Welcome to week 38 of my stock-picking throwdown with Mr. Market. Let's get right to the numbers:
Company |
Starting Price* |
Recent Price |
Total Return |
---|---|---|---|
Akamai |
$22.23 |
$22.02 |
(0.9%) |
Harris & Harris |
$6.22 |
$4.84 |
(22.2%) |
IBM |
$127.64** |
$103.21 |
(19.1%) |
Oracle |
$22.69** |
$19.34 |
(14.8%) |
Taiwan Semiconductor |
$10.34 |
$10.57 |
2.2% |
AVERAGE RETURN |
-- |
-- |
(10.96%) |
S&P 500 SPDR |
$124.37** |
$87.42 |
(29.71%) |
DIFFERENCE |
-- |
-- |
18.75 |
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
* Tracking began on Aug. 7, 2008.
** Adjusted for dividends and other returns of capital.
Welcome to yet another interesting week. Only this time, Mr. Market gave up a lot of ground in our three-year contest -- a whopping 365 basis points, specifically.
Swine flu fears didn't help. Which, frankly, is unfortunate. I agree with my Foolish colleague Seth Jayson on this one. As much as I sympathize with those who've been afflicted, and even more with those who have lost loved ones to the virus, it takes a special sort of cognitive dissonance to sell stocks based on nothing more than the unknown odds of a global pandemic.
On the other hand, it's creepy to watch stonehearted speculators load up on shares of GlaxoSmithKline
You want to profit from the swine flu? Fine. Buy shares of quality businesses that have sold off during this week's manic market gyrations. Hold for the long haul. Rinse. Repeat.
The week in tech
In tech, an awful report from Sun Microsystems
"Can the sector keep it up? I'm not convinced," wrote Pat Dorsey, Morningstar's director of research, in a recent Money column. "Large software companies, for instance, are likely to be hurt by corporate America's reluctance to lay out cash for big-ticket upgrades in such an uncertain economy."
The industry is also changing. Competition is fiercer. Just this week, Big Blue said it was preparing an intelligent indexing program called "Watson" that IBM scientists believe will compete successfully against human contestants on the game show Jeopardy!. Beneath the hyperbole is a system that could very well disrupt Google
Disruption is the coin of the realm in tech. Investors are therefore best served by exercising prudence in picking stocks -- stick to the very best -- and patience in waiting for gains. That's how David Gardner produced a decade of 20% returns in the real-money Rule Breaker portfolio. Tom Gardner's "simpleton portfolio" was also a 10-year winner. I believe that, with these five tech stocks, I will achieve similar success.
Checkup time!
Now let's move on to the rest of today's update:
- Akamai suffered a legal setback in its patent tussle with Limelight Networks. But then, on Wednesday evening, it reported expectations-shattering revenue and earnings. The stock is still rising as I write today.
- On Tuesday, IBM raised its dividend 10% to $0.55 per share, per quarter. This quarter's ex-dividend date is May 6.
There's your checkup. See you back here next week for more tech stock talk.
Get your clicks with further techie Foolishness:
- Let the countdown to the Sirius XM earnings report begin.
- Tech. China. Need I say more?
- Avast, Mr. Mac! There be pirates off your bow.