CenturyLink Inc's Earnings: This High-Dividend Stock Is Impressive

If this industry is dying, no one told CenturyLink.

May 13, 2014 at 9:30AM

In the last several days, several of the local telecom companies reported earnings. Of the three major players, CenturyLink's (NYSE:CTL) results speak for themselves. The company keeps proving its worth.

That was quick!
One of the core issues with local telecoms has been their inability to report real revenue growth. Of CenturyLink's peers, Windstream reported a revenue decline of 2%, and Frontier Communications (NASDAQ:FTR) witnessed a 4% decline. Yet CenturyLink managed overall annual revenue growth of 0.6%.

While top-line growth of less than 1% isn't going to make investors think of CenturyLink as a growth stock, it's a significant win for the company. Even AT&T (NYSE:T) and its stronger brand name reported an annual wireline revenue decline of 0.4%.

What was more impressive was CenturyLink's ability to improve both its residential and business revenue. On the residential side of things, CenturyLink reported revenue was flat, whereas Frontier's annual consumer revenue declined by almost 4%.

While AT&T outperformed on the consumer side with a 4.3% annual revenue increase, the fact that the company showed an overall wireline decline of 0.4% suggests that business results were less than stellar. In a similar show of weakness, Frontier reported a decline in business revenue of 4.3% year over year.

As though CenturyLink operates in a different industry, the company's business revenue has improved from a 1% annual increase six months ago to a 3.6% increase this quarter. The bottom line: CenturyLink has better top-line growth, and it's supported by strong consumer and business performance.

Impressive losses
It might sound crazy to suggest that any company losing customers is a good thing. However, in the local telecom business, voice-line losses are a part of life, and a company that loses less could be seen as winning the game.

To say that CenturyLink is doing better than its peers in mitigating voice-line losses is an understatement. CenturyLink reported a 33% lower rate of losses than Frontier, and a 51% slower rate of loss than AT&T. Since voice lines are a significant cash generator for each company, keeping these customers longer is a significant competitive advantage.

Rewarding shareholders, and a safe dividend
When CenturyLink made the decision last year to cut its dividend and redeploy this cash to share repurchases, the market didn't like the news. The stock took a nosedive of more than 20% on the news.

CenturyLink is proving that this was the right move at the time. First, the company has retired relatively more of its shares over the last year compared to its peers. On an annual basis, CenturyLink's share count is down more than 7%.

By comparison, AT&T and Frontier show share counts down 5.3% and up 0.2%, respectively. Given that CenturyLink pays a higher yield than AT&T and its dividend appears safer than Frontier, fewer shares should mean better earnings per share in the future.

Speaking of dividends, CenturyLink's core free cash flow payout sits at about 48% compared to 54% at Frontier, or 92% at AT&T. The big difference between these three companies is their capital spending.

While AT&T's capital expenses increased significantly compared to last year, Frontier cut its CapEx by 29%. CenturyLink's CapEx is more stable and leads to a more stable payout ratio. Given that CenturyLink gives investors a yield of nearly 6%, the stock looks more attractive than AT&T's yield.

The Foolish bottom line
While Frontier's yield is certainly higher, the company's unstable CapEx and weaker core performance make the dividend much less of a sure thing. CenturyLink offers investors a nice yield and real revenue growth, and management appears focused on rewarding shareholders. Before earnings, it looked as though the stock's run might just be getting started. After the report, it seems like the market agrees.

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Chad Henage owns shares of CenturyLink. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

Don't be one of them.

Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

Admitting fear is difficult.

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The catch was: Attendees weren't allowed to record any of it. No audio. No video. 

Our team of analysts wrote down every single word Buffett and Munger uttered. Over 16,000 words. But only two words stood out to me as I read the detailed transcript of the event: "Real threat."

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KPMG advises we're "on the cusp of revolutionary change" coming much "sooner than you think."

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Think about how many amazing technologies you've watched soar to new heights while you kick yourself thinking, "I knew about that technology before everyone was talking about it, but I just sat on my hands." 

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David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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