Why There's Still Plenty of Smartphone Growth Left

Everyone says the smartphone market has hit a ceiling, but is it true?

May 30, 2014 at 7:00PM

Notable venture capitalist Mary Meeker released her annual report on major trends in tech. Despite all of the recent talk that smartphones are approaching saturation, only 30% of the 5.2 billion mobile phone users today are using smartphones. That remaining 70% represents massive opportunities for smartphone manufacturers. Going forward, much of the growth will come from under-penetrated developing countries like China, India, Brazil, and Indonesia.

China's smartphone penetration is just 31%, while India's is only 10%. The two largest countries in the world by population have a lot of runway. If penetration for each country climbs to 60% in the coming years, that represents an additional 1 billion users. 

Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) smartphone unit sales growth has lagged the broader market for many quarters, as the growth is now coming from the low-end. Global average selling prices have fallen from $430 in 2008 to $335 in 2013, much of which was driven by Android. Still, unit share doesn't always translate to profit share, and it's here where Apple has an advantage.

In this segment of Tech Teardown, Erin Kennedy discusses the smartphone market with Evan Niu, CFA, our tech and telecom bureau chief.

Leaked: Apple's next smart device (warning, it may shock you)
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Erin Kennedy owns shares of Apple. Evan Niu, CFA owns shares of Apple. Evan Niu, CFA has the following options: long January 2015 $460 calls on Apple and short January 2015 $480 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Apple. The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

Don't be one of them.

Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

Admitting fear is difficult.

So you can imagine how shocked I was to find out Warren Buffett recently told a select number of investors about the cutting-edge technology that's keeping him awake at night.

This past May, The Motley Fool sent 8 of its best stock analysts to Omaha, Nebraska to attend the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting. CEO Warren Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger fielded questions for nearly 6 hours.
The catch was: Attendees weren't allowed to record any of it. No audio. No video. 

Our team of analysts wrote down every single word Buffett and Munger uttered. Over 16,000 words. But only two words stood out to me as I read the detailed transcript of the event: "Real threat."

That's how Buffett responded when asked about this emerging market that is already expected to be worth more than $2 trillion in the U.S. alone. Google has already put some of its best engineers behind the technology powering this trend. 

The amazing thing is, while Buffett may be nervous, the rest of us can invest in this new industry BEFORE the old money realizes what hit them.

KPMG advises we're "on the cusp of revolutionary change" coming much "sooner than you think."

Even one legendary MIT professor had to recant his position that the technology was "beyond the capability of computer science." (He recently confessed to The Wall Street Journal that he's now a believer and amazed "how quickly this technology caught on.")

Yet according to one J.D. Power and Associates survey, only 1 in 5 Americans are even interested in this technology, much less ready to invest in it. Needless to say, you haven't missed your window of opportunity. 

Think about how many amazing technologies you've watched soar to new heights while you kick yourself thinking, "I knew about that technology before everyone was talking about it, but I just sat on my hands." 

Don't let that happen again. This time, it should be your family telling you, "I can't believe you knew about and invested in that technology so early on."

That's why I hope you take just a few minutes to access the exclusive research our team of analysts has put together on this industry and the one stock positioned to capitalize on this major shift.

Click here to learn about this incredible technology before Buffett stops being scared and starts buying!

David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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