Dream Stocks for Real Estate Investors

Recs

7

Disney Buys Marvel!

David Gardner called it. He’s up 1,334%! See what David’s recommending that you buy NEXT.

Investors are always hunting for the next big stock -- the dream stock whose price increases several times over when the market finally discovers it. It's easy to look back and see what the 10 best stocks of the past decade were. But for my part, I'm more interested in the tools that can not only help me find new stock ideas, but also have the resources necessary to evaluate tomorrow's greatest companies.

There is a tool that offers a variety of resources to help with finding tomorrow's leaders: Motley Fool CAPS, a 120,000-member community of investors helping each other beat the market.

We've enlisted CAPS to screen the real estate sector and get the story behind some of the more highly rated stocks. CAPS' nifty screener will help us find stocks with:

  • A market cap of at least $100 million.
  • A three-year revenue growth rate of at least 20%.
  • A price-to-earnings ratio of less than 25.

Then we'll tap the collective intelligence of our CAPS members to see whether these companies present real opportunities -- or whether the numbers fail to tell the true story.

Opinions with the numbers
Here's a sampling from the list of stocks our screen pulled up today.

Company

Revenue Growth Rate, Past 3 Years

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

E-House (NYSE: EJ)

58.3%

****

NorthStar Realty Finance (NYSE: NRF)

42.9%

***

Ventas (NYSE: VTR)

40.5%

***

Data and star rankings from CAPS. All data as of November 14.

E-House
China's stock market has been battered this year, offering discounts on shares of big companies like China Mobile (NYSE: CHL) -- down 50% year-to-date -- and Aluminum Corp. of China (NYSE: ACH), which is down 80%. But the country has plenty of room for growth, and many still believe that China still holds tremendous opportunities for investment, including the country's largest real estate agency, E-House.

While shares of E-House have been trending down, revenue and earnings have been going up. Through the first half of 2008, both top and bottom lines were 90% higher than last year, leaving the company valued way below the estimated 29% five-year EPS growth rate. And despite adverse market conditions, E-House set a sales volume record during its October holiday period, selling roughly 800,000 square meters of property compared to just 200,000 last year. With growth like this, it's no wonder 96% of the 602 CAPS members rating E-House expect it to outperform the market.

NorthStar Realty Finance
NorthStar Realty Finance, which invests in commercial real estate debt, beat analysts' expectations in its third quarter earnings release. Excluding one-time items, NorthStar delivered funds from operations (FFO) of $26.6 million, ahead of analysts' expectations and the $19.6 million reported a year ago.

Unlike companies like Wachovia (NYSE: WB) or Citigroup (NYSE: C) that have no foreseeable end to non-performing loan related write-offs, as of the end of the third quarter, NorthStar had no non-performing loans and no delinquencies on principal or interest payments due. While Chairman and CEO David T. Hamamoto recognizes the challenging environment ahead, the company's $280 million in available liquidity gives it a strong position in a market bordering on disaster

The a high level of insider ownership and a dividend yield that is approaching insane at almost 40% has more than a few CAPS investors excited about NorthStar's prospects to beat the market -- more than 93% of the 388 members rating NorthStar Realty Finance are bullish today.

Ventas
Health care and senior housing REIT Ventas more than doubled its net income in the third quarter, reaching $64.7 million compared to $28.0 million a year ago. Management is pleased with its portfolio's deliverance of reliable cash flows, as funds from operations increased nearly 10% to $97.2 million.

Since mid-2007, the company has been taking actions to prepare for the major credit downturn, including earmarking funds to pay for upcoming debt maturities. Some of the company's highly defensive moves are affecting near-term earnings, but it still has potential dispositions of between $100 million and $150 million in assets that could book gains in the fourth quarter and early next year. The prudent moves by management are a big reason why nearly 95% of the 157 CAPS members rating Ventas see it outperforming the market going forward.

Let 120,000 investors be the judge
The collective wisdom of a huge pool of investors can help give context to a page of numbers developed through a stock screen. But even with an entire community of qualified opinions acting as the judge, individual investors are still the jury and should perform their own due diligence.

Run your favorite factors through the Motley Fool CAPS screener. It's totally free, and we think you'll like the results.

“The Next Great Investment”… That’s how a top global investor describes India’s potential. On Nov. 28, The Motley Fool’s Tim Hanson returns to India to prove it. Follow along in real time and get his TOP pick first (Hanson returned from China in July with a stock that’s up 169%!). Enter email below.

Motley Fool Global Gains is yet another Foolish resource to help you find promising investment opportunities beyond our borders. Check out all the stocks recommended by the international investing service today free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Dave Mock dreams of stocks and sugarplum fairies, but not together. He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. The Fool's disclosure policy screens the good, the bad, and the ugly.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 19, 2008, at 10:24 PM, weiwentg wrote:

    Another dream real estate stock is Realty Income, which operates a geographically diversified portfolio of retail properties. Its revenue didn't grow fast enough to show up on the screen. However, its triple net structure, where tenants are responsible for all costs including taxes, gives the company a very steady revenue stream. The management team is highly experienced and conservative. And if tenants go bankrupt, they still need to pay the rent. They might restructure their rents in bankruptcy, as their largest tenant Buffets did, but the rents will keep coming in.

  • Report this Comment On November 20, 2008, at 12:23 PM, Slipswitch wrote:

    Too bad Bill Mann's pick, Jones Lang Laselle isn't up there. It's down about 75% since he recommended it less than a year ago. I'll be he didn't buy it.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 779261, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/24/2009 12:12:51 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Live Chat on India, China, and the Demise of the Dollar

Related Tickers

11/24/2009 11:17 AM
ACH $27.78 Down -0.19 -0.68%
Aluminum Corp. of… CAPS Rating: *****
NRF $3.41 Down -0.05 -1.45%
Northstar Realty F… CAPS Rating: ****
VTR $41.86 Down -0.17 -0.40%
Ventas, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
C $4.25 Down -0.03 -0.70%
Citigroup, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
EJ $18.35 Down -0.56 -2.96%
E-House (China) Ho… CAPS Rating: ****
WB $5.54 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Wachovia Corp CAPS Rating: **
CHL $48.55 Down -1.15 -2.31%
China Mobile Ltd.… CAPS Rating: *****

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Long-term asset: A long-term asset is one that is consumed or used over a number of accounting cycles, from more than one year to 40 years.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!