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Ugly Deckers, Pretty UGGs

Deckers Outdoor (Nasdaq: DECK  ) posted a 5% drop in earnings per share year over year, to $0.20. Still, that figure handily beat Deckers' previous guidance of $0.04 per share -- shares skyrocketed 8.4% in after-hours trading. The lesson for all public companies is clear: Keep expectations low, and you'll come out smelling like a rose.

True, Deckers' top line increased 26%, to $52.7 million. But the company also earned less from these sales. Gross margins for the quarter fell about 420 basis points, to 41.4%, and operating margins slid 395 basis points, to 5.7%.

The company's Teva brand continued to struggle. Sales for the quarter increased only 5.6%, to $24.1 million. The company claims that new orders at higher price points helped, while reorders were weaker than expected.

It's hard to put a positive spin on such weak sales, especially as Wolverine Worldwide (NYSE: WWW  ) , citing strong sales of its competing Merrell brand, boosted its earnings forecast. The proof of Teva products' effectiveness will be in the numbers going forward. Perhaps its rugged footwear just isn't in style. Timberland (NYSE: TBL  ) , which also makes rugged outdoor performance footwear, had a disappointing first quarter as well.

Deckers' other major brand, UGG, did very well, outpacing company expectations with a 65% increase in sales. Preorders for the fall are also higher than expected, boding well for the coming quarter. Sales of its upper-end products appear to be doing well, too.

In less fortunate news, Deckers underpaid certain taxes in foreign jurisdictions. As a result, it faces fines and penalties ranging from $3.3 million to $15.4 million, as well as possible restatements of past financial statements.

Management boosted its guidance, now expecting revenue growth to increase from 25% last year to 35% this year, with earnings-per-share growth rising from 15% to 25% in the same time frame. Still, I can't help thinking that the Teva brand has to grow faster. The first half of the year is supposed to be brand's strongest. If it was weak here, when will its growth pick up?

I have serious reservations when one of a company's major products ekes out a 5% increase in sales during its supposedly strongest season. The second half of the year is traditionally strong for UGGs, but with competition heating up, will that brand also falter? Investors may wish to tread carefully when it comes to Deckers.

Lace up some further Foolishness:

Fool contributor Larry Rothman is happy to receive feedback, and promises to read it when not being wrestled by his three children. Feel free to email him. He doesn't have any positions in the companies mentioned. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 27, 2007, at 3:47 PM, starstation wrote:

    Larry,

    Get over it. You don't have the 'toldyaso' this quarter.

    Ugg brand is worth a lot, growth of Uggs is worth a lot.

    Look at CROX relative to DECK.

    Need I say more?

    Market has valuation on DECK based on takeover, I believe.

    Will split before then, however.

  • Report this Comment On September 29, 2009, at 3:32 AM, motao wrote:

    <p>uggs is very rich in species.While everyone would like the different style, color, etc. <br />

    </p>

    <p>But when they reference other categories of shoes, many people still choose uggs.For me <br />

    </p>

    <p>personally, I liked <a href="http://www.elegantugg.com/ ">ugg boots</a>, and I often buy it.This blog has also written about the <br />

    </p>

    <p><a href="http://www.elegantugg.com/ ">uggs</a> very well. Loving uggs friends can get a lot of help.</p>

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Related Tickers

2/13/2012 4:00 PM
DECK $81.55 Down -2.31 -2.75%
Deckers Outdoor Co… CAPS Rating: ***
WWW $38.83 Down -0.33 -0.84%
Wolverine World Wi… CAPS Rating: ****
TBL.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
The Timberland Co. CAPS Rating: ***

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