3 Reasons to Sell Google Now

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A sputtering economy, implosions at financial institutions, or just plain bad management -- on any given day, investors can name a number of reasons to sell a stock. Yet while panic never benefits investors, it's wise to play devil's advocate with investments from time to time.

In Motley Fool CAPS, more than 120,000 members have weighed in on nearly 5,400 stocks, sharing bullish and bearish opinions alike.

A total of 13,913 members have weighed in on search behemoth Google's (Nasdaq: GOOG) chances of success. I've already plucked out some of the bullish rationale backing Google today, so here are three counterpoints to consider, courtesy of CAPS:

1. Declining ad revenue
Being king of the mountain doesn't matter much if that mountain is shrinking. The weakening economy is putting pressure on Google, Baidu.com (Nasdaq: BIDU), and many other types of ad-supported media, such as the New York Times (NYSE: NYT). While the leading media companies may be strong, advertisers are still pulling back.

2. Wasted money
Google's had some success with popular products that are similar to those of Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), like Gmail and Google Docs. But it's also spent tons of money acquiring numerous small companies, and it's poured a lot of resources into speculative projects that were difficult to monetize. The practice of speculative ventures in this environment doesn't fly as well as it did in more heady days, as Google's recently terminated Lively project demonstrates.

3. Cost-control issues
While innovative and efficient companies like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) have repeatedly blown past Wall Street's expectations in previous quarters, Google can't say the same. Spending shareholders' money on such perks as expensive day care and free meals for employees may have helped it attract some bright workers, but it's also led Google to join Yahoo!, IBM (NYSE: IBM) and scores of other companies in paring back its headcount to trim operational expenses.

Of course, Google has survived and thrived in the past. The question of whether the company can do so in today's environment makes CAPS such a great resource to augment your own analysis.

To see what the very best CAPS members are saying now about Google, click over to Motley Fool CAPS and have a look -- it's all free, and we welcome your opinion, too.

Further Foolishness:

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Fool contributor Dave Mock eats three square meals a day. He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. Microsoft is an Inside Value pick. Google and Baidu.com are Rule Breakers selections. Apple is a Stock Advisor pick. The Fool's disclosure policy livens up parties with the old milk-streaming-out-the-nose gag.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 18, 2008, at 8:17 PM, dividendgrowth wrote:

    I think ALL your three sell reasons are wrong because:

    1. This reason sounds more like "the economy is down, let's sell everything!". It doesn't impact Google specifically. In fact, search ad seems to be the only place in the advertising world that shows strong resistance to recession.

    2. That's exactly what makes Google interesting. Instead of behaving like Wallstreet analysts who are focused no more than 2 quarters down the road, Google actually shows some venture capitalist spirit. Remember, both Adwords and Adsense came from your so called "speculative projects".

    3. Compared to WS banks, Google pays its employees AWFULLY little. Does that mean you will never buy any companies just because they pay their employees well? Don't you know that talented employees count as everything in the asset-light/innovation-rich tech industry?

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2008, at 10:18 AM, mtopper wrote:

    I think dividendgrowth is closer to the mark than the author of this article.

    Ad revenue can only decline so far before all other industrys begin to spend again, and they will. Google is experiencing some of the downturn, but not as much as other print based media. And I believe G will enjoy MORE than its fair share of the upside wher things turn around.

    So called "wasted" money is the engine that has driven the entire industrial revolution. nuff said on that one!

    G is also much more cost conscious than the public gives them credit for. Salaries are not excessive, and hiring has slowed, particularly in non engineering functions. In addition, to compare G vs Wall Street expectations is a fools game. The company does not guide. The Wall Street guys use numbers they make up themselves as estimates. Then jab the company when they dont "meet" or "exceed" these artificial expectations.

    I like the company and I think the stock has tremendous upside with very little downside.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2008, at 1:57 PM, jpnmisa wrote:

    Okay, wtf is this guy up to?

    The same author wrote a Fool article indication the EXACT opposite of this one, on the very same day.

    What gives, Fool?

    http://www.fool.com/investing/high-growth/2008/12/18/3-reaso...

    Let's get a bit of consistency here? Please?

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