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The Stock That Makes Value Investors Cry

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It's enough to make a value investor weep. I want to buy shares of 3-D printer maker Stratasys (Nasdaq: SSYS  ) . Really, I do. But how can I possibly justify buying a stock that sells for 140 times earnings?

Calling all Trekkies
This maker of space-age, Star Trek-reminiscent "3-dimensional printers" used by companies as diverse as Nike (NYSE: NKE  ) , Garmin (Nasdaq: GRMN  ) , and Deere (NYSE: DE  ) reported Q4 and full-year 2009 earnings Wednesday morning, and the news was pretty ugly, folks. Sales for the year dropped 21%, while profits simply plunged -- down 69% year over year.

Yet there was good news to report as well. In Q4, the Great Recession let up the pressure on Stratasys' sales a bit; they dropped "only" 18%. Profits, meanwhile, were actually up 20% year over year, as Stratasys booked $0.12 per share in earnings. Operating cash flow perked up as well, clocking in at $11.3 million for the quarter -- 80% as much cash as Stratasys had generated in the previous three quarters combined.

And that's just the start …
So there was good news as well as bad. But absolutely none of it matters -- not Stratasys' bad full-year sales, nor its improved Q4 earnings. What matters with this company is what will happen over the next five years, when Stratasys expects to enjoy 500% sales growth as its new partnership with Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  ) gets under way.

Stratasys had little new to say about the H-P collaboration in its earnings release (and that's OK -- it told us plenty last month). But it did give us a glimpse into why H-P sees so much potential in this market, describing how Autodesk (Nasdaq: ADSK  ) recently used its design software in conjunction with Stratasys' 3-D printers to produce a "full-scale turbo-prop aircraft engine model."

Tracking down the original press release on this project (it happened in December), I discovered that the project involved the production and assembly of 188 separate components over the course of six and a half weeks, at a cost of about $25,000. According to Autodesk, this was more than five times faster than it would ordinarily take to produce a full-size model -- at a cost savings of 97%!

Foolish takeaway
Cost savings like the ones Autodesk describes make me almost believe Stratasys can achieve the near-40% annual sales growth it predicts over the next five years. The product's just that good.

I only wish the price were a little bit better.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Rich Smith doesn't have a position in any company named above, but Stratasys is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers selection, and The Fool owns shares of and has covered calls on Autodesk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 18, 2010, at 2:36 PM, wenuell wrote:

    Neither Nike, Garmin nor Deere reported earnings today so I have no clue who you're trying to bash with your negative comments. Appaerently neither do you. Try taking a few more courses at the local community college Rich.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
SSYS $48.97 Down -3.15 -6.04%
Stratasys CAPS Rating: *****
HPQ $22.33 Up +0.56 +2.57%
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GRMN $43.19 Down -0.53 -1.21%
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ADSK $32.12 Up +0.26 +0.82%
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