Facebook, Inc. Stock: 3 Reasons Not to Sell After Gaining 85% in 1 Year

A look at Facebook stock after a monstrous run-up. Is the stock finally a sell? The answer may surprise you.

Aug 29, 2014 at 12:53PM

When Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) went public in 2012, all the talk was about how the company was overvalued. But shares have since soared past its IPO price of $38. In the last year alone, shares are up about 85%.

FB Chart

With shares trading so much higher, some investors may now be wondering again whether the valuation is getting out of hand. After all, the company is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 80. But a closer look at the company's underlying business reveals three reasons why it's still not time to sell this hot growth stock.

Facebook's biggest catalyst remains

The largest driver for Facebook's soaring revenue since the company went public is the social network's transition to mobile.

Facebook Mobile Revenue Q

Data for image retrieved from Facebook quarterly SEC filings.

Not only are Facebook's members using the platform more often, thanks to the proliferation of smartphones and the social network's execution on building an engaging mobile app, but also ads are more engaging in the mobile newsfeed than they are on desktop. This means Facebook's shift to mobile is driving huge revenue growth for the company.

Users have been switching to mobile in droves. In fact, 399 million of Facebook's 1.32 billion monthly active users, or MAUs, are classified as mobile-only MAUs. That's up from 219 million mobile-only MAUs in the year-ago quarter.

The company's transition to mobile is among the key catalysts helping the social network put up big growth rates, like the 67% year-over-year growth in ad revenue Facebook reported in Q2. And opportunity remains: 38% of Facebook's revenue still comes from desktop.

Profitability is soaring
As marketers look to capitalize on the growing amount of time consumers are spending on mobile devices, Facebook and its engaging newsfeed is becoming a go-to solution in reaching mobile users. Greater demand, of course, leads to greater pricing power for Facebook. And improving pricing power, in turn, leads to greater profitability. Combining this growing demand for Facebook's advertising with the social network's scalable business model, therefore, profitability is absolutely soaring.

Just look at the trend of Facebook's year-over-year growth in operating income.

Facebook Operating Income Growth Q

Data for image retrieved from Facebook quarterly SEC filings.

These quarterly growth rates in operating income have outpaced revenue growth for five quarters in a row as operating margins continue to expand.

So, Facebook isn't just a company with fast-growing revenue. It's also quickly becoming wildly profitable. Consider that Facebook's Q2 non-GAAP net income was $1.09 billion, up from $488 million in the year-ago quarter.

Facebook's economic moat is monstrous
Investors want the companies in their portfolios to have sustainable characteristics. As the world's greatest investor, Warren Buffett says, an investment should have an economic moat, or a "moat" that protects a company's profits from potential entrants. The wider and deeper this moat, the better.

Facebook Video Ads

Facebook mobile app. Image source: Facebook.

What is Facebook's moat? Its network, which today stands at 829 million daily active users and 1.32 billion monthly active users. No other social network even comes close to this scale -- especially when measured by daily active users.

This network effect is a powerful competitive advantage for Facebook. It means that Internet users in the U.S. and Europe can log in to Facebook and count on a handful of their friends and family to be active members. With every additional user on Facebook's platform, the more valuable it becomes.

Bringing it all together, the underlying business is exceptional and its performance is astounding. Even at 80 times earnings, it's not time to sell Facebook stock.

Leaked: Apple's next smart device (warning, it may shock you)
Apple recently recruited a secret-development "dream team" to guarantee its newest smart device was kept hidden from the public for as long as possible. But the secret is out, and some early viewers are claiming its everyday impact could trump the iPod, iPhone, and the iPad. In fact, ABI Research predicts 485 million of this type of device will be sold per year. But one small company makes Apple's gadget possible. And its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early in-the-know investors. To be one of them, and see Apple's newest smart gizmo, just click here!

Daniel Sparks owns shares of Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Apple and Facebook. The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple and Facebook. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Money to your ears - A great FREE investing resource for you

The best way to get your regular dose of market and money insights is our suite of free podcasts ... what we like to think of as “binge-worthy finance.”

Feb 1, 2016 at 5:03PM

Whether we're in the midst of earnings season or riding out the market's lulls, you want to know the best strategies for your money.

And you'll want to go beyond the hype of screaming TV personalities, fear-mongering ads, and "analysis" from people who might have your email address ... but no track record of success.

In short, you want a voice of reason you can count on.

A 2015 Business Insider article titled, "11 websites to bookmark if you want to get rich," rated The Motley Fool as the #1 place online to get smarter about investing.

And one of the easiest, most enjoyable, most valuable ways to get your regular dose of market and money insights is our suite of free podcasts ... what we like to think of as "binge-worthy finance."

Whether you make it part of your daily commute or you save up and listen to a handful of episodes for your 50-mile bike rides or long soaks in a bubble bath (or both!), the podcasts make sense of your money.

And unlike so many who want to make the subjects of personal finance and investing complicated and scary, our podcasts are clear, insightful, and (yes, it's true) fun.

Our free suite of podcasts

Motley Fool Money features a team of our analysts discussing the week's top business and investing stories, interviews, and an inside look at the stocks on our radar. The show is also heard weekly on dozens of radio stations across the country.

The hosts of Motley Fool Answers challenge the conventional wisdom on life's biggest financial issues to reveal what you really need to know to make smart money moves.

David Gardner, co-founder of The Motley Fool, is among the most respected and trusted sources on investing. And he's the host of Rule Breaker Investing, in which he shares his insights into today's most innovative and disruptive companies ... and how to profit from them.

Market Foolery is our daily look at stocks in the news, as well as the top business and investing stories.

And Industry Focus offers a deeper dive into a specific industry and the stories making headlines. Healthcare, technology, energy, consumer goods, and other industries take turns in the spotlight.

They're all informative, entertaining, and eminently listenable. Rule Breaker Investing and Answers are timeless, so it's worth going back to and listening from the very start; the other three are focused more on today's events, so listen to the most recent first.

All are available for free at www.fool.com/podcasts.

If you're looking for a friendly voice ... with great advice on how to make the most of your money ... from a business with a lengthy track record of success ... in clear, compelling language ... I encourage you to give a listen to our free podcasts.

Head to www.fool.com/podcasts, give them a spin, and you can subscribe there (at iTunes, Stitcher, or our other partners) if you want to receive them regularly.

It's money to your ears.

 


Compare Brokers