Do New S&P 500 Stocks Become Instant Winners?

Joining the index can be a mixed bag for stocks. Find out how some recent entrants have done.

Apr 6, 2014 at 11:30AM

Last week, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) jumped to new record highs before posting a steep drop on Friday. Yet even though many investors think of the S&P 500 as the benchmark against which they measure their own performance, what many investors don't realize about the S&P 500 is that it's a constantly evolving index, with additions and deletions happening on a regular basis. As it turns out, just because a stock gets into the S&P doesn't mean it's a guaranteed winner. Let's look at three new S&P stocks -- General Growth Properties (NYSE:GGP), Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), and Transocean (NYSE:RIG) -- enter the index. Let's take a look at how these three stocks have performed since joining the S&P.

Real-estate investment trust General Growth Properties has climbed almost 6% since joining the S&P in early December. The REIT has had a storied history, with its perhaps most notable achievement being that it was one of the rare companies whose outstanding shares survived the aftermath of bankruptcy proceedings. During the financial crisis, the operator of regional shopping malls faced the potential for collapse, but when commercial real estate didn't suffer quite as huge a hit as the residential housing market did, smart institutional investors made out like bandits by investing in General Growth's equity. With a 2.7% yield and the potential for growth, General Growth Properties still looks attractive to many investors even as brick-and-mortar malls remain under pressure.


Facebook made it into the S&P 500 in late December, and since then, the social-media giant has gone on a roller-coaster ride that has resulted in just a 3% net gain for the stock. In February, Facebook stock soared as the company continued to find ways to boost its mobile ad presence and monetize its growing customer base. But as investors started to grow more wary of the market's gains overall, social media became one of the areas that they moved away from the most, fearful of talk of bubble-like valuations. Facebook has plenty of potential, but it also has a checkered past for shareholders, and many don't have the same confidence in Facebook that they would from other companies.

Finally, Transocean joined the S&P in late October, and since then, it has fallen almost 9%. Investors have gotten nervous about the sustainability of the boom in deepwater drilling, especially as Transocean's aging fleet of rigs looks increasingly inferior to those of its many competitors with newer drillships and rigs at their disposal. The big question for Transocean is whether when contracts come up for renewal, customers will stick with their older equipment or flee to competing companies with more attractive rigs with greater capabilities. Unless Transocean moves aggressively to update its own fleet, recent drops could just be the beginning of a painful trend for investors.

The lesson for S&P investors is that just because a stock makes it into the prestigious index, it still has to perform well fundamentally in order to score further gains. Otherwise, the stock could find itself getting booted out of the S&P 500 just as quickly as it gained membership.

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Dan Caplinger owns shares of Transocean. The Motley Fool recommends Facebook and owns shares of Facebook and Transocean. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

Don't be one of them.

Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

Admitting fear is difficult.

So you can imagine how shocked I was to find out Warren Buffett recently told a select number of investors about the cutting-edge technology that's keeping him awake at night.

This past May, The Motley Fool sent 8 of its best stock analysts to Omaha, Nebraska to attend the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting. CEO Warren Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger fielded questions for nearly 6 hours.
The catch was: Attendees weren't allowed to record any of it. No audio. No video. 

Our team of analysts wrote down every single word Buffett and Munger uttered. Over 16,000 words. But only two words stood out to me as I read the detailed transcript of the event: "Real threat."

That's how Buffett responded when asked about this emerging market that is already expected to be worth more than $2 trillion in the U.S. alone. Google has already put some of its best engineers behind the technology powering this trend. 

The amazing thing is, while Buffett may be nervous, the rest of us can invest in this new industry BEFORE the old money realizes what hit them.

KPMG advises we're "on the cusp of revolutionary change" coming much "sooner than you think."

Even one legendary MIT professor had to recant his position that the technology was "beyond the capability of computer science." (He recently confessed to The Wall Street Journal that he's now a believer and amazed "how quickly this technology caught on.")

Yet according to one J.D. Power and Associates survey, only 1 in 5 Americans are even interested in this technology, much less ready to invest in it. Needless to say, you haven't missed your window of opportunity. 

Think about how many amazing technologies you've watched soar to new heights while you kick yourself thinking, "I knew about that technology before everyone was talking about it, but I just sat on my hands." 

Don't let that happen again. This time, it should be your family telling you, "I can't believe you knew about and invested in that technology so early on."

That's why I hope you take just a few minutes to access the exclusive research our team of analysts has put together on this industry and the one stock positioned to capitalize on this major shift.

Click here to learn about this incredible technology before Buffett stops being scared and starts buying!

David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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