3 More Outrageously Cheap Stocks

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With all of the recent volatility in the market, what stocks are outrageously cheap?

I found one recently, and I got to thinking about the others out there when I read money manager Bill Miller's comment that "the market abounds with good value." Of course, Mr. Miller also wrote last August that stocks were the cheapest they'd been since 1991 ... and after a brief rebound, they've gone right on dropping. Mr. Miller's fund has suffered thanks to core holdings in some recently deceptively cheap stocks such as Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q), Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE), and Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER).

Given wary financial markets, a recent rash of writedowns, and a slowing economy, it should be clear that not all stocks that look cheap are cheap (with no disrespect intended to the talented Mr. Miller). Both Warren Buffett and John Hussman have recently affirmed that lesson.

There are, however, some individual stocks today that, for one reason or another, not only present "good value," but are outrageously cheap.

Back up the truck, people
What makes for an outrageously cheap stock? Here's my short list:

  1. A balance sheet with lots of cash and little debt.
  2. An EV/EBITDA ratio less than 6.
  3. A business with the financial strength and strategy to survive and thrive in a down economy.
  4. No potential for massive writedowns.
  5. A stock that's been pummeled.

Of course, even amid today’s unprecedented market environment, there are only a handful of large or mid caps that meet those criteria, so if you really want to build an “outrageously cheap” portfolio, you may need to start thinking of yourself as a small-cap investor.

Welcome to the jungle
In truth, large caps such as Merck (NYSE: MRK) attract far too much investor attention to ever become inefficiently priced. That $57 billion pharmaceutical giant is tracked by 22 sell-side analysts.

You generally won't find as much interest among small caps, which is one of the reasons why -- given the criteria above -- Thor (NYSE: THO), Lufkin Industries (Nasdaq: LUFK), and Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (NYSE: ASR) look outrageously cheap.

Company

EV/EBITDA

Cash on Hand

Investors Scared Because ...

Thor

5.5

$178 million

People have no money to spend on mobile homes.

Lufkin

3.4

$110 million

Falling oil prices mean less capital spent on exploration and production.

ASUR

4.9

$162 million

Weakening economy means fewer trips to Cancun.

Data from Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor’s.

Yes, that last subhead was a Guns N' Roses reference
The reason we love being small-cap investors at Motley Fool Hidden Gems is because it's the one area of the market where, thanks to inefficiencies and lack of Wall Street interest, stocks can become outrageously cheap. And there’s good reason to think that things will get better for all three of these stocks. Of course, in a down market like this one, that lack of efficiency can make for some gut-wrenching downside volatility.

But we're using current market conditions to recommend the market's best small companies -- stocks that should crush the market averages over the next decade or more.

To see our newest recommendations and top picks for new money now, click here to join Hidden Gems free for 30 days. There is no obligation to subscribe.

This article was first published on March 14, 2008. It has been updated.

Tim Hanson does not own shares of any company mentioned. ASUR is a Hidden Gems recommendation. Thor is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems Pay Dirt pick. The Fool's disclosure policy is decidedly un-outrageous.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On December 24, 2008, at 10:52 AM, elv1659 wrote:

    Am a member of hidden gems, but in looking at your research, I don't feel comfortable to make a move yet. I've followed some of your recommendations, but they seem to be going down with the rest of the market. I'll follow along until things look better (maybe by the middle of 2009). I've been buying tankers and getting pretty good results (gnk-dsx-drys-dac). Have you looked at them and if so what is your thinking about them?

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Related Tickers

11/24/2009 4:00 PM
EXPE $25.57 Down -0.18 -0.70%
Expedia, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
LUFK $59.87 Down -0.92 -1.51%
Lufkin Industries,… CAPS Rating: *****
ASR $48.25 Up +1.02 +2.16%
Grupo Aeroportuari… CAPS Rating: *****
MER $11.64 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Merrill Lynch & Co… CAPS Rating: *
Q $3.78 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Qwest Communicatio… CAPS Rating: **
THO $28.32 Up +0.35 +1.25%
Thor Industries, I… CAPS Rating: **
MRK $36.22 Down -0.20 -0.55%
Merck & Co., Inc. CAPS Rating: ****

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