Recs

14

Foolish Forecast: Intuitive Surgical Is Worth Every Penny

"Human hands, so frail and fragile
Humbled by robotic rods.
Still the sense that guides the gadget
Resides in a human head."

-- "Robot-assisted Surgery, Explained," by Anders Bylund in viking-style Fornydislag verse

Robotic surgery sounds like science fiction, but Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG  ) is selling equipment to do it today. Check out how this highflier fared last quarter, and then come back for a refreshed outlook. It's exactly what the doctor ordered.

What Fools say:
Here's how Intuitive Surgical's CAPS rating stacks up against some of its peers in the medical instruments sector:

Market Cap (billions)

Trailing

CAPS Rating (out of 5) 

Medtronic (:MDT)

$55.1

25.3

*****

Stryker (NYSE:SYK)

$25.8

26.5

*****

St. Jude Medical (NYSE:STJ)

$15.1

27.6

*****

Intuitive Surgical

$13.1

110.3

****

Hologic (NASDAQ:HOLX)

$6.7

N/A

*****

Data taken from Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, and Motley Fool CAPS on April 16.

It's an august crowd indeed when Intuitive's four-star rating stands out as the worst of the bunch. Still, our CAPS players have plenty of nice things to say about the company, praising the medical advantages of robot-assisted surgery and the fact that nobody else can enter this niche. The only negative points brought out by the bearish platoon focus on valuation, and how such a small company cannot possibly be worth $13 billion.

What management does:
The cash flow margin passed net income margin a few quarters ago and seems intent on staying ahead. You know how we Fools love our free cash flow. I'd also like to highlight how margins are expanding across the board, because the growing base of installed systems requires exponentially more of the high-margin disposable supplies. Thanks for the handle-and-blades idea, Gillette.

Margins

9/2006

12/2006

3/2007

6/2007

9/2007

12/2007

Gross

66.7%

66.5%

66.6%

66.5%

67.6%

69%

Operating

28.7%

28.8%

29.4%

30.7%

32.2%

34.7%

Net

29.5%

19.3%

19.9%

20.6%

22.7%

24.1%

FCF/Revenue

18.5%

22.5%

24.8%

26.9%

25.7%

30.9%

Growth (YOY) 

9/2006

12/2006

3/2007

6/2007

9/2007

12/2007

Revenue

65.7%

63.9%

55.8%

55.7%

57.7%

61.2%

Earnings

74%

(23.5%)

(18.2%)

(5.9%)

21.5%

100.6%

All data courtesy of Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Data reflects trailing-12-month performance for the quarters ended in the named months.

One Fool says:
Intuitive is the best-performing stock in my own portfolio, nearly quadrupling in two short years. It's also a stock that lets me feel good about lending some minuscule support to the business -- if there's ever a scalpel anywhere near my prostate, it had better be attached to one of these robotic arms.

I don't think that economic recessions would have much of an effect on this company. After all, you don't stop going to the hospital just because the dollar is weak, and there's so much growth left in this revolutionary system. There are more than 6,000 hospitals in the U.S. alone, but there are only about 795 da Vinci systems installed worldwide today.

As much as I'd enjoy bad news and a temporary pullback on this expensive stock, color me surprised if it happens this evening. I'm in for the long haul either way.

Further Foolishness:

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2008, at 4:28 PM, angus118 wrote:

    Anders closed the piece by stating " As much as I'd enjoy bad news and a temporary pullback on this expensive stock, color me surprised if it happens this evening.". The close price for april 17th = $348.50 and the close price for april 18th = $288.50. I guess 1 day IS a foolish miss :)

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 623501, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/27/2012 8:18:11 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 1 day ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,454.83 -74.92 -0.60%
S&P 500 1,317.82 -2.86 -0.22%
NASD 2,837.53 -1.85 -0.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
ISRG $526.55 Down -4.95 -0.93%
Intuitive Surgical CAPS Rating: ****
STJ $39.43 Up +0.14 +0.36%
St. Jude Medical,… CAPS Rating: ****
SYK $51.85 Up +0.13 +0.25%
Stryker Corp CAPS Rating: *****
HOLX $16.92 Down -0.05 -0.29%
Hologic, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
MDT $36.88 Down -0.19 -0.51%
Medtronic, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****

Advertisement