Stop Teasing, Blue Nile

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What's the deal, Blue Nile (Nasdaq: NILE)? I thought we had something special, but now I'm wondering whether this engagement ring means anything to you.

I'm not happy. Last night's quarterly report was a mess. Net sales inched just 2% higher to $73.7 million. A softer operating margin led to a 15% decline in net income, falling to $3.2 million, or $0.20 a share.

But wait. It gets worse. International sales soared 179% to $8.1 million. That sounds good until you get that passport stamped on the way home. Back that out, and this is the second consecutive quarter of year-over-year declines in stateside sales.

The market isn't crushed over the news. In fact, it appears relieved. But I'm not as forgiving. Where's the growth, Blue Nile?

Online jewelry auctioneer Bidz.com (Nasdaq: BIDZ) and real-world icon Tiffany (NYSE: TIF) are growing at a faster clip. Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) and Overstock.com (Nasdaq: OSTK) don't break down their jewelry sales, but we know that both e-tailers delivered healthy double-digit net sales gains last month.

Blue Nile has hit a lull before. It posted a pair of bottom-line declines in 2006, and it bounced back.

But this time is different, because we aren't in the best economic climate for high-end diamond engagement rings. And things aren't going to get better anytime soon. Blue Nile is guiding investors to expect mid-single-digit percentage gains in net sales. Its goal is to achieve flat earnings growth on a per-share basis this year, but that will mean a dip in profitability, since the company has been aggressively buying shares this year.

Shares of Blue Nile have still beaten the market since David Gardner made the online retailer his first pick in the Rule Breakers newsletter service nearly four years ago. The company is still on the scorecard, and Blue Nile is still the niche leader. It remains profitable, too. Once the economic lull passes, nervous grooms-to-be will find themselves on bended knee with Blue Nile rings to offer.

I'm not that patient. For now, quite frankly, I'm feeling jilted.

Other proposals to ponder:

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz proposed to his eventual wife 19 years ago. He would have had no problem turning to Blue Nile, had there been a commercial Internet around at the time. Rick owns no shares in any of the companies mentioned in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.  

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2008, at 9:54 AM, tinkerbell555 wrote:

    I feel that Blue Nile is like walking into a regular old retail jewelry store establishment like any other store that you drive by in your daily travels, whereas Amazon.com is like stepping into jewelry paradise. Not only are the prices of the items on Amazon great, but no one can beat what Amazon has to offer when it comes to jewelry.

    Because there are so many third party merchants on Amazon, I can purchase timeless styles like stud earrings or gorgeous designs like a sea glass necklace surrounded by amber beads. Can't get things like that at Blue Nile, department stores, or regular jewelry stores.

    People want different and beautiful when it comes to jewelry without paying a fortune like at regular jewelry stores. They also want good quality, not department store jewelry which has bottom of the barrel stones. Amazon does so well because they bring in lots of merchants, and many of them are designers. As an avid jewelry shopper, I have not found any place else where there is so much beauty and uniqueness offered all in one place, and at great prices.

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