1 Bad Sign for Microsoft Corporation's Tablet Dreams

Lenovo abandons the small-sized Windows tablet market in the U.S. Should Microsoft be concerned about its ability to compete in smaller form factors?

Jul 19, 2014 at 12:00PM

Lenovo Thinkpad Tablet

ThinkPad 8. Source: Lenovo.

There's no such thing as a free lunch. Even as Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) has aggressively cut Windows licensing fees to $0 on smaller devices, that doesn't really help the demand side of the equation. Making the operating system free for OEMs is one thing, but getting people to actually buy the devices is another.

That's the trouble Lenovo has run into with its smaller Windows 8 tablets. The largest PC maker in the world by volume has now stopped selling devices in this category within the U.S., citing a lack of demand. Lenovo says U.S. consumers are still buying larger Windows tablets, and emerging-market demand for 8-inch Windows tablets is stronger, so it is shifting inventory abroad in response. Lenovo will continue selling its Google (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL) Android models.

The challenge for Windows 8 on smaller form factors is that Windows 8 is designed to support both touch input and traditional keyboard and mouse input. Smaller devices don't play nicely with keyboard and mouse inputs, particularly when Microsoft still has yet to release a touch-first version of Office for Windows. In fact, Microsoft may even launch a touch-first version of Office on Android before Windows.

The 8-inch tablet market continues to be dominated by Android offerings and Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPad Mini. While Apple doesn't disclose product mix directly, the sustained drop in iPad average selling prices after the introduction of the first iPad Mini in 2012 suggests a considerable shift toward the smaller model.

Good call, Microsoft
For what it's worth, Microsoft's decision to pull a Surface Mini at the last minute seems rather prescient now. Clearly, domestic demand for 7-inch to 8-inch tablets running Windows 8 is very weak, and launching a smaller version of the device would have inevitably failed. The last thing Microsoft wants is another inventory writedown of unsold Surfaces.

All's not lost
Microsoft may be seeing one of its most important OEMs pull out of one of its most important markets with 8-inch tablets, but the company has plenty of other OEM partners to step up and fill the void. Toshiba has already announced a 7-inch Windows 8 tablet, the Encore 7. Pricing and availability have yet to be determined, but Toshiba unveiled the tablet at Computex last month. The company also currently offers the 8-inch Encore 8.

Eventually releasing a touch-first version of Office for Windows will be critical if Microsoft wants to stand a chance in the small-tablet market. CEO Satya Nadella has made it quite clear that Microsoft needs to refocus on its core strength of productivity, and launching this overdue version of Office may give consumers an actual reason to buy small Windows tablets.

Leaked: Apple's next smart device (warning -- it may shock you)
Apple recently recruited a secret-development "dream team" to guarantee that its newest smart device was kept hidden from the public for as long as possible. But the secret is out, and some early viewers are even claiming that its everyday impact could trump the iPod, iPhone, and the iPad. In fact, ABI Research predicts that 485 million of these devices will be sold per year. But one small company makes this gadget possible. And its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early in-the-know investors. To be one of them, and to see Apple's newest smart gizmo, just click here!

Evan Niu, CFA, owns shares of Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Apple and Google (A and C shares) and owns shares of Apple, Google (A and C shares), and Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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