Something Rotten in the State of Fertilizer?

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It was a wild and whacky week. Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers, two icons from the world of investment banking, are gone or soon will be. Further, the Feds have to some degree nationalized financial services, and the equities markets have bounced around like a cork in a storm.

So you're to be excused if you missed the news that lawsuits alleging price fixing and collusion have been filed against several fertilizer companies, including Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT), along with Mosaic (NYSE: MOS), and Agrium (NYSE: AGU). The suits, which were filed by two Midwest-based farm chemical and fertilizer suppliers, seek class action status.

In just the past couple of years, the price of phosphate, an important fertilizer ingredient, has nearly tripled, while a ton of potash, also a key fertilizer component, has increased by an even greater amount. Beyond that, it seems that there are a couple of key aspects to understanding the lawsuits and their potential outcome:

  • Because of a 1918 measure called the Webb-Pomerene Act, phosphate makers are permitted to pass among themselves information that in other industries would set off antitrust sirens.
  • At the behest of Sen. Byron Dorgan, D-N.D., the Federal Trade Commission earlier this year looked into the possibility of antitrust violations within the fertilizer industry. The resulting FTC look-see found no evidence of collusion among the companies.

I have no intention of being cavalier in regard to potential industry collusion, because nobody can yet know what's really going on in fertilizer component pricing. But for lots of reasons that probably should be readily apparent, the world of agriculture has virtually exploded in the recent past, positively affecting such companies as DuPont (NYSE: DD), Monsanto (NYSE: MON), and Deere (NYSE: DE).

Unless I learn otherwise, however, I'm not going to lapse into lather about shenanigans related to fertilizer pricing. Indeed, because the global world of agriculture must expand steadily and substantially in the years to come, I would simply offer that this is a sector deserving of ongoing Foolish attention. 

Check out Motley Fool CAPS to see what your fellow investors are saying about these fertilizer companies. Then chime in with your own opinion.

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Fool contributor David Lee Smith, a one-time wanderer in potash mines, doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned above. He does, however, welcome your questions, comments, or college football tips. The Fool has a disclosure policy.  

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 22, 2008, at 5:20 PM, phfsarah wrote:

    what is your point????????????????????

  • Report this Comment On September 23, 2008, at 10:57 AM, PanchoDAnconia wrote:

    Have you actually looked at the different prices of Ag stocks? it is over mate. Furthermore, you seem to treat Ag as it was one business model, and there are in fact huge differences between the players. Have you looked at the multiples of Yara/Syngenta? any difference?

    Otherwise when it comes to fertilizers, it is just supply and demand. The there-will-be-no-food myth drove food prices up, namely corn/wheat/soy, then demand for fertilizers as people wanted higher yields. Farmers can afford to pay big money for fertilizers as at the end of the day it is not such a big part of their costs and the benefits largely justify almost any price. There are three types of fertilizers and farmers need them all: Potash, Phosphate and Nitrogen. The latter is the more widely used and need to be "apply" every year while the others are avoidable to a certain extent. You cannot even treat fertilizers as one, as they have very different supply and demand curves and market structures.

  • Report this Comment On September 23, 2008, at 4:36 PM, captkwb wrote:

    How does the Fool post 2 pro-AG stories on 9/16 and 9/18 and then turn around and change course on 9/23 by posting alleged price fixing? Makes me wonder who is fooling who.

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