The 2 Other Global Megatrends You Must Own

Recs

6

Money.

That was Global Megatrend No. 1, as identified by Motley Fool Global Gains Advisor Bill Mann -- and he suggested that you own it for good reason. Capital is flowing worldwide like never before, and the current credit crunch will be just a blip when one considers the emerging purchasing power of consumers in places such as China, India, and Brazil.

I'm not trying to downplay the significance of current events -- just observing that the global influence of the U.S. economy is diminishing. Capitalize by picking up shares of strong global banking brands such as JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) or Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), or emerging foreign names such as HDFC Bank or Banco Itau.

And banks aren't the only companies benefiting from global megatrends.

Get in on the ground floor if you can
"Remove yourself from your own cocoon ... and think about what is happening in the growth economies around the globe."

That was Bill's advice on how to find superior foreign stock ideas, and it is sound. Our Global Gains team travels extensively every year, and as a result, we get ideas we never would have had otherwise. That's a function of meeting management and investors on the ground in these countries. Not only do they provide color to the numbers they report in SEC filings, but they also occasionally give hot tips about the companies they admire (often little-known to U.S. investors) that operate in the same markets.

But individual American investors likely don't have time for the same travel schedule.

While that's unfortunate for a number of reasons (The Great Wall and Iguassu Falls are two of the world's must-see attractions), recent events here in the United States have made clear two more global megatrends.

And yes, you must own them.

Global Megatrend No. 2: $5 gas
If you weren't aware that gas prices have been rising, you have been living in a cocoon. A gallon of gasoline costs $1.13 more today than it did at this time last year -- with the national average being $4.10 per gallon, according to the Department of Energy.

The gas price issue is among the top priorities for consumers, presidential candidates, and the media. And while everyone says they want lower gas prices, don't expect that to happen anytime in the near future.

There's simply too much global demand, too many pinch points along the way from ground to pump, and too much idiocy influencing energy policy around the world. Alternative energy research may offer some long-term relief, but demand for energy should be so huge by the time much of that comes on line (places such as China and India aren't even close to being fully "developed") that prices won't come down in response.

So buy energy -- but buy it with the intent to hold for the next decade or more. It's that easy. ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), with its massive reserves, is one easy answer, but there are other, better options. Brazil's Petrobras, for example, offers more exposure to that rapidly growing market. China'sSuntech Power (NYSE: STP) pursues solar technology in another market with huge demand. While it's an expensive stock at the moment, Suntech's energy solutions cannot be ignored.

Global Megatrend No. 3: $5 milk
The price of food has been rising right alongside the price of energy. That's partly thanks to a spike in corn prices caused by ethanol demand. In response, an increasing number of farmers have started growing corn and stopped growing other grains, which has resulted in widespread sticker shock. After all, when grain prices rise, so, too, do the prices of things made from grain (bread and cereal) and things that eat grain (meat and milk).

Add record global demand to this equation, and you have another global megatrend.

Giants Monsanto (NYSE: MON) and Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) have already been hugely successful in this brave new agricultural world, returning 65.4% and 22.4% annually, respectively, in the past five years.

But these aren't the only stocks that stand to benefit. Strangely named Chinese dairy play American Dairy (NYSE: ADY) clearly has problems with management and internal controls, but its milk-powder products meet a very real and vital need in China.

Buy to own
Money, energy, and food: Those are three clear global megatrends you should make room for in your portfolio. It could be as easy as buying a big multinational name, or you may want to drill down and find a company in a specific country that's poised to profit.

For help with those specific stock decisions, join us at Global Gains. You can see all of our research and recommendations, including our top stocks from our trip to China in June, free with a 30-day trial. There is no obligation to subscribe.

This article was first published on Jan. 24, 2008. It has been updated.

Tim Hanson owns shares of HDFC Bank, which is also a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Petrobras and JPMorgan Chase are Income Investor selections. Suntech Power is a Rule Breakers choice. The Fool's disclosure policy tries really hard ... really.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 05, 2008, at 10:40 AM, justthefcts wrote:

    I believe this article is wrong. Perhaps in the short term fossil fuels will continue to have a run but changes are already taking place. Anyone who believes now we can continue to pull oil out of the ground when it is a finite resource I think is foolish. Continued price run ups for costlier oil will simply impoverish countries, increase pressure for, and investment in alternatives. It will eventually (I think soon) decrease demand for oil. As to fast growing economies - there is no economy that will grow fast including china and india if over 90% of its people can't buy energy.

    Finally, The commodoties run up in general is not supported by demographics. The Population growth rate has slowed considerably and in some countries populations have decreased. China has a one child innitiative. We don't know about timing of course but my guess is so long as oil remains at these levels and places the US in vulnerable and compromising political danger., we will have alternative solutions sooner rather than later. Drilling is not the answer anymore unless it comes with a strong policy for new more sustainable energy resources.

    JTF

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