NetEase: Follow That Yuan!

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NetEase.com (Nasdaq: NTES) keeps playing around, and investors have to like it.

China's new media darling keeps expanding its mastery of online games. The company closed out its first quarter with $114.4 million in revenue, 20% ahead of last year's showing. Earnings grew even faster, soaring 55% to $0.47 a share.

The real surprise here is that NetEase did so well, despite a steep decline in online advertising. Unlike search engine giant Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), with its market leadership in the still-potent paid search realm, many of the online brand-advertising specialists struggled during the first three months of the year. Sponsors pulled back along with the economy, though both have showing signs of life since March.

Web-based advertising isn't a big deal at NetEase these days, with online games accounting for a whopping 93% of the revenue mix. In China, online gaming's a good place to be, since most of the niche's publicly-traded players have been growing nicely.

They also happen to be ridiculously cheap.

Company

2009 Expected EPS

Forward P/E

NetEase

$2.03

14

Shanda Interactive (Nasdaq: SNDA)

$3.19

17

The9 (Nasdaq: NCTY)

$0.88

11

Perfect World (Nasdaq: PWRD)

$2.22

9

Giant Interactive (NYSE: GA)

$0.61

13

Changyou.com (Nasdaq: CYOU)

$2.67

11

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

With the exception of The9 -- in for a tough near-term haul after losing its World of Warcraft license in China -- the companies expect to earn even more next year. It's hard to fathom another high-margin industry on a growth tear like this, yet with all its key players trading at forward earnings multiples in the mid-teens or lower.

This doesn't mean that the stocks have been dogs. Shanda and NetEase were recommended to Motley Fool Rule Breakers subscribers more than four years ago, and they've appreciated by 36% and 126%, respectively, since then. If that doesn't impress you, consider that the S&P 500 has fallen 25% in that time.

Certainly, there are industry, company, and even country risks here, but it's hard to argue against the tempting valuations. Unless its growth gets derailed, this sector should easily beat the market over the next couple of years.

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NetEase.com, Baidu, and Shanda are Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendations.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been a fan of China’s high-margin gaming stocks for a long time. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On May 22, 2009, at 9:29 AM, kagame wrote:

    Saying SNDA is up 36% since it was recommended is a completely ridiculous and misleading boast. After Rule Breakers recommended it at $44 the stock crashed down to the TEENS. The company was thought to have completely lost its way, and Rule Breakers did nothing to reassure its subscribers about the long term prospects. Holding SNDA till now would have taken a supreme act of will, and actually would have been an idiotic maneuver,. with multiple opportunities to sell at $40 and reenter at $25. Yes thats right, SNDA was recently at $25. Maybe Rule Breakers should have let everyone know about AION, to anticipate this recent runup. Oh additionally, SNDA hasnt traded at this high of a PE for the last 4 years. Post conference call = time to sell? Buy the rumor sell the news.

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Related Tickers

11/23/2009 4:06 PM
GA $6.85 Down -0.02 -0.29%
Giant Interactive… CAPS Rating: ****
BIDU $439.00 Up +11.41 +2.67%
Baidu.com, Inc. (A… CAPS Rating: **
NCTY $7.55 Up +0.06 +0.80%
The9 Limited (ADR) CAPS Rating: ****
NTES $37.85 Down -0.40 -1.05%
NetEase.com, Inc.… CAPS Rating: ***
PWRD $43.67 Down -0.03 -0.07%
Perfect World Co.,… CAPS Rating: ***
SNDA $49.42 Up +1.03 +2.13%
Shanda Interactive… CAPS Rating: ****

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