Two Smokin' Barrels at Gander Mountain

Recs

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Does a sour economy cause people to stockpile weapons? You might be tempted to think so, after seeing Gander Mountain's (Nasdaq: GMTN) latest earnings report. The sporting-goods retailer said that firearms and ammunition sales provided one of its bright spots this quarter.

Katy, bar the door! The recession's coming to town!

One of the things that separates Gander Mountain from Cabela's (NYSE: CAB) or Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS) is its gunsmith program. It touts itself as the largest employer of gunsmiths in the country, and whereas Cabela's or Big Five Sporting Goods (Nasdaq: BGFV) might sell hunting rifles and the like (Hibbett's Sporting Goods (Nasdaq: HIBB) does not), Gander Mountain sells long-arms and handguns, new and used. This may be a source of pride for the company, but it's not enough of a selling point.

While revenue jumped 18% to $207.7 million, beating analyst forecasts, losses widened much more than Wall Street had anticipated. Where the consensus loss for Gander Mountain was $0.60 a share, the actual loss came in nearly double that at $24.4 million, or $1.02 per share.

The jump in sales had more to do with Gander Mountain's new store openings, as well as its Overton's direct marketing catalog, than it did with sales of goods. Comps were down 6.7% for the quarter -- in line with management expectations of mid-single-digit declines, but still no way to keep a retail operation successful. In fact, same-store sales are projected to fall by a like amount for the full year.

The retailer has been burning through prodigious amounts of cash, with trailing negative free cash flow of $46 million this year compared to negative $66.5 million a year ago. It’s an improvement without distinction. While firearms and hunting represent its largest revenue contributor at 43% in 2007, Gander Mountain's just not packin' enough heat in an uncertain economy to get its sights set on the future.

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Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 05, 2008, at 11:31 AM, IRSquared wrote:

    A point of clarification in Mr. Duprey's article on Gander Mountain - the comparison between the company's reported EPS and the concensus EPS of analysts is apples and oranges for the following reason...

    Due to net operating losses (NOLs), Gander Mountain is not a taxpayer and consequently, under GAAP, is required to report EPS without a tax effect. The analysts covering the company, in order to achieve comparability with other retailers, deliberately tax affect their estimates which reduces the per share loss by the estimated tax rate of 34% or so.

    I think if Mr. Duprey or other readers look at the pretax lines of the Gander Mountain P&L for the first quarter and compare them with analyst's expectations, they will find that Gander Mountain met or exceeded most of the estimates and the difference is explained by the imputed tax adjustment.

    Full disclosure: I am an investor relations consultant to the company and offer this as a clarification that might benefit readers of Motley Fool.

    Thank you.

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Related Tickers

12/2/2009 4:03 PM
CAB $12.38 Up +0.02 +0.16%
Cabela's, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
DKS $21.27 Up +0.02 +0.09%
Dick's Sporting Go… CAPS Rating: **
BGFV $16.72 Down -0.01 -0.06%
Big 5 Sporting Goo… CAPS Rating: **
GMTN $5.08 Up +0.03 +0.59%
GANDER MOUNTAIN CO… CAPS Rating: *
HIBB $19.50 Up +0.12 +0.62%
Hibbett Sports, In… CAPS Rating: ***

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