3 Stocks That Blew the Market Away

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I believe that a stock's biggest factor in beating the market is to first beat the market's expectations. That's why I devote this space every week to reviewing three companies that have humbled the prognosticators. Leaving Wall Street's pros with puzzled expressions usually means that these companies had more in the tank than expected, and capital appreciation often follows.

We can start with Best Buy (NYSE: BBY). The consumer-electronics superstore earned $0.42 a share in its latest quarter, excluding some restructuring charges. That's just shy of the $0.43 that the retailer delivered a year ago, but it's comfortably ahead of Wall Street's bottom-line target of $0.34.

With Circuit City's March liquidation, Best Buy stands to gain some serious market share in this space. Naturally, consumers need to be in a mood to snap up new computers, appliances, and televisions. We'll get there eventually, and when we do, that's when Best Buy will probably beat both analyst guesstimates and its previous year's net income.

FedEx (NYSE: FDX) is another topper, although you wouldn't know it by eyeing what appears to be another uninspiring quarter. Revenue fell by 20%. Pro forma profits of $0.64 a share -- before a writedown of the value of its assets turned black ink to red -- are a fraction of last year's pro forma earnings of $1.45 a share. Yes, these are lean times for shipping specialists such as FedEx and UPS (NYSE: UPS), but Mr. Market was expecting FedEx to earn just $0.51 a share.

Finally, we have Carnival (NYSE: CCL) sailing past the prognosticators. Taking a page out of the Best Buy and FedEx storylines, the leading cruise-ship operator's quarterly profit of $0.33 a share is less than it earned a year ago. However, it was still more than Wall Street's $0.29 target.

Carnival also announced that future bookings were well ahead of where they stood a year ago. That's good news for industry rivals such as NCL and Royal Caribbean (NYSE: RCL), as well as for Steiner Leisure (Nasdaq: STNR), which runs most of Carnival's shipboard spas.

So keep watching the companies that surpass expectations, since the market rewards the overachievers. That's the kind of story we look for in the Rule Breakers newsletter service. Want in? Check out a 30-day trial subscription. And come back next Monday to learn about more stocks that blew the market away.

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Best Buy is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Steiner Leisure is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. Best Buy and FedEx are Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations. United Parcel Service is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. The Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a fan of toppers. He owns no shares in any of the companies in this story and is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 22, 2009, at 12:11 PM, sett0047 wrote:

    While BBY does seem to be holding up fairly well in light of difficult retail market conditions, here are just a few factors that will more than offset any market share gains over the next 12-24 months:

    (1) obviously, less attractive financing offers and less credit available overall;

    (2) wireless appliances and digital delivery - why spend $000's on cable, components, and accessories when all my content is delivered over broadband or satelite and acessible by PC, wireless network, or iPod; and

    (3) Cloud computing - imagine what happens to PC sales when operating systems and software never become outdated.

    Now, these changes won't happen over night...or maybe not even before the 2009 holiday shopping season. But, this day will come soon than one might expect. Given the company's latest product introduction (battery-operated scooters), management seems to agree.

  • Report this Comment On June 22, 2009, at 6:37 PM, FUDweiser wrote:

    Best Buy Product Offerings and Customer Service are deteriorating fast. You can find much better content and much lower prices online at other places.

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11/24/2009 10:08 AM
BBY $43.43 Down -0.28 -0.64%
Best Buy Co., Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
CCL $32.09 Down -0.20 -0.62%
Carnival Corp CAPS Rating: **
FDX $82.25 Down -0.36 -0.44%
FedEx Corp CAPS Rating: ***
RCL $24.02 Down -0.06 -0.25%
Royal Caribbean Cr… CAPS Rating: **
UPS $57.82 Down -0.34 -0.58%
United Parcel Serv… CAPS Rating: ***
STNR $41.00 Down -0.97 -2.31%
Steiner Leisure Li… CAPS Rating: ***