The Ultimate Strategy for the Individual Investor

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Institution or individual, we're all here because we're playing a game -- and the game is called "find the 50-cent dollar."

But you should know that this game is fixed -- and not in a good, "WrestleMania III" kind of way. Institutional players are going to steal the shirt off your back unless you take the time to understand how and why.

The market behind the curtain
The market is a great thing, but it's not around to help you make money. In fact, the market primarily benefits two sets of financial institutions: the brokerage houses that are the conduits to the market itself, and the large-scale asset managers. And until very recently, you didn't even have the ability to get in on the market by yourself. Individuals could only participate with the assistance of expensive intermediaries.

Today, many of the barriers to individual investing have disappeared -- but not because financial institutions felt bad leaving you out of the action. No, no. The reality is that these crafty businesses realized they could make an absolute fortune bringing you into the game.

See, the vast majority of individual investors will not beat the market over the course of their investing career, thanks to the combination of three fundamental realities:

  1. Institutions own the arcade, making them the effective gatekeepers of all trades. Every time you buy or sell, the institutions get to collect their toll.
  2. Institutions control the money. With 70% of the market's assets in the hands of investment firms, they have the ability to move (or create) markets whenever they wish.
  3. Institutions are very well-armed. They have more intellectual, financial, and computational firepower than you could ever dream of. Whatever information or insight you're able to generate on your own is likely to be old news to them.

These market truisms help set the stage for widespread individual investor underperformance. But the fact is, institutions don't care whether you win or lose. They just want you playing the game as often as possible.

So what do you do if you want to actually win?

Rule No. 1: Don't play their game
The messages we get from most financial institutions and their related parties (think discount brokers, CNBC, Jim Cramer, and many others) are all pretty much the same. Most involve a smattering of strategies that include constant trading, significant portfolio turnover, and an eye that is fixed on the daily news cycle. Never mind that study after study proves these principles are useless, and will run you about 5% annually in costs for as long as you keep them up.

So why do those financial experts keep promoting them? Simple. Financial institutions and their brethren profit from them. They earn commission or advertising revenue, and they get the added benefit of competing against individuals who will operate in a very predictable fashion. Both work heavily to their advantage.

To level the playing field, then, consider doing the following:

  1. Don't attempt to time the market.
  2. Don't trade frequently without a very good reason.
  3. Don't buy into the "insight" of the financial media.

Bottom line: The stocks you buy are not lottery tickets meant to be scratched and then thrown away. They represent fractional ownership of a real, live business. So focus on fundamental analysis gleaned directly from audited financial statements, buy stocks that are selling for less than their intrinsic value, and plan to hold your investment until your thesis has manifested.

But if you're smart, you want more than just a level playing field.

Rule No. 2: Know thine enemy
Ask any fighter: The single best way to defeat an opponent is to identify his weaknesses, and then exploit the hell out of them.

Institutional asset managers (who control 70% of the market these days) have two massive weaknesses that you should punish at every opportunity:

  1. Most institutional investors are obligated to focus on the short term.
  2. All institutional investors are handicapped by their own size.

Institutions live and die by their performance. Good performance attracts new capital, which leads to more money in their pocket. And, as you might guess, poor performance does much the opposite. This reality means that most institutional investors can't afford to suffer even the briefest periods of poor performance.

These short-term pressures force many institutions to simply avoid buying stocks like Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), United Healthcare (NYSE: UNH), and Legg Mason (NYSE: LM), even if they know they're excellent long-term holdings (which they are).

Here's how you can flip this weakness around on them: Ride out the inevitable volatility of the stock market by buying and holding great companies for the long term. This also avoids the costs of unnecessary trading, which bring down your overall returns as well.

The larger and perhaps more crippling weakness of institutional investors is their sheer size. When you're investing billions of dollars, it's just not worth your time to go after fantastic small companies such as Dolby Labs (NYSE: DLB), CTrip.com (Nasdaq: CTRP), and Nuance Communications (Nasdaq: NUAN). There's simply not enough float out there for it to be economically sensible. The big guys would if they could, but their own wealth holds them back.

Again, here's where you can capitalize. Take advantage of the exponential growth that happens early in the development of superstar companies, especially when the big boys can't or won't. Remember, a $500 million company can reward you just as well as a $10 billion one.

Rule No. 3: Change the rules
In other words, if you want to beat the market -- and the Street -- you need to do two things:

  1. Bypass the short-term irrationality of the market by purchasing stocks Wall Street has discounted for near-term issues and then hold them for the long term.
  2. Focus especially on those companies that are generally too small for institutions to play with, because you'll generate superior returns in this category.

You'd be astonished how quickly the Street will turn its back on fantastic businesses like Chipotle (NYSE: CMG) when the waters get even a little bit choppy -- because they have to. So go on, play the game with the big boys. But play it in ways they don't want you to.

Our Motley Fool Hidden Gems investment service has identified more than three dozen small-cap stocks that stand ready to help you do exactly that. Click here to take a free look at all of our recommendations.

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Fool Nick Kapur likes to box and knows how to analyze his opponent. He doesn't own any securities mentioned in the above article. Chipotle and Ctrip.com are Motley Fool Hidden Gems choices. Chipotle is also a Rule Breakers pick. Dolby and Berkshire Hathaway are Stock Advisor recommendations. Legg Mason and Berkshire Hathaway are Inside Value selections. The Motley Fool owns shares of Legg Mason, Chipotle, and Berkshire Hathaway. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 01, 2009, at 3:50 PM, drborst wrote:

    O.K. I'm lost on this one.

    Rule 1. I get it, Buy and hold (don't pay transaction costs to institutions). Or at least trade sparringly.

    Rule 3. Makes sense, when the big guys are forced to sell, they sell big and force the stock below where it should be (which means that late last year was like a mosquito in a nudist colony, everything was oversold due to the panic... Good rule, but not much help in selecting where to bite).

    Rule 2. Huh? The three companies institutions avoid are cleverly at market caps of $300, $30, and $3B, and Yahoo shows institutional owned percentages of 50, 95, and 85%. But the three small caps are all ~ $3B market cap and Yahoo shows them institutional owned at 104, 152, and 68%, Am I looking at the wrong statistic?

    It seems that greater than 100% institional owned is not only impossible, but something to be avoided according to this article. What should

  • Report this Comment On July 01, 2009, at 7:14 PM, xetn wrote:

    It seems to me that the Fool is also part of this "institution" especially when you hype stock that is owned by various parts of Fool. Are you not doing, to an extent, that which you are discussing in the article.

  • Report this Comment On July 01, 2009, at 7:36 PM, SkepticalOx wrote:

    xetn,

    To come to TMF's defense, they have plenty of articles that argue against a stock one of their premium services are buying too.

  • Report this Comment On July 01, 2009, at 8:18 PM, jc09058 wrote:

    This article hits the nail right on the head and describes the various pitfalls out there for the average investor. The biggest pitfall is the various "Talking Heads" that tell of the "latest" tip or talk about constant trading that actual nibble investor's profits to death with fees.

    To: xetn

    The Fool is more of an information clearing house rather than an "institution". They offer suggestions, to be sure, but they always counter that suggestion by telling you to do your due diligence of evaluating the company in question.

    Secondly, The Fool allows us (the members) to offer up thoughts and ideas about all companies in the market. like a heuristic processing computer, as a means to bring up information that other may know of that could determine whether or not there are issues with a company out there not widely known.

  • Report this Comment On July 01, 2009, at 9:54 PM, ds10 wrote:

    Yes, a good article. And a recognition that "buy and

    hold" is still a valid and sensible approach to investing.

    And refreshing to read advice that is not pushing

    the "now is the time to buy stocks" thesis.

    This writer displays more wisdom than is generally

    found on MF----let's hear more from you.

  • Report this Comment On July 03, 2009, at 2:01 PM, SoMch2Knw wrote:

    I agree with drborst. This article is one contradiction followed by another. Nick, if you wanna preach LTBH stick with what you know. Don't pretend to understand the trading strategies of the Big Boys. If you must, proof read more than once and let someone else critique it.

  • Report this Comment On July 03, 2009, at 2:42 PM, MoneyWorksforMe wrote:

    I agree with the author. As an individual investor, this is the same approach I take. Patience, perseverance and conviction will allow you to capitalize off the weaknesses of the institutional investors.

  • Report this Comment On July 06, 2009, at 6:33 AM, brwn8484 wrote:

    I am interested in knowing how much all you "buy an hold" people have made in the market?

    If it's that profitable, why do Institutional managers and mutual funds buy and sell like there's no tomorrow?

    If the long term buy and hold strategy really works then most of your stock picks 5 years ago would be up today!

  • Report this Comment On July 08, 2009, at 2:40 PM, wolfman225 wrote:

    brwn8484,

    I'm still a neophyte to all this, but I think I can answer your question (the "why to they sell so often?" question, not the "how much money have I made?" one).

    The major investment firms, the larger mutual funds, and most "investment advisor" services, et al are tied to the wheel of short term returns. It's a fact that most would-be investors chase after the shiniest, newest fads, and have little patience with any perceived underperformance. In order to make their profit, and attract new money, these firms MUST do everything thay can to show positive returns and to get out of losses ASAP.

    Any mutual firm that suffers a loss of, say 20% in any quarter is likely to see a significant exodus of investors. To prevent that, they often are forced to sell out of a position EVEN IF THEY KNOW THAT IT IS LIKELY TO BE A WINNER LONG-TERM. It's really nothing any more complicated than that.

    As far as our picks and portfolios not being up from 5 years ago, most LTBH investors are looking as much as 10 years, often longer. Get back to us in another 5 yrs, and you may very will see a different picture (if the current administration hasn't totally skewed the market b4 then). Just MHO

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