The Lesson That Investors Haven't Learned Yet

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We all know that investors tend to have an itchy trigger finger. It takes a strong-minded individual to ignore the day-to-day happenings in the market and hold on to good investments through thick and thin. But although a buy-and-hold strategy may sound good, most investors have trouble putting that theory into practice.

Making investments that stick
A recent study by financial research firm Dalbar offers more proof that mutual fund investors attempt to time purchases and sales based on current market conditions, rather than hold for the long run. According to the study:

  • An investor's return is far more likely to be driven by his or her individual behavior, rather than fund performance.
  • Fund investors who hold their investments throughout good and bad environments fare better than folks who try to time the market.
  • But most investors don't heed this advice and instead end up holding funds for a less than optimal amount of time.

This study is just one more nail in the coffin of market timing. Everyone's first instinct is to sell when the market heads down, but the truth is that investors just can't call the tops and bottoms of the market with any degree of accuracy. They end up doing more damage by getting in and out of the market at the wrong times.

It's hard to stay put while everyone else is selling. Just ask investors in Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO), who saw their shares plummet after Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) called off its bid for the company. Yet if you believe that Yahoo! was a strong company worth owning before Microsoft made its initial bid, nothing has really changed -- and perhaps the long-term gains you'll earn will dwarf the quick profit you would've made from a takeover.

The same is true for a host of other fallen angels. Ugly earnings guidance from WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) brought down stocks across the industry, including Humana (NYSE: HUM) and UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH). Big pharmaceuticals like Merck (NYSE: MRK) and Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) have seen their stocks locked in slumps. Although these companies could be facing permanent changes in their businesses that would justify selling, it's clear that many investors are just following the herd.

So learn from the mistakes of your fellow investors -- find some good investments, whether that be mutual funds, stocks, or a combination of both, and stick with them. You'll do better in the long run, and you'll sleep better at night, if you focus on the long-term picture and tune out the daily noise.

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The smart thing to do is to invest for the long run -- but how do you know which funds to hold during that time? Fortunately, the Fool's Champion Funds newsletter service does the dirty work for you, by scoping out all the best mutual funds this side of the planet. Check us out with your free 30-day trial today.

Amanda Kish heads up the Champion Funds newsletter service and does not own shares of any of the companies or funds mentioned herein. Microsoft, Pfizer, and UnitedHealth Group are Inside Value recommendations. Pfizer is also an Income Investor pick, and UnitedHealth Group is also a Stock Advisor selection. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 09, 2009, at 3:24 PM, davidkubica1 wrote:

    I am tired of people telling me to simply buy and hold and everything will work out fine? The recent sell-off in the commodities market is yet another example of why investors should consider diversifying away from “buy and hold” strategies. First, I still believe that we are still in the midst of a long-term bull market in commodities. However, the downward moves we have seen in oil, gold, silver, and other commodities once agan shows investors that the commodity bull market will have several vicious pullbacks.

    For some investors, holding onto the long-term focus works. In essence, they implement a simple “buy and hold strategy”. They can easily ride the volatility and fluctuations that occur in their accounts. For most investors, however, these vicious sell-offs can often shake their confidence in the markets.

    Managed futures allow investors to diversify across several different commodity trading advisors that implement different trading strategies. Some might thrive in volatile market environments, while others might incur a drawdown. Some CTAs( predominantly trend followers) do well in trending market environments( whether up or down), but often incur drawdowns during choppy market environments. The goal is really to have a portfolio of managers that are diversified across a variety of strategies, markets, trading time frames, and style of trading. If you are interested in managed futures, you can try www.managedfuturesdepot.com. They usually have some pretty good programs that they offer. This one: http://www.managedfuturesdepot.com/NDXShadrach1108.pdf had a return in 2008 of over 128% and has averaged a monthly return of over 8% since its inception 5 years ago. The nice thing about these performance sheets is that you know they are authentic. Managed futures returns are regulated vigorously by the CFTC and are all stated NET OF EXPENSES.

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Related Tickers

11/6/2009 4:00 PM
MSFT $28.52 Up +0.05 +0.18%
Microsoft Corp CAPS Rating: ***
PFE $16.96 Down -0.06 -0.35%
Pfizer, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
YHOO $15.94 Up +0.04 +0.25%
Yahoo!, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
MRK $32.59 Down -0.12 -0.37%
Merck & Co., Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
WLP $51.00 Up +0.10 +0.20%
WellPoint, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
UNH $28.67 Up +0.46 +1.63%
UnitedHealth Group… CAPS Rating: *****
HUM $40.45 Up +0.54 +1.35%
Humana, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****

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