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Infinera: Cheap Today, Huge Tomorrow

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High-speed networking is a fact of modern life. There will only be more of it in the future, using even faster technologies.

Say hello to one little company that will benefit greatly from this trend: Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation Infinera (Nasdaq: INFN  ) .

Infinera has been a newsletter recommendation since December 2007, riding the roller-coaster track of economic ebb and flow on a very lumpy sales model. New customers get affordable infrastructure pieces at first, and then come back later for high-margin snap-in modules that do the hard work of ultra-fast optical network switching.

This reminds me of Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG  ) , where surgical robots are just the beginning of profitable revenue streams, such as attachments and accessories that are consumed and must frequently be replaced. As long as there is value in the technology, customers will keep coming back for more of the profit-making extras for years and years.

Unfortunately, this also makes Infinera's sales extra lumpy, even for a small-cap company. This quarter, the company reported sales of $66.6 million -- less than half of last year's $138.3 million -- despite a healthy influx of new customers. Two unnamed Tier 1 telecom providers from Europe placed their first orders, getting put into Infinera's Rolodex along with fellow European giant Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT  ) ; Infinera's largest customer, Level 3 (Nasdaq: LVLT  ) ; and smaller well-known clients like Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q  ) .

When the global economy recuperates from its current ills, I believe we can expect these customers to ramp up their plug-in orders. Infinera is taking it on the chin right now to the tune of a $0.26 net loss per share, in order to be ready for the upturn in due time.

The growth opportunities here are nearly ridiculous. Level 3 -- which is anything but a top-level carrier -- is far and away Infinera's largest customer. The rest have plenty of room to pick up their installations of Infinera's revolutionary optical components. And European first-class clients are all good, but where's AT&T (NYSE: T  ) and Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) ? I see higher-caliber customer signings in the future.

So Infinera is cheap today because the quirky revenue stream and horrendous economy have conspired to constrict sales and earnings. But its balance sheet is crisp and clean, with $233 million of cash equivalents and no debt whatsoever. Watch out for that bounce!

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Infinera and Intuitive Surgical are Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendations. The Fool owns shares of Infinera. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund owns shares in Intuitive Surgical, but he holds no other position in any of the companies discussed here. You can check out Anders' holdings or a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 22, 2009, at 6:11 PM, BullBearPiggy wrote:

    To say that Level 3 isn't a "top" level carrier shows your ignorance in the Telecom space - stick to what you know or at least learn something about companies that you write about!

  • Report this Comment On April 23, 2009, at 2:37 PM, dbbfool63 wrote:

    You say Level-3 is far and away Infinera's largest customer, then that tells me that Level-3 has a lot more customers, and a lot more money to handle much bigger contracts.

    You might want to look at Level-3's market cap again and also realize, besides that, the Owner has even more when you consider his net worth.

    I don't think they got that way by being a small to medium-level carrier.

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DocumentId: 881118, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/27/2012 10:20:20 AM

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
INFN $6.42 Up +0.08 +1.26%
Infinera CAPS Rating: *****
Q.DL $6.83 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Qwest Communicatio… CAPS Rating: **
T $33.69 Up +0.05 +0.15%
AT&T CAPS Rating: ***
VZ $41.45 Up +0.06 +0.14%
Verizon Communicat… CAPS Rating: ****
DT $11.83 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Deutsche Telekom A… CAPS Rating: ***
ISRG $526.55 Down -4.95 -0.93%
Intuitive Surgical CAPS Rating: ****
LVLT $21.99 Down -0.48 -2.14%
Level 3 Communicat… CAPS Rating: ***

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