Recs

21

Up 30%? What Are You People On?

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: KERX  ) shares jumped as much as 30% today, after the company announced that its colon cancer drug perifosine had received a fast-track designation from the Food and Drug Administration.

April Fools is over, folks; that's not a joke. Seems we need another lesson in what a company gains from a fast-track designation.

The FDA gives fast-track designations to drugs designed to treat serious diseases that have unmet need. Colon cancer certainly counts as serious, and while there are plenty of approved treatments for it-- including Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY  ) and Eli Lilly's (NYSE: LLY  ) Erbitux, Amgen's (Nasdaq: AMGN  ) Vectibix, and Roche's Xeloda -- none of them are cures. Was a fast-track designation for perifosine really all that surprising?

Here's what a company can get with its fast-track designation:

  • Increased interaction with the FDA to discuss the drug's development, including clinical trial design.
  • Eligiblility for accelerated approval using surrogate endpoints, like progression-free survival instead of overall survival.
  • A rolling review, where the FDA starts reviewing sections of the New Drug Application (NDA) as they're available, rather than waiting until the entire application is complete.

You'll notice that "increased chance of approval" isn't listed. Nor is "a guarantee of higher sales." A fast-track designation may make for nice press releases, but its value is fairly limited for drugmakers.

Keryx already has a Special Protocol Assessment (SPA) with the FDA for the phase 3 trial it will begin shortly, so the first two advantages aren't too valuable at this point. The rolling review sounds good, but a fast-track designation never seems to speed up the approval process too much. Dendreon's (Nasdaq: DNDN  ) Provenge had fast-track designation, and it only got an answer for its first-approval attempt about a week ahead of the FDA's PDUFA goal. For its second attempt, we're less than a month away from the goal, and there's still no decision in hand.

The bigger influence on the timing of an approval comes from whether a drug gets a standard 10-month review or a priority six-month review time frame. That decision is separate from the fast-track designation, and it isn't decided until the marketing application gets turned in. Most drugs given fast-track designation receive priority reviews, since both designations are based on the needs of patients. But the timing of the review is ultimately decided by the data in the clinical trials. Cell Therapeutics (Nasdaq: CTIC  ) received a fast-track for pixantrone, but the FDA gave it a standard review time period, for example.

If you agree with me that Keryx doesn't deserve a double-digit increase for gaining fast-track designation, join me in marking it as an underperform in Motley Fool CAPS. I'm hoping to ride Keryx's coattails down, if only to increase my All-Star ranking a little more.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Motley Fool Rule Breakers is always on the hunt for hot drug stocks and other cutting-edge picks. Click here to see all of our latest discoveries with a free 30-day trial subscription.

Fool contributor Brian Orelli, Ph.D., doesn't own shares of any company mentioned in this article. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 06, 2010, at 6:31 AM, Bassplayer54 wrote:

    KERX has a four star CAPS rating,why wouldn't it be EXPECTED to rise up to 30% and close up 22% on news of its cancer drug....that's why it has a 4 STAR rating, duh!!!

  • Report this Comment On April 07, 2010, at 9:16 AM, Bioswatch wrote:

    I'm sorry you're hedge fund buddies didn't like the move by KERX but it should have been 300% as opposed to 30%. 2 Fast Tracks, 3 Special Protocols, Orphan Drug Status, Fully Funded to Complete all 3 SPAs as per the CEO, all 3 SPAS with blockbuster potential, a multi cancer drug and all this with such a small amount of outstanding shares. No doubt there has been an effort from the "big boys" top take over the 90% hold on the company which they once had and with the help of ridiculous blogs like this. Fast track most importantly speeds up the review process and the submission of the NDA in which approval can come within 6 months of the complete submission. Now KERX has two Fast Track designations and with a tiny market cap in comparison to that of DNDN. The upside potential is enormous. The market is reacting to the fact that KERX is completely undervalued while comparing it to the likes of DNDN, which is further along but has a pipeline with a fraction of the potential of KERX and a hell of a lot more outstanding shares. Remember, this is a multi cancer drug we are talking about which equates to potential multi billion dollar blockbuster drugs for many indications and even if approved for just one. So now the hedgies have gone short again, and between reporting dates as wel,l with this blog serving as a tool for them in my opinion. The coil is wound tight setting KERX up for another significant rise and rightly so as the market with eventually take it's course and make up for the undervaluation of both the market cap and current pps.

    KERX is a win/win, absent any unforseen surprises, long before trials will ever reach completion in my opinion. After approval of any of 3 current SPAs, the sky is the limit but I do believe the pps will pass that of DNDN long before approval despite the efforts of those trying top accumulate the lion's share of outstanding shares.

  • Report this Comment On April 08, 2010, at 10:04 AM, jm445 wrote:

    4/8/2010

    Your plan of riding KERX down does not seem to be

    working. I would rate it more of a buy than a short.

    I will check back with you next week.

  • Report this Comment On April 12, 2010, at 4:41 PM, xlunarbase wrote:

    lol, how do you like KERX now? YOU're going down!

  • Report this Comment On April 25, 2010, at 2:17 PM, johno67 wrote:

    Hold this one LONG. Get wealthy.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1143778, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/27/2012 7:25:22 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 1 day ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,454.83 -74.92 -0.60%
S&P 500 1,317.82 -2.86 -0.22%
NASD 2,837.53 -1.85 -0.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/25/2012 3:59 PM
KERX $1.75 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Keryx Biopharmaceu… CAPS Rating: **
DNDN $7.11 Down -0.11 -1.52%
Dendreon Corp CAPS Rating: **
LLY $41.11 Down -0.05 -0.12%
Eli Lilly & Co. CAPS Rating: ****
CTIC $0.91 Down -0.01 -1.09%
Cell Therapeutics,… CAPS Rating: **
AMGN $69.05 Down -0.05 -0.07%
Amgen, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
BMY $33.09 Up +0.10 +0.30%
Bristol-Myers Squi… CAPS Rating: ****

Advertisement