The Dow Sets Another Record, But Why Are Pharma Stocks Falling?

The Dow Jones Industrials rose to new heights yet again, but Pfizer, Merck, and Johnson & Johnson missed out.

Jun 6, 2014 at 4:30PM

The Dow Jones Industrials (DJINDICES:^DJI) set another all-time high on Friday, rising nearly 88 points and marking the eighth time the index has hit unprecedented levels this year. The catalyst for today's spike was the May employment report from the Labor Department, which showed a gain of 217,000 jobs and an unemployment rate that stayed at 6.3%. With many now concluding that the sluggishness in the employment market earlier this year was a seasonal aberration, investors hope growth will accelerate for the rest of 2014 and beyond. But within the Dow, stocks with exposure to the pharmaceutical industry, including Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Merck (NYSE:MRK), and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), were all down today.

What's happening with pharma?
For the most part, the pharmaceutical industry has done quite well so far this year. Check out the chart below:

PFE Chart

Pharma stock data by YCharts.

Both Merck and Johnson & Johnson have dramatically outperformed the Dow year to date, and Pfizer was holding its own until about a month ago, when it started doing worse than the broader market.

Strong product launches and growth in existing-drug sales have helped power Johnson & Johnson's pharmaceutical division higher. With drugs including psoriasis treatment Stelara and hepatitis C therapy Olysio both putting in solid performance, prescription drugs have become a more important part of the the health-care conglomerate's overall success than in the past, with consumer products and medical devices starting to fade somewhat into the background.

Source: Johnson & Johnson.

Similarly, Merck has done a good job of adding to its drug pipeline while also narrowing its focus on its highest-growth areas. Treatments for cancer and hepatitis C show a lot of promise, and Merck's $14 billion sale of its consumer care unit should help the company focus more on its prescription-drug segment.

Yet today's declines appear to acknowledge the possibility that the Dow Jones Industrials' pharma stocks are seeing diminishing returns in their efforts. Pfizer's failure to complete the U.K. acquisition it so desperately wanted shows that corporate restructuring can only go so far. Even as Merck and other drugmakers consider selling or spinning off well-established legacy drug portfolios in order to give investors greater exposure to their higher-growth prospects, the question for pharma investors becomes whether Merck, Pfizer, and Johnson & Johnson will get riskier over time. With the Dow Jones Industrials at record highs, many investors are worried about taking on excessive risk at this point.

A single day's declines in the Dow's pharma stocks is not worth worrying about. But if the pullback becomes a longer-term trend, you should take notice -- and keep your eyes open for future developments.

Invest in the next wave of health-care innovation
The Economist compares this disruptive invention to the steam engine and the printing press. Business Insider says it's "the next trillion dollar industry." And the technology behind is poised to set off one of the most remarkable health care revolutions in decades. The Motley Fool's exclusive research presentation dives into this technology's true potential, and its ability to make life-changing medical solutions never thought possible. To learn how you can invest in this unbelievable new technology, click here now to see our free report.

Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Johnson & Johnson. The Motley Fool owns shares of Johnson & Johnson. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

Don't be one of them.

Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

Admitting fear is difficult.

So you can imagine how shocked I was to find out Warren Buffett recently told a select number of investors about the cutting-edge technology that's keeping him awake at night.

This past May, The Motley Fool sent 8 of its best stock analysts to Omaha, Nebraska to attend the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting. CEO Warren Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger fielded questions for nearly 6 hours.
The catch was: Attendees weren't allowed to record any of it. No audio. No video. 

Our team of analysts wrote down every single word Buffett and Munger uttered. Over 16,000 words. But only two words stood out to me as I read the detailed transcript of the event: "Real threat."

That's how Buffett responded when asked about this emerging market that is already expected to be worth more than $2 trillion in the U.S. alone. Google has already put some of its best engineers behind the technology powering this trend. 

The amazing thing is, while Buffett may be nervous, the rest of us can invest in this new industry BEFORE the old money realizes what hit them.

KPMG advises we're "on the cusp of revolutionary change" coming much "sooner than you think."

Even one legendary MIT professor had to recant his position that the technology was "beyond the capability of computer science." (He recently confessed to The Wall Street Journal that he's now a believer and amazed "how quickly this technology caught on.")

Yet according to one J.D. Power and Associates survey, only 1 in 5 Americans are even interested in this technology, much less ready to invest in it. Needless to say, you haven't missed your window of opportunity. 

Think about how many amazing technologies you've watched soar to new heights while you kick yourself thinking, "I knew about that technology before everyone was talking about it, but I just sat on my hands." 

Don't let that happen again. This time, it should be your family telling you, "I can't believe you knew about and invested in that technology so early on."

That's why I hope you take just a few minutes to access the exclusive research our team of analysts has put together on this industry and the one stock positioned to capitalize on this major shift.

Click here to learn about this incredible technology before Buffett stops being scared and starts buying!

David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

©1995-2014 The Motley Fool. All rights reserved. | Privacy/Legal Information