5 Stocks to Survive Eurogeddon

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Europe is a scary place right now. With bond yields in some of Europe's weaker countries soaring and the threat of sovereign default at the forefront of everyone's mind, the situation looks a lot like the U.S. did in late 2008 and early 2009. The risk of a complete collapse of the economic system -- one that could bring the continent's credit markets to a standstill -- may not be all that high, but it's definitely not zero, either.

With that in mind, smart contrarian investors should be looking at whether they can pick up some bargain stocks on the cheap from fearful investors dumping good European stocks along with bad ones. But how can you tell which companies are most likely to weather the storm?

A history lesson
If the financial crisis three years ago taught investors anything, it's that companies that rely on the credit markets too much run the risk of complete meltdown when those markets seize up. Wall Street institutions Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns both owe their demises to a simple fact: At a critical moment, they needed outside financing, and no one was willing to give it to them. That proved once and for all that cash is king, while debt ties you down and can prove to be your undoing if it gets out of control at the wrong time. Other stocks, including Ford (NYSE: F  ) and Sirius XM (Nasdaq: SIRI  ) , came to the brink of their own respective corporate debt crises before gaining respite in the 2009 recovery.

So to get a sense of which stocks in Europe -- including the U.K., despite its steadfast refusal to embrace the euro -- are in the best condition to survive a similar credit crunch if it happens there, looking at debt levels is essential. Obviously, a company that has a sufficient cash cushion doesn't need to worry about whether it can borrow on the open market -- and in fact, it could be able to take advantage of bad conditions to make strategic deals like buyouts at bargain prices.

Further filtering the results to include only low- or no-debt Europe-based companies that trade conveniently on U.S. exchanges, I found the following five stocks.



Revenue Outside Europe

Aixtron (Nasdaq: AIXG  ) $426 million / $0 95%
Icon $166 million / $0 53%
Logitech (Nasdaq: LOGI  ) $379 million / $0 64%
Sequans Communications (NYSE: SQNS  ) $65.5 million / $3.4 million 93%
Vistaprint (Nasdaq: VPRT  ) $161 million / $0 52%*

Source: S&P Capital IQ as of Dec. 12. *U.S. revenue; Vistaprint doesn't break down non-U.S. revenue between European and non-European countries.

Now admittedly, these companies aren't home free if the worst happens in Europe. Just as the U.S. crisis led to a global slowdown, so too would the global recession that results from a Eurogeddon scenario have a big impact on the way these companies do business. Sequans in particular has been hit hard throughout the year as a small-cap company competing against much larger chip makers in the ultra-competitive 4G market.

But these companies all have at least some cash cushion to help them get through a crisis. That's especially important for contract research organization Icon, but for all these businesses, not needing access to outside capital could be critical. Moreover, even though these companies have European headquarters, they all do the bulk of their business overseas -- something that has helped other stocks like Telefonica (NYSE: TEF  ) , with its Latin American exposure.

Show me the money
So as you look at Europe, you have to be extremely selective in the stocks you choose. But one of the key ingredients every prospective stock you look at should have is a solid balance sheet that can withstand the worst that the sovereign debt crisis can throw at you. These companies all have their pluses and minuses, but they won't have you pulling out your hair if a credit crunch happens.

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Fool contributor Dan Caplinger strongly believes we'll all survive the euro crisis. You can follow him on Twitter here. He doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares of Icon, Ford, Logitech, Telefonica, and Vistaprint. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Ford, Logitech, and Vistaprint, as well as writing covered calls on Logitech. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy is a survivor.

Read/Post Comments (7) | Recommend This Article (29)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 12:37 PM, khaledmrd wrote:

    I Love Logitech moves into new markets like China and India, going beyond PC to Digital Home and Music and Unified Communication

    Also they are capitalizing on their Brand Equity & supremacy in the Consumer space in many segments into Business in 2011 and beyond (new division)

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 4:12 PM, elpollogrande wrote:

    Helped stocks like TEF? You mean the telecom company that has been clobbered and just cut its dividend?

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 5:43 PM, newageinvestor wrote:

    How about some domestic utilities. My ConEd stock, ED, has been rock solid through out this roller coaster ride.

    NIKE and COST have been stable but ED is the most stable. Everything else is a sea of red.

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 6:35 PM, modeltim wrote:

    Maybe good picks for the day when there's blood on the streets. Cash is king for now.

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 6:45 PM, beachbum242 wrote:

    All I know is I bought one highly recommended stock since being member and it has gone down like a rock since I bought it, IPGP. I believe the most pofitable business to be in is someone like Motley Fool. In other words sell the public on that you really know your business in investments and sit back let the money roll in from all the FOOLS. To bad Motley Fool is not a publically traded company. I'd rate it a BUY with all the FOOLS out there. LNavellier would be another good buy.

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 8:24 PM, TaoOfPatrick wrote:

    Keeping my powder dry.....I need more powder!

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2011, at 9:21 PM, BrassHammer wrote:

    @beachbum; On TEF I agree! But on the other hand, every stock I own today is under water. Today is the day I should have bought everything!

    Today its all so far below the breakeven point I can't afford to sell!

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