10 Stocks to Shake the Market

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In music, they're called "one-hit wonders." These singers belt out a single hit tune, but can never again regain its magic. Think Norman Greenbaum's "The Spirit in the Sky" or Brownsville Station's "Smokin' in the Boys' Room" -- monster hits never to be repeated.

We have seen similar one-hit wonders in stocks, too, like Pets.com or drkoop.com. Companies burst onto the scene -- many during the tech bubble heyday -- and never to live up to the promise they held.

Whole lotta shakin' goin' on
While nostalgia's fun, "10 Stocks to Shake the Market" isn't about finding stocks that can't repeat their success. It's about looking at those that have made big moves and are likely to continue doing so.

To do that, we're looking at 10 stocks that made some of the biggest moves up over the past month. We'll then pair that with the ratings issued by our Motley Fool CAPS community. Those rated higher suggest that the members believe they'll continue to rise in the future, ultimately outperforming the market.

In the first 20 months since we first began tracking the collective intelligence at CAPS in late 2006, the data show that newly minted five-star stocks offer the best opportunities for investors, while the lowest-rated companies fared the worst. Four-star stocks outperformed the market by seven percentage points, and five-star stocks -- top honors in CAPS -- did even better.

Stock

30-Day  % Change

CAPS Rating

Advanced Medical Optics

259.77%

**

Palm (Nasdaq: PALM)

259.55%

*

Northfield Laboratories (Nasdaq: NFLD)

104.08%

***

Allied Capital (NYSE: ALD)

84.00%

**

PIMCO High Income Fund

72.18%

***

Primus Guaranty (NYSE: PRS)

71.11%

*****

Level 3 Communications

63.89%

****

Unisys (NYSE: UIS)

62.07%

*

Interoil (AMEX: IOC)

61.11%

*

Gastar Exploration (AMEX: GST)

60.53%

*****

With three of 10 stocks carrying a four-star or better rating, let's see why the CAPS community thinks even some of the lesser lights might outperform the market or not.

Palm
Until the introduction of the Pre, people would look upon Palm as the kindly old codger sitting in the corner, forever reminiscing about his glory days. Now people are talking about a resurgent Palm, one that averted doomsday and can once again hold its own. Yet for all the buzz the Pre is creating, CAPS member earlystart thinks the market's reaction is out of all proportion to reality:

Sorry Palm, the I'm sure the Pre is a great product, but a great product doesn't make a great company. This release, however good, is just too late. ...

In addition to all that...this stock is up beyond all reason. The amount of income the Pre is going to generate does NOT add up to a 70% value increase. This price is not sustainable.

If Palm can get its mojo back and rebuild its long lost cache with techies, I'll be a believer. That means consistently outstanding new products that offer genuinely NEW capabilities...not slightly improved rehashes of 5 other already outstanding products.

Interoil
The announcement last week that Interoil had discovered what it describes as "apparently the largest vertical section of continuous reservoir of gas and gas liquids discovered to date in Papua New Guinea" caused investors to pump its shares up 20% in just one day. The find may also help dispel some investors' doubts about Interoil; at present, more than half of the CAPS members rating the company believe will underperform the market. CAPS member wjwcapital figures: "Large discovery announced in early January. That with bottoming prices shoud send shares higher."

Shake, rattle, and roll
Now that these stocks have shaken the market in the past month, it pays to start your own research on them at Motley Fool CAPS. Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments that your fellow investors have made, all from a stock's CAPS page.

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Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 20, 2009, at 6:11 PM, kencooksam wrote:

    IOC is a buy and we have a $125 target in 2010.Why are we so bullish. This current NG well has arrived at 7800 feet and drill logs have been run. The initial reading of 200 feet of core samples and logs shows 1800 feet on net NG pay. Thats 10 times Elk 4 their last well. That well flowed at the highest rate of an NG well in the southern hemishere. IOC hopes to build a two train LNG plant on PNG. CEO phil Mulacek now says he has enough NG to buld that plant now. Antelope is expected to flow at 3-4 times Elk 4 rates..Due to this success the following events should take place in the next 60 or so days. A signing of an LNG plant agreement with the PNG govt..A announcement of a Liquid stripping plant that could yield $200 mill in EBITA and cost only $25 mill.

    A signing of a new strategic to replace Merrill Lynch

    ala a Petronet or ENI or a Nippon Gas all were announced as talking to IOC through the PNG press..

    A farm out agreement to drill welss at 3-4 at a time on IOC 8.5 mill acres. And a off take agreement lasting 25-30 years for LNG for a Japanese firm. All this news out bythe first on March

  • Report this Comment On January 20, 2009, at 11:46 PM, greenwave3 wrote:

    PALM is a one-hit wonder if I've ever seen one. They hit home runs back in the day, but are so far behind the curve now that they have absolutely no chance of competing with the big boys (AAPL, RIM -- even MOT looks prettier than PALM!)

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Related Tickers

11/23/2009 4:00 PM
GST $4.47 Up +0.18 +4.20%
Gastar Exploration… CAPS Rating: ****
NFLD $0.11 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Northfield Laborat… CAPS Rating: **
PALM $11.47 Down -0.27 -2.30%
Palm, Inc. CAPS Rating: *
IOC $28.06 Down +0.00 +0.00%
InterOil Corp (USA… CAPS Rating: *
ALD $3.57 Up +0.01 +0.28%
Allied Capital Cor… CAPS Rating: **
UIS $33.65 Up +0.76 +2.31%
Unisys Corp CAPS Rating: **
PRS $3.60 Up +0.10 +2.86%
Primus Guaranty, L… CAPS Rating: ****

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