Watch stocks you care about
The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...
Your own personalized stock watchlist!
It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...
This may not seem like the best time to begin dabbling in China's fallen dot-com darlings.
Chinese growth stocks are dropping like flies. There's a real investor confidence problem out there, compounded by six weeks of general market declines. However, this is also shaping up to be an ideal time to begin warming up to Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU ) .
Let's go over a few of the reasons to consider China's largest search engine at a time when investors aren't searching in China at all.
1. Baidu isn't broken.
Shares of Baidu have fallen 24% since peaking two months ago.
It's one of the lucky ones. Leading online portal SINA (Nasdaq: SINA ) has shed 42% of its value, and that's with its red-hot Twitter-esque Weibo continuing to gain traction in the world's most populous nation. ChinaCache (Nasdaq: CCIH ) was one of last year's hottest IPOs, but the Web services provider is now trading a whopping 80% off its earlier high.
Investors need to disconnect a stock's popularity with its fundamentals. Buying into Baidu may be out of favor, but analysts haven't been more encouraged about the company's prospects than they are right now.
Three months ago, Wall Street targeted a profit of $2.48 a share out of Baidu this year and $3.61 a share for next year. Now the pros see earnings of $2.64 a share this year and $3.97 a share come 2012.
2. The valuation is tempting.
You don't need to be a mathematical wunderkind to know that a falling share price coupled with improving profitability results in contracting P/E multiples.
With last night's close of $118.03 and the now beefier net income target of $3.97 a share for next year, Baidu's trading at a forward multiple of a mere 29.7.
When's the last time that you could've bought into Baidu at a year-ahead P/E of less than 30? It's still a high number, but Baidu is growing at a headier clip than that and will likely continue to do so for several more years.
Analysts see revenue climbing 67% this year and 51% next year, with Baidu's bottom line growing even faster.
Baidu's too cheap to ignore relative to its growth.
3. The comparisons get better.
Baidu has always been a speedster relative to Google (Nasdaq: GOOG ) , but now we have another regional search engine to chew on. Russia's Yandex (Nasdaq: YNDX ) went public at $25 last month and is still trading nicely above its initial price tag.
The same can't be said for Baidu over the past month, though investors will eventually realize that Baidu is growing faster and serves a much larger market. Baidu may already command a much larger market cap than Yandex, but comparing Baidu's growth over the next few quarters with that of Yandex and Google should be a rewarding practice from Baidu's perspective.
4. Catalysts are everywhere.
Even if Chinese stocks fail to claw their way back into investor fancy, there are plenty of Baidu-specific news items that may propel the stock higher.
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg met with Baidu when he visited China several months ago, and reports began surfacing in April indicating that Facebook would be launching in China with Baidu as its partner. History has proven that outsiders flop in China without a homegrown partner, and Baidu's the perfect fit.
Another potential springboard is overseas expansion. A Baidu executive told Bloomberg last month that the company is developing products in a dozen different foreign languages. Baidu entered Japan a few years ago -- with minimal success -- but investors have a way of falling for the tantalizing possibilities of global growth.
There's a world of opportunities -- and growth -- waiting for Baidu.
Is Baidu cheap right now, or is it still too rich for your blood? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.