European Disunion: Can Europe Ever Build a Workable Drone?

Listen carefully, and you'll hear the flop heard round the Continent.

Jun 14, 2014 at 12:35PM

A couple months ago, a video depicting the (very short) flight of a new Portuguese Navy drone began circling the Internet. I'll pause for a moment and let you take a look:

Okay, now you'll understand what I mean, when I say that...

Europe's drone program is like Portugal's, writ large
For years, America has had a near-monopoly on the use of advanced unmanned aerial vehicles in combat. Sure, other countries have "drones" -- mostly small, reconnaissance birds that have more in common with a hobbyists model airplane than with a General Atomics' Predator.

But for real-world surveillance work in hostile environments, Europe generally has to buy drones built by American companies. Britain, for example, flies Global Hawks from Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC). France recently announced the purchase of Reapers from General Atomics. Germany leases Heron unmanned aeriel vehicles from Israel (aside from the U.S., the only other manufacturer of really high-quality drone aircraft).

File
General Atomics' Predator drone. Easily the most recognizable drone aircraft in the world. Photo: Wikimedia Commons.

But as DefenseNews.com reports, there's great interest in Europe developing a homegrown drone-building program "to add reconnaissance and strike capability at lesser cost and risk to service members." Italian company Alenia Aermacchi, a subsidiary of Finmeccanica (NASDAQOTH:FINMY), has argued that a "European made UAV" is essential for "European operational sovereignty and independence in the management of information and intelligence."

And at last month's ILA Berlin Air Show, both Dassault and Airbus (NASDAQOTH:EADSY) announced a plan to collaborate on developing a medium-altitude, long-endurance, or MALE, drone similar to General Atomics Reaper and Predator drones. According to news reports, the new drone will feature long endurance and good maneuverability, and will emphasize reconnaissance capability over the ability to carry weapons. Their target date for first flight is 2020.

How to get to there from here?
The problem is that these three companies hail from three different countries -- Italy, France, and Germany. (Airbus is traditionally viewed as a French-German company, and S&P Capital IQ reports that even after its recent reorganization, the governments of both France and Germany own stakes in Airbus). And so these companies are asking three different governments to help build their drone.

Sources suggest that development of the drone could cost $68 million in just the first two years of the project, and potentially as much as $1 billion -- and that's just the development cost. Actually buying drones would cost even more money. Unfortunately for the companies, their host governments don't seem eager to foot this big of a bill. As German Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen said, "At the moment there is no pressure to make a decision."

Too many irons in the fire
Further complicating matters, one of the corporate coalition's three members, Dassault, is already trying to build an unmanned combat drone in cooperation with Britain's BAE Systems (NASDAQOTH:BAESY). Given that it's already financing half the cost of building one drone "on spec," Dassault may not relish the thought of anteing up a third of the development costs of a second drone -- with no certain buyer. The more so, given that Dassault is under financial pressure after repeated failures to find international buyers for its Rafale fighter jet.

What it means for investors
If all of this makes it sound like Europe will have a hard time getting a homegrown drone program off the ground... well, that's my read on the situation, too. (Remember that poor Portuguese drone?)

This is good news for investors, though. It means that we can continue to focus in on the leaders in drone technology, and know that at least for the time being, U.S. firms such as Northrop Grumman and General Atomics will continue to dominate the drone space.

In fact, they might do even better than that. Reportedly, President Obama is currently considering signing a bill that would ease U.S. export restrictions on drone technology -- and in particular, on drones capable of being armed with air-to-surface missiles such as the Hellfire. To date, these restrictions have hobbled U.S. drone-makers, making it difficult for them to capture all of the market share worldwide that their superior drone technology would ordinarily win for them.

Industry analysts estimate that the global market for drones could exceed $60 billion in value over the next seven years. If President Obama approves expanded drone exports before Europe gets its drone building act together, I'd give good odds on U.S. companies winning a large portion of those sales.

File
General Atomics' Reaper drone is silent, deadly -- and profitable. Photo: Wikimedia Commons.

Will this stock be your next multi-bagger?
Give us five minutes and we'll show how you could own the best stock for 2014. Every year, The Motley Fool's chief investment officer hand-picks one stock with outstanding potential. But it's not just any run-of-the-mill company. It's a stock perfectly positioned to cash in on one of the upcoming year's most lucrative trends. Last year his pick skyrocketed 134%. And previous top picks have gained upwards of 908%, 1,252% and 1,303% over the subsequent years! Believe me, you don't want to miss what could be his biggest winner yet! Just click here to download your free copy of "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2014" today.

Rich Smith has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Northrop Grumman. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Money to your ears - A great FREE investing resource for you

The best way to get your regular dose of market and money insights is our suite of free podcasts ... what we like to think of as “binge-worthy finance.”

Feb 1, 2016 at 5:03PM

Whether we're in the midst of earnings season or riding out the market's lulls, you want to know the best strategies for your money.

And you'll want to go beyond the hype of screaming TV personalities, fear-mongering ads, and "analysis" from people who might have your email address ... but no track record of success.

In short, you want a voice of reason you can count on.

A 2015 Business Insider article titled, "11 websites to bookmark if you want to get rich," rated The Motley Fool as the #1 place online to get smarter about investing.

And one of the easiest, most enjoyable, most valuable ways to get your regular dose of market and money insights is our suite of free podcasts ... what we like to think of as "binge-worthy finance."

Whether you make it part of your daily commute or you save up and listen to a handful of episodes for your 50-mile bike rides or long soaks in a bubble bath (or both!), the podcasts make sense of your money.

And unlike so many who want to make the subjects of personal finance and investing complicated and scary, our podcasts are clear, insightful, and (yes, it's true) fun.

Our free suite of podcasts

Motley Fool Money features a team of our analysts discussing the week's top business and investing stories, interviews, and an inside look at the stocks on our radar. The show is also heard weekly on dozens of radio stations across the country.

The hosts of Motley Fool Answers challenge the conventional wisdom on life's biggest financial issues to reveal what you really need to know to make smart money moves.

David Gardner, co-founder of The Motley Fool, is among the most respected and trusted sources on investing. And he's the host of Rule Breaker Investing, in which he shares his insights into today's most innovative and disruptive companies ... and how to profit from them.

Market Foolery is our daily look at stocks in the news, as well as the top business and investing stories.

And Industry Focus offers a deeper dive into a specific industry and the stories making headlines. Healthcare, technology, energy, consumer goods, and other industries take turns in the spotlight.

They're all informative, entertaining, and eminently listenable. Rule Breaker Investing and Answers are timeless, so it's worth going back to and listening from the very start; the other three are focused more on today's events, so listen to the most recent first.

All are available for free at www.fool.com/podcasts.

If you're looking for a friendly voice ... with great advice on how to make the most of your money ... from a business with a lengthy track record of success ... in clear, compelling language ... I encourage you to give a listen to our free podcasts.

Head to www.fool.com/podcasts, give them a spin, and you can subscribe there (at iTunes, Stitcher, or our other partners) if you want to receive them regularly.

It's money to your ears.

 


Compare Brokers