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4-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Sequenom  

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, genetic analysis specialist Sequenom (Nasdaq: SQNM  ) has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Sequenom's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Sequenom facts

Headquarters (Founded) San Diego, Calif. (1994)
Market Cap $404.3 million
Industry Life sciences tools and services
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $54.2 million
Management Chairman/CEO Dr. Harry Hixson, Jr.
CFO Paul Maier
Return on Equity (Average, Past 3 Years) (132.3%)
Cash/Debt $101.2 million / $12.1 million
Competitors Illumina (Nasdaq: ILMN  )
Life Technologies (Nasdaq: LIFE  )

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 92% of the 681 members who have rated Sequenom believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bulls include MajorBob04 and unkownuser.

Earlier this week, MajorBob04 tapped Sequenom as tempting turnaround opportunity:

Insiders are buying this stock. And as Seeking Alpha says: "With the stock trading for about 50% of the 52 week high, this could be a good candidate for a rebound in January after all the tax-loss selling ends." I agree.

Over the next five years, Sequenom is even expected to grow its bottom line at a brisk rate of 22% annually. That's faster than that of main rivals Illumina (18%) and Life Technologies (11%).

CAPS member unkownuser elaborates on the growth opportunity:

The Sequenom MaterniT21 prenatal test for Down Syndrome is going to be a much bigger hit than people realize. ...

It is being marketed as an alternative to amniocentesis for women over 35; the intended target market, since they are at highest risk of bearing children with Down Syndrome.

Despite the higher risk (and higher incidence of Down Syndrome) in the over-35 group, the fact is that there are millions more women under 35 having children. ...

So my feeling is that now that detection has been reduced to the level of simple blood work, more and more women outside the high risk category will be requesting the screening as a "just in case" measure.

What this means is that Sequenom's extremely conservative estimate of potential sales, which includes only the 750,000 births yearly to those women in the high risk category; could balloon into something much much bigger.

What do you think about Sequenom, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Owning exceptional stocks is a surefire way to secure your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to find them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

Interested in another easy way to track Sequenom? Add it to your watchlist.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Illumina. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 26, 2011, at 11:04 AM, prudenttrader77 wrote:

    Here is the problem with SQNM. Management has never proven they can turn a profit on anything they bring to market. In addition to that issue management has had excessive issues with insider trading, and corrupt data. Granted those issues are hopefully behind them but the street is not going to over look them and the street is going to demand actual revenues and eventual positive earnings before they even consider getting behind this company again. FMA was the largest shareholder by far and they cleaned house and dumped their position. There is also the question of the massive short positions in this stock. Those institutional shorts have been in place for a long long time and they don’t show any signs of even thinking about covering. Yes I believe the downside risk is fairly limited in real dollar terms ( not % ) but the bad part is you may do better in treasuries then having capital tied up in this stock over the next 6 months.

  • Report this Comment On November 29, 2011, at 12:45 PM, bevo002 wrote:

    Full disclosure. I am in the business side of healthcare. Well versed in OB pathways and the revenue cycle.

    1. Insurance inclusion is certain. Amniocentesis includes both a professional and technical charge against the insurance provider, as well as a ultrasound charge separate from the Amnio procedure itself. It is higher when the procedure is done in a hospital-based clinic. The SQNM test is a single charge ancillary. This alone will provide savings to carriers.

    2. While insurance coverage is certain, there should have been no rational believe that agreements could have been struck prior to the release of the data. Carriers needed to see if the test was clear enough to supplant amnio in the pathway, and (most importantly) how often. You cant run that point estimate without the data.

    3. There are a range of referring doctors that would prefer to avoid amino simply for throughput reasons. MFM's have higher value activities that they can engage in...nearly across the board. Front-line OB's need to be in a posture to be admitting/performing on a moments notice with their patient base. In particular, OB's in a RVU model of reimbursement would do better to avoid this long, cautious procedure if an alternative was available

    4. The technology has enormous intrinsic value. If SQNM lacks the chassis to deploy it, there are several companies that will find the technology to be highly accretive to their existing business development infrastructure.

    5. SQNM has the appearance of a highly maliciously manipulated stock. The manipulation is of no consequence except to the holders that were seeking ST gains or have ST liquidity needs.

    6. Undoubtedly, there will be a sharp indefensible correction that will trap the short speculators. Bulls, Bears, & Pigs...... Prior to the release of the data, one could make a good case for posturing as either a Bull or Bear.... Today, the only option is Bulls & Pigs.

  • Report this Comment On November 29, 2011, at 1:18 PM, unkownuser wrote:

    There is a tiny group (possibly even one person) who bashes this stock endlessly. You can see it here and on other stock message boards... The bashers ruin message boards, and while they may try to come off as deep thinkers, their motivations are transparent to the informed.

    Don't take message board commentary at face value, do your own due diligence and you will find out why Sequenom insiders are buying up their company stock with their own private money.

  • Report this Comment On December 07, 2011, at 12:14 PM, TopAustrianFool wrote:

    SQNM is part of the alternative science & healthcare technology bubble. It also feeds from the educational bubble. All of these will pop soon and SQNM will be a penny stock. With ILMN and all of the Solyndras to follow.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
SQNM $4.32 Down -0.02 -0.46%
Sequenom, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
LIFE $41.83 Down -0.18 -0.43%
Life Technologies… CAPS Rating: ****
ILMN $43.84 Up +0.38 +0.87%
Illumina CAPS Rating: ****

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