Has BP Become the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if BP (NYSE: BP  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at BP.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% 7.2% Fail
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% 26.4% Pass
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 15.4% Fail
  Net Margin > 15% 6.8% Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 39.3% Pass
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.16 Fail
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% 25.0% Pass
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 5.76 Pass
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 4.5% Pass
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% (5.9%) Fail
       
  Total Score   5 out of 10

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at BP last year, the oil giant has picked up two points. A big boost in returns on equity led to positive net income, and the shares are valued attractively at current levels.

BP is still living with the aftermath of the Gulf oil spill that occurred two years ago. Last month, just before a case against BP was set to go to trial, the company proposed a $7.8 billion settlement with private plaintiffs. The settlement should go before a judge later this month, leaving only government claims against BP and peers Transocean (NYSE: RIG  ) and Halliburton (NYSE: HAL  ) , which were involved in the spill and therefore could also potentially be liable.

But BP isn't letting the Gulf tragedy hold it back from pursuing other opportunities. The company holds exploration licenses for potential Arctic drilling off the coast of Canada, although a review has the permitting process on hold for now. In addition, BP has joined peers Statoil (NYSE: STO  ) and Total (NYSE: TOT  ) in aiming to tap the pre-salt oil fields off the coast of Angola, which could prove to be as massive as those discovered across the Atlantic off the Brazilian coast.

After having cut its dividend in half following the spill, BP restored a small part of the loss with a dividend increase earlier this year. It's hard to complain about its 4.5% yield, but the payout is still a far cry from where it stood two years ago -- even when shares traded only marginally higher than where they are now.

For BP to keep improving, it needs to keep revenue growth steady and put the Gulf disaster behind it. As long as energy prices stay healthy, BP should be able to recover and resume its march toward perfection.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

If you like energy stocks, we've got a stock idea that could knock your socks off. Read about it right here in The Motley Fool's special free report on the energy industry and its best prospects -- it's free but only available for a limited time, so click here today.

Click here to add BP to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Statoil and Total. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 12, 2012, at 10:49 AM, gcmagone wrote:

    Not perfect but, for a great find in a foreign O&G company check out ENI (E). They have discovered a world class gas deposit offshore Mozambique that rivals Australia's Gorgon.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2012, at 12:16 AM, Sunny7039 wrote:

    Since we are talking Big Oil, which companies have (1) rock-solid balance sheets, (2) a stellar safety record, and (3) proven reserves in politically stable democracies? Which ones treat their employees with respect?

    One? None?

    Reserves in stable, democratic regions are going to become more and more important. Only someone who trades actively, and never invests to hold a stock, would dismiss these three factors as "too idealistic." Same goes for the working conditions in a company's offices and on its rigs. If you want to be in and out, or trade options, all right. Your criteria will be different I'm sure. But I'm only interested in investing -- and I'm investing only because it appears to be a necessity, as best as I can tell -- so I do care about these things.

    (Er, no. This isn't my idea of a good time. :/ )

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