Buy Baidu -- Everybody's Doing It!

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The accolades keep pouring in for Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU). This morning finds Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) raising its near-term price target on shares of China's leading search engine. The firm is reiterating its "Conviction Buy" rating, boosting its near-term target on Baidu shares from $300 to $350.

If you think you've read this before, you're only partly right. Goldman Sachs jacked up its projected price -- from $273 to $300 -- exactly two weeks ago.

Goldman Sachs isn't the only firm breaking out the pompons for Baidu. Deutsche Bank and Citigroup delivered a pair of analyst upgrades three months ago.

Why does everybody love Baidu these days? Remember when Mr. Market thought that Baidu had the cooties as 2008 ground to a close? The stock traded as low as $100.50 after it was revealed that Baidu was accepting ads from unlicensed medical companies. Investors worried that Chinese netizens might bolt to distant rival Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) as a result of the credibility smack upside the head.

The defections never came. Baidu came through with healthy first-quarter growth this year, as revenue clocked in 41% higher for the period. Baidu's mastery of paid search has held up well, even as brand advertising specialists in China like SINA (Nasdaq: SINA) and Sohu.com (Nasdaq: SOHU) have struggled.

No one's slamming the brakes on Baidu. If anything, analysts are pressing down on the accelerator. Three months ago, Wall Street was expecting Baidu to earn $5.47 a share this year, and $7.28 a share in 2010. The new profit targets are $5.77 and $8.17 respectively.

The brighter bottom-line outlooks have helped keep valuations somewhat in check, even as the stock has nearly tripled since bottoming out six months ago. Sure, few will call Baidu -- closing yesterday at 35 times next year's profit projection -- cheap. However, you may be kicking yourself for passing up Baidu when it bottomed out in December if you knew it would have been less than 12 times the eventual profit target for 2010 -- or when I first recommended it to Rule Breakers subscribers, when it was still in the double digits less than three years ago.

There are certainly cheaper growth plays in China, like online gaming specialist Perfect World (Nasdaq: PWRD) and television advertising enabler China Mass Media (NYSE: CMM). They trade at just 9 and 7 times next year's earnings guesstimates, respectively. However, Baidu has truly lived up to its reputation as the Google of China, offering even healthier growth than the global search engine leader.

If you don't see it yet, give Goldman Sachs another two weeks. Who knows how high the price targets will go if the fundamentals continue to follow the share price higher?

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Baidu has more than tripled since being singled out to Rule Breakers readers three years ago. Google and Sohu.com are also Breaker picks. SINA is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Why are you missing out on these great stock picks? The answer may be waiting in free 30-day passes to any or all of the newsletters.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been a fan of China's growth stocks for several years now, even though he does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 10:47 AM, kylliki wrote:

    When everyone is jumping on the band wagon, it is time, in my opinion, to step back and take a long look. Instead of buying for growth, one needs to short this stock.

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