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A Tale of 2 Teen Retailers

It can be nice to be a teen-oriented retailer when most adults are cutting back on spending, although many such stores are suffering along with their adult-centric counterparts. But let's take a look at two teen retailers that held their own in the first quarter.  

Airy Aeropostale
Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO  ) has been bucking the slow consumer trends for quite some time now, and its latest quarter was no exception. Its net income increased 26.8% to $17.5 million, or $0.26 per share. Total revenue increased 22% to $336.3 million, with a same-store sales increase of 10% versus 3% this time last year.

On the other hand, inventory increased by 25.5%, which did outpace revenue growth a tad. However, management last quarter discussed a calendar shift that caused the change in inventory levels on a year-over-year basis, which it said in its conference call is playing out until the end of May.    

On a brighter note, Aeropostale was able to boost gross profit to 33.1% of sales, from 32.2% this time last year. So there's probably something to be said for Aeropostale's statement that it's striking the right balance between fashion and value for its customers lately. And of course, its good fortune might spell bad news for some teen retail rivals in an economic climate where every customer counts.

Aeropostale offered an outlook of $0.22 per share to $0.24 per share for the second quarter. That's just about on par with analysts' estimates.

Bored sports?
Unlike Aeropostale, which has had a pretty good couple of months despite the economic pressures, Zumiez (Nasdaq: ZUMZ  ) has suffered some pretty major wipeouts during recent memory.

However, in the first quarter, it looks like Motley Fool Hidden Gems pick Zumiez managed to stay on its board, at least in the sense that it beat Wall Street analysts' expectations for $0.03 per share in earnings. Net income decreased 12.5% to $1.4 million, or $0.05 per share. Net sales increased 14.4% to $78.7 million, with a same-store sales dip of 0.8%.

Zumiez's inventory also slightly outpaced sales, up 16.6%; gross margin dipped just a tad to 31.2% of sales, from 31.6% of sales.   

Even if it wasn't the most impressive quarter ever, Zumiez's results looked OK in light of the difficult economic climate, and also looked good compared to rival Pacific Sunwear (Nasdaq: PSUN  ) , which displayed more malaise last week. And last quarter, Zumiez was able to shake off some of the pessimism that slammed it in the fall and winter, so investors seem to be warming up to the retailer once again.

Maybe somebody's ready to take off
Zumiez shares are a far cry from their peak last November, when they were trading at nearly $54 a pop. They look reasonable at these levels, and the retailer does have a PEG ratio of just 0.95.

However, Aeropostale looks reasonable too, with a PEG ratio of 0.94, and it's coming from a position of more strength. I like Zumiez, but I have to wonder if it's going to have a more difficult short term. At the moment, I have to say that I believe Aeropostale continues to looks like the slightly more tantalizing bargain of the two.

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Zumiez is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems recommendation. Pacific Sunwear is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Take a free 30-day subscription to any of the Fool's newsletters.  

Alyce Lomax does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Related Tickers

2/14/2012 4:00 PM
ZUMZ $31.01 Up +0.98 +3.26%
Zumiez CAPS Rating: **
ARO $17.56 Up +0.01 +0.06%
Aeropostale, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****
PSUN $1.85 Down -0.02 -1.07%
Pacific Sunwear CAPS Rating: **

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