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Dawson Gets Dirty

By Toby Shute February 7, 2008 Comments (1)

7 Recommendations

If you're going to extrapolate meaning from a single quarter, energy services firm Dawson Geophysical's (Nasdaq: DWSN) fiscal Q1 is possibly the worst. While retailers that blame the weather are somewhat suspect, Dawson does face a legitimate seasonal demand pattern. Even with state-of-the-art technology from Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) and ION Geophysical, it's tough to shoot seismic data in the dead of winter. For this reason, a year-over-year financial comparison is equally, if not more important than, a sequential one.

Compared to last year's wintry seismic season, revenues rose 45%, EBITDA lifted 42%, and per-share earnings came in 40% higher. The lack of operating leverage may partially explain why investors seem less than pleased with these results. Shares dropped 15% on Wednesday on the news.

A look at margins helps to further clarify the picture. Cash margins came in at 25.1%, nearly a full point lower than last year. EBITDA margins compressed as well, though to a lesser degree. The more significant deterioration in margins shows up in the sequential comparison, but again, that's not a particularly fair one, given the weather- and holiday-related downtime.

Slowing growth has to be another concern here. Dawson's 45% top-line surge looks impressive, until you compare it to the 47%, 65%, and 50% year-over-year revenue gains achieved in the last three quarters.

The company identified higher depreciation charges as a culprit in its earnings figure, but as a percentage of revenue, this is no outlier. What appears to be more significant is the firm's heightened level of reimbursables as a percentage of sales. Dawson incurs extra expenses in areas with difficult terrain, clients reimburse the company, and those payments are booked as revenues. Now that the Rockies and Appalachians are shaping up to be some of the hottest areas for natural gas explorers like XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO), EnCana (NYSE: ECA), and Range Resources (NYSE: RRC), I don't see these charges easing any time soon, and that means margins may remain muted.

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  • On February 13, 2008, at 2:13 PM, Nigel1234 wrote: Report this Comment

    Dawson is the number one proprietary seismic contractor (the expensive seismic) for Chesapeake Energy, who is the number one spender of seismic dollars and number one driller of new wells in the USA. This is my profession and I do know that seismic cannot be shot during certain winter conditions. Further, given certain environmental conditions, seismic contractors are only allowed fixed time windows to shoot the seismic based on migratory patterns of animals (and other). If bad weather ensues (high winds, heavy rain) during these windows then they have to wait until next year to shoot! I don't think this example would effect the company margins but maybe consistant quarterly growth. I have been thinking of buying this company and I believe this may be the time. Dawson still is an industry leader in ONSHORE seismic acquisition where most big companies can't make a dime (some have even stopped doing it!)

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DocumentId: 572750, ~/articles/articlehandler.aspx, 5/17/2008 4:43:35 AM

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