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Bright Ideas in Smartphone Investing

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A freshly issued market analysis from mobile ad vendor AdMob raises some interesting questions about how the burgeoning smartphone sector is evolving, both here and around the world.

AdMob serves advertising to more than 6,000 websites, and it collects statistics about every mobile device that serves up one of its banners. While this measurement method isn't perfect, overweighting certain geographical regions, it should give a reasonably accurate picture of how people are using those fancy everything-plus-the-kitchen-sink smartphones to access the Internet today.

According to this data, Nokia (NYSE: NOK  ) is the undisputed king of mobile Internet usage, with a 30.2% global market share. You don't think of Nokia as a smartphone giant? Maybe that's because the Finnish company holds a mere 3% of the U.S. market. Here, Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) is the unsurprising champion; its devices claim 27.1% of all domestic mobile ad views.

The Android smartphone platform, blessed by Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) , grabbed a 5% traffic share in the first three months of its young public life. It is among the top Web-using devices on Deutsche Telekom's (NYSE: DT  ) T-Mobile network. The trickle of Android models is poised to turn into a torrent of Samsung, Motorola (NYSE: MOT  ) , and LG Electronics offerings, which should expand the Android's market clout considerably.

The Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) BlackBerry line is another American overachiever. A 22% U.S. traffic share translates into a 10% slice of the global cake, leaving lots of room for improvement. One bright note for RIM shareholders is that BlackBerry users seem to buy new phones on a regular basis -- 97% of their ad requests come from very modern versions of the BlackBerry operating system (v. 4.2 or higher).

By contrast, 12% of Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) Windows Mobile users are stuck with the nearly four-year-old 5.0 version, which was really aimed at the Pocket PCs that ruled mobile computing back then. Version 5 will lose its "mainstream support" status next year.

It's hard to tell from AdMob's data whether the varying phones just offer a more user-friendly online experience than their competitors, or if they simply outsold the competition. But if it ain't broke, don't fix it. What works for mobile data surfers today should be an indication of what they might want tomorrow. Based on this report, I'd take a long, hard look at Nokia for its foreign strengths, at RIM and Apple for their domestic dominance, and at companies with a finger in the Android pie, like Google.

The smartphone market ain't dead. In fact, it's still a mere toddler. There's plenty of growth ahead.

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Microsoft and Nokia are Motley Fool Inside Value selections. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Apple is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund owns shares in Google, but he holds no other position in any of the companies discussed here. His HTC Dash runs a decrepit old version of Windows Mobile, and he's more likely to get a new phone than to update the OS. You can check out Anders' holdings or a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 26, 2009, at 8:15 PM, InfoThatHelp wrote:

    Investing in Apple makes good sense because of it's platform, vison, and corporate strength. But investing in RIM? no thanks. What the corporates are doing with RIM BlackBerry can be better done on a Netbook. The battery on a Netbook can be significantly larger and store more electricity than the BlackBerry. Even though RIM is making BlackBerries with a bigger screen, Dell, ASUS, Lenovo and many other existing PC vendors are replacing the modem with 3G or 4G radio and voila, a Netbook that would make BlackBerry's offering irrelevant. BlackBerry eMail is being replaced by collaborative documents such as the Microsoft Sharepoint/live documents and Cloud computing technologies. Apple MobileMe has a huge lead over RIM, as well as Google, Microsoft, etc. RIM is quickly becoming irrelevant, why invest in a company that is quickly becoming irrelevant? Worse yet, the RIM technologies and platform are old, inflexible, non-extensible, their operating system is based on closed technologies, cannot be openned up like the Android, iPhone OS, WebOS. Smartphone features are built on top of operating systems, RIM is forced to depend on external partners for adding functionalities and features to the BlackBerry phone which is both very expensive to do, and very unreliable and prone to delays and deadend problems. I do not know why people who put their hard earned money into investing on RIM did not do their homework on RIM's problems. There is no reward in throwing more money away in an economy that is already the worst in 26 years.

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2/14/2012 12:55 PM
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