Chalk up another believer in Baidu
Macquarie Research initiated coverage of China's leading search engine with an "outperform" rating. The firm also set a price target of $138.
Analysts have been kind to Baidu in recent months, jacking up their expectations as the shares inch higher. Pacific Crest analyst Steve Weinstein dramatically bumped his price target higher -- from $80 to $140 -- four months ago. ThinkEquity also recently boosted its target to $135.
Why is Macquarie initiating coverage at a price point that implies a whopping 58 times forward earnings? Why are Pacific Crest and ThinkEquity inching their goals higher instead of cashing out and laughing all the way to the bank?
Maybe they see what's coming. Baidu steps back up to the earnings stage next week. The Chinese dot-com darling has a funny way of landing ahead of its prognosticators:
Time Frame |
EPS est. |
Actual |
---|---|---|
Q4 2009 | $0.17 | $0.18 |
Q1 2010 | $0.15 | $0.20 |
Q2 2010 | $0.31 | $0.35 |
Q3 2010 | $0.42 | $0.45 |
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
If history's any indicator, there's a pretty good chance that Baidu will keep its streak of market-thumping quarters going this time around.
Baidu remains the undisputed paid-search champ in China. Google's
Baidu may not seem cheap. It closed last night at 45 times this new year's projected profitability. It's obviously a rich multiple, but the catch is that Baidu is growing even faster.
There will always be risks in China. The booming economy may overheat. The government may take an even more restrictive approach to Internet usage. However, those same factors can also take bullish turns.
Baidu's cheaper than the cynics think. Now one more analyst agrees.
Do you think Baidu is a good buy at this point? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.