By
Tim Beyers
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More Articles
February 5, 2008
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Call me sentimental. Call me a sap. Call me crazy. But I love Secure Computing (Nasdaq: SCUR ) . Here's why.
- It's easily misunderstood. Briefing.com reported that Secure missed estimates for fourth-quarter revenue. Not true. This maker of data-security products reports non-GAAP numbers to accurately portray the performance of its acquired businesses. On that basis, Secure's $69.9 million in revenue easily beat the average estimate of $68 million.
- Businesses can't compromise on security. And they aren't compromising. Secure Computing's chief financial officer, Tim Steinkopf, told analysts in the conference call that his company booked seven seven-digit deals -- two of which required some short-term price cuts that affected gross margin -- and 131 six-figure deals in Q4. Both were new records, set in a time of massive economic uncertainty, and in spite of top competitors such as Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO ) , Websense (Nasdaq: WBSN ) , and EMC's (NYSE: EMC ) RSA business unit.
- Cash flow, cash flow, cash flow. Thanks to excellent free cash flow, Secure paid off $44 million in debt during 2007, including more than $12 million in the final quarter of the year.
Growth, too, is going gangbusters. Secure expects per-share earnings to rise by 45% to 50% over each of the next two years. Revenue, on a normalized, non-GAAP basis, is expected to improve by 13.7% to $295 million.
Why the discrepancy? Margins. With each passing year, Secure is becoming better at squeezing cash from its operations. Behold:
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Metrics
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2007
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2006
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2005
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2004
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Non-GAAP revenue
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$259.4
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$193.2
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$109.2
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$93.4
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Free cash flow
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$41.1
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$24.3
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$25.0
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$12.2
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FCF margin
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15.8%
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12.6%
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22.9%
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13.1%
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Source: Secure Computing earnings reports. Numbers in millions.
A rich market opportunity. Excellent and growing free cash flow. Rapidly rising margins. Warms the heart, doesn't it?
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