SYDNEY -- Whitehaven Coal (ASX: WHC.AX) received a takeover offer from mining magnate Nathan Tinkler's Tinkler Group back on July 13, valuing the company at AU$5.20 cash per share.
Whitehaven's shares are trading at AU$3.55, a massive discount to the offer price, and almost falling back to 52-week lows. Investors appear to be indicating that the takeover will not go ahead, and newspaper reports suggest they may be right.
Just yesterday, Blackwood (ASX: BWD.AX) advised that Mr. Tinkler's private investment company, Mulsanne Resources, had been given an extension to find AU$28.4 million for a stake in the company. Back in May, Mr. Tinkler agreed to be become a majority shareholder in Blackwood with 33.85% of the company. It appears he may be having trouble coming up with the funds, so investors, probably quite rightly, are questioning whether he'll be able to raise $5.3 billion to take over Whitehaven.
According to The Sydney Morning Herald, a representative for Mr. Tinkler denied any connection between the Blackwood and Whitehaven deals. The spokesperson went on to say that there had been a delay finishing the Blackwood deal documentation, which could take another few weeks.
Compounding his problems are the fact that coal prices have fallen have fallen 20% since April to a two-year low. With his 21% holding in Whitehaven, much of Mr. Tinkler's wealth is tied up in the company, and as the share price falls, it may be difficult for him to raise the funds necessary to complete the takeover.
The Whitehaven takeover is the latest in a series of coal mergers and acquisitions, with many coal miners leaving the ASX and just a handful of independent miners left. (New Hope (ASX: NHC.AX), which is currently the largest miner by market cap, is majority-owned by Washington H Soul Pattinson (ASX: SOL.AX), which has a 60% shareholding.)
Apart from Whitehaven, most of the other listed coal companies on the ASX are explorers, rather than producers, of coal.
Nathan Tinkler may walk away from the Whitehaven deal or even come back with a lower offer, given the rapid fall in coal prices. That's if he can find funding, of course, which he may be struggling with.
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