in a mature industry such as CVS Caremark. 

Besides, CVS was affected by harsh weather conditions and a weak flu season during the quarter, and this had a transitory negative impact on performance.

Revenues in the retail pharmacy segment increased by a lackluster 2.7% during the quarter, with same-store sales growing 1.4%. While pharmacy same-store sales increased by 3.8% during the period, front-end same-store sales were 3.8% lower, and this was the weakest spot in the report.

On the other hand, the pharmacy services segment was remarkably strong, with sales growing by 10% to $20.2 billion during the quarter. This segment is not only important in terms of financial contribution for CVS Caremark, but it also has big strategic advantages for the company in areas such as vertical integration, economies of scale, and overall competitive strength.

CVS Caremark reiterated its guidance for 2014, with total sales expected to increase by between 5.25% and 6.5% and adjusted earnings per share forecast to grow by 10.25% to 13.75% during the year. In spite of a weaker-than-expected first quarter, management seems confident of the company's ability to deliver solid performance in the rest of the year.

Growth and valuation
CVS has materially outgrown competitors such as Walgreen and Rite Aid over the last several years, and the company continues to outperform according to recent financial reports.

CVS Revenue (TTM) Chart

CVS Revenue (TTM) data. Source: YCharts.

Walgreen announced a sales increase of 4.5% in March to $6.43 billion, and total comparable-store sales grew by 3.5% during the month, but Walgreen was also affected by an unusually cold winter that hurt front-end sales. Total front-end sales fell by 2.6%, while comparable-store front-end sales decreased by 3.4% during the month.

Rite Aid has been implementing a remarkable turnaround over the last several quarters, and the company is clearly moving in the right direction when it comes to streamlining operations in order to improve profitability. However, Rite Aid is no match to CVS Caremark when it comes to sales growth.

Rite Aid announced an increase of 0.7% in same-store sales for the month of March, as front-end same-store sales fell by 0.5% and pharmacy same-store sales increased 3.5% during the period.

However, Rite Aid has already announced sales for April, and performance was much more encouraging. Rite Aid delivered an increase of 5% in same-store sales during April; pharmacy same-store sales increased by 5.2% during the month, while front-end same-store sales showed a healthy rebound with an increase of 4.7%.

Improving front-end sales from Rite Aid bode well for CVS Caremark and Walgreen over the following months, as it could be indicating that the industry is moving beyond the negative headwinds produced by the unusually harsh winter.

In spite of its superior financial performance, CVS Caremark trades at a valuation discount versus both Walgreen and Rite Aid when comparing P/E ratios. CVS Caremark has a P/E ratio below 20, while Walgreen trades at a P/E multiple above 24 and Rite Aid at an even higher P/E ratio of almost 35.

Superior performance merits a higher valuation, so CVS Caremark is offering considerable upside potential from current levels.

Foolish takeaway
CVS Caremark delivered lower-than-expected earnings for the last quarter, but the company is still performing soundly, and management is confident in its ability to deliver according to guidance for the rest of the year. When compared against Walgreen and Rite Aid, CVS looks like an attractive option in terms of growth versus valuation, so the company looks well positioned to deliver healthy returns for investors.

You don't want to miss our best pick for 2014!
Give me five minutes and I'll show how you could own the best stock for 2014. Every year, The Motley Fool's chief investment officer hand-picks one stock with outstanding potential. But it's not just any run-of-the-mill company. It's a stock perfectly positioned to cash in on one of the upcoming year's most lucrative trends. Last year, his pick skyrocketed 134%. And previous top picks have gained upwards of 908%, 1,252%, and 1,303% over the subsequent years! Believe me, you don't want to miss what could be his biggest winner yet! Just click here to download your free copy of "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2014" today.

Read/Post Comments (0) | Recommend This Article (5)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 2941456, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 8/31/2015 10:01:24 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Andrés Cardenal

Andres Cardenal, CFA is a tenacious researcher of the best investment opportunities around the world. Andres is an economist and CFA Charterholder living in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Naturally flavored. Follow me on Twitter for more investment ideas:

Today's Market

updated 45 minutes ago Sponsored by:
DOW 16,528.03 -114.98 -0.69%
S&P 500 1,972.18 -16.69 -0.84%
NASD 4,776.51 -51.82 -1.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

8/31/2015 4:00 PM
CVS $102.40 Down -1.78 -1.71%
CVS Health CAPS Rating: ****
RAD $8.25 Up +0.01 +0.12%
Rite Aid Corp CAPS Rating: ***
WBA $86.55 Down -0.87 -1.00%
Walgreen Boots All… CAPS Rating: ****