Investing in biotech companies can be either exciting or scary. Sometimes they double overnight, as Indevus Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: IDEV ) did last year. And sometimes, they get taken behind the woodshed, where a very large man is waiting with a barber's smock and an axe. As ViroPharma (Nasdaq: VPHM ) did today.
Yeah, I'd call today's 50% drop a major haircut.
The issue? ViroPharma's phase 3 drug, maribavir, failed to show an effect in reducing cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease in stem cell transplant patients. The virus infects a lot of people, but isn't really a problem -- except when the immune system is compromised by something like a stem cell transplant or AIDS. (AstraZeneca's (NYSE: AZN ) Foscavir and Gilead Sciences' (Nasdaq: GILD ) Vistide are both used for treating CMV in AIDS patients.) Then, like its virus family member herpes, the virus comes out of hiding, but unlike the cold sores and genital warts that herpes causes, CMV infection can lead to death.
As is often the case, one drug company's loss is another drug company's gain. Roche's Cytovene is currently approved for treatment of CMV, and ViroPharma hoped that maribavir would work as well as the currently available drug, with fewer side effects. Maribavir is also in a head-to-head trial against Cytovene to prevent CMV in liver transplant patients. Roche has to be feeling pretty good about its chances in that study right about now.
Tiny Vical's future is also looking a little brighter. It has a drug farther back in the clinic that won't have to compete with maribavir, should it get past the FDA.
ViroPharma licensed maribavir from GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK ) in 2003, but unlike other biotech companies, it didn't need the drug to be successful. It already sells the antibiotic Vancocin, and last year it purchased Lev Pharmaceuticals, which gave it recently approved Cinryze, a treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE), a rare swelling disorder. There's still the risk of generic competition for Vancocin, but with a (new) market cap of less than $500 million, that seems well priced-in.
Maribavir is probably dead, but that doesn't mean that ViroPharma is.
Further Foolishness on faltering stocks: