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What We've Learned From Our Mistakes

Pssst! Buddy! I've got a secret for you: We've made some mistakes here at The Motley Fool. Not all of our investment recommendations have panned out.

Of course, you know that already, because everybody makes mistakes. Unfortunately, you don't get to hear much about them in this business. No one likes to call attention to their own past blunders. But you deserve better, and not just for honesty's sake. Mistakes can teach us incredibly valuable lessons, and those who try to ignore them are doomed to mediocrity.

Today, I'm going to bring you some notable errors from one of the best investors around: Motley Fool co-founder Tom Gardner. Please, read on. See what mistakes even expert investors can make. Then learn from them -- and save yourself a lot of money down the road.

Here are some hard-learned lessons Tom shared with members of his Hidden Gems small-cap investing service:

1. Avoid companies in unpredictable regulatory environments
In Tom's earliest days with the service, he really liked Talk America -- a discount provider of local and long-distance telephone service. At the time, it seemed like a bargain. It traded at just six times free cash flow, with a solid balance sheet and a growing business.

However, certain industries are susceptible to the whims of the U.S. or foreign governments. Talk America occupied one of them. Tom says he did not properly appreciate "that its operational success was founded on the quicksand of lobbying the Federal Communications Commission."

The lesson here: Companies that are at the whim of heavy lobbying and government oversight can shift quickly and cause you pain. Tom recommended Talk America at $10.63 and sold at $8.27, and the company traded as low as $5 before it was ultimately acquired by Cavalier Telephone.

2. Beware of light insider ownership
One of our biggest worries as investors lies in getting management to act in our best interests. Some executives seem oblivious to shareholder concerns. I doubt AIG (NYSE: AIG  ) , for example, really considered shareholders when setting up bonus systems that ultimately rewarded the very folks who brought it to the brink of disaster.

Managers who own a good chunk of their company, however, are much more likely to make decisions that positively affect the share price. While it's true that very many companies with low insider ownership will be great performers, we like to stack the odds on our side. Who do you think cares more about their company's stock price -- the managers at memory maker STEC (Nasdaq: STEC  ) (36% insider ownership), or AIG (0.2%)? Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) (22%), or Flamel Technologies (0.8%)?

Flamel was one of Tom's early recommendations, and the biotech's management team at the time didn't demonstrate much of a knack for creating shareholder value. After nearly four frustrating years following Flamel, Tom sold it off at a considerable loss.

3. Study competitive advantages closely
Here we're talking about Wal-Mart's (NYSE: WMT  ) economies of scale, or eBay's (Nasdaq: EBAY  ) powerful network effects. The ability to ascertain the strength of a company's competitive advantages is one of the most powerful tools an investor can possess. The differences between vast, deep moats and dry, shallow trickles are not always obvious.

For evidence of fortified moats, Tom looks for companies that have "lots of customers, a unique product experience, and a focused management team." He looked back at picks such as eSpeed, which developed an electronic trading platform, and saw quite the opposite: a small customer base, very little differentiation, and management that seemed unable to fix problems.

4. Assess the uses of cash
Warren Buffett once said that allocating capital is management's most important job. That certainly makes sense; after all, a business exists to turn the money it has into even more money, right?

Managers can take cash and invest it back into operations, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or return it to shareholders in the form of a dividend. Rarely should a company just sit on its money. Flamel, at the time, was a struggling $300 million company burning through a $100 million cash position, and it was failing to make good use of that capital.

To assess management's capital allocation efficiency, use the metrics of return on equity and return on invested capital. Companies like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) and Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) score very high in these departments -- with ROEs of 32% and 23%, respectively, despite their large cash positions.

Foolish bottom line
Importantly, Hidden Gems' successes have far outweighed the mistakes, with returns easily beating the market since the service began more than six years ago. In the interest of equal time, I'll soon follow up with lessons on the team's successes.

Until then, you might be interested in the 10 stocks Hidden Gems suggests you buy first for your portfolio. For the next 30 days, you can see those companies and have access to the entire service, free of charge. Here's more information.

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Fool analyst Rex Moore is thrilled you've read this far. Wal-Mart Stores is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Apple, Amazon.com, and eBay are Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks. Motley Fool Options has recommended a bull call spread position on eBay. The Fool's disclosure policy helps us make fewer mistakes.


Read/Post Comments (4) | Recommend This Article (15)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 18, 2010, at 5:41 PM, seveninchruler wrote:

    Stock valuation can be considered as a tool for picking out stocks that will bring you good returns. Imagine buying a car without knowing its value, or investing thousands of dollars in property with no potential. Sounds scary? Yet, this is exactly what it amounts to if you put money into deals without assessing their value.

    Intelligent investment needs a lot of effort. If you want to invest in stocks, the first thing to look out for is its valuation. Valuation of a stock means the price or 'actual' value it holds. If you are doing stock valuation then you need not study the stock chart every time or worry about the trend in the market or the interest rates of the stocks. Never invest in stocks without knowing the value, because that is like going up a blind alley where you have no idea what you will end up with.

    Investment in stocks without valuation is like risking your money deliberately. While the fluctuations in the stock market cannot be avoided, with the accurate valuation of a stock, you can minimize the risk factor. It will ensure that you not shoot in the dark, and make sensible investments. Use the valuation of stocks to serve as a guide for buying and selling stocks.

    Instead of pouring your hard earned money into stocks without valuation, it is better to be patient and carry out a thorough research to determine the worth of stocks before buying. You do not have to be a math genius, or a stock market guru either. All you need is basic mathematical skill, and the perseverance to look for all the valuation information available.

    You cannot make the most of valuation if you do not understand or appreciate its importance in the stock market. Spending a large amount in buying shares based on what others say may well result in losses. Neither should you buy based on media hype, as this may mislead you, and you may end up losing every penny you invested. Owning stocks of a company in the form of shares can be a very good wealth-building tool for you as it grants you claim on everything that the company owns. Hence, assessing the value of the company, the profit it is generating and how beneficial it can prove to you, is a worthwhile enterprise. Valuation can prove to be especially beneficial for middle class investors, as they have limited resources to overcome losses incurred in the stock market.

    Therefore, valuation can be considered the key factor in buying stocks. Just as one assesses the value of anything one buys on the basis of a specified standard, stocks too need to be valued to determine whether the investment will bring you returns or not. Be aware, there are companies in the stock market that are making huge profits, but their stocks are of no value. Hence, spending time on carrying out your own research will help you pick up the right stock for your portfolio.

    -----------------------------------

    www.intelligentinvestingtips.com

  • Report this Comment On February 18, 2010, at 5:42 PM, seveninchruler wrote:

    Stock valuation can be considered as a tool for picking out stocks that will bring you good returns. Imagine buying a car without knowing its value, or investing thousands of dollars in property with no potential. Sounds scary? Yet, this is exactly what it amounts to if you put money into deals without assessing their value.

    Intelligent investment needs a lot of effort. If you want to invest in stocks, the first thing to look out for is its valuation. Valuation of a stock means the price or 'actual' value it holds. If you are doing stock valuation then you need not study the stock chart every time or worry about the trend in the market or the interest rates of the stocks. Never invest in stocks without knowing the value, because that is like going up a blind alley where you have no idea what you will end up with.

    Investment in stocks without valuation is like risking your money deliberately. While the fluctuations in the stock market cannot be avoided, with the accurate valuation of a stock, you can minimize the risk factor. It will ensure that you not shoot in the dark, and make sensible investments. Use the valuation of stocks to serve as a guide for buying and selling stocks.

    Instead of pouring your hard earned money into stocks without valuation, it is better to be patient and carry out a thorough research to determine the worth of stocks before buying. You do not have to be a math genius, or a stock market guru either. All you need is basic mathematical skill, and the perseverance to look for all the valuation information available.

    You cannot make the most of valuation if you do not understand or appreciate its importance in the stock market. Spending a large amount in buying shares based on what others say may well result in losses. Neither should you buy based on media hype, as this may mislead you, and you may end up losing every penny you invested. Owning stocks of a company in the form of shares can be a very good wealth-building tool for you as it grants you claim on everything that the company owns. Hence, assessing the value of the company, the profit it is generating and how beneficial it can prove to you, is a worthwhile enterprise. Valuation can prove to be especially beneficial for middle class investors, as they have limited resources to overcome losses incurred in the stock market.

    Therefore, valuation can be considered the key factor in buying stocks. Just as one assesses the value of anything one buys on the basis of a specified standard, stocks too need to be valued to determine whether the investment will bring you returns or not. Be aware, there are companies in the stock market that are making huge profits, but their stocks are of no value. Hence, spending time on carrying out your own research will help you pick up the right stock for your portfolio.

    -------------------------

    www.intelligentinvestingtips.com

  • Report this Comment On February 19, 2010, at 12:28 PM, NeoMeister wrote:

    Problem with the Gardners is they are wayyy too optimistic about investing (See "Rule Makers/Rule Breakers Book) and fail to engage in even moderate risk management. Their fanatical buy n hold philosophy simply doesn't work for the average investor who cannot stand to stand and watch an investment go down 90% from when they bought it (See their recommendation of AIB)

    Sure....if you have Buffett like cash reservers (and influence with management) to ride out down turns and replace management when they are inefficient, sure buy n hold works great!

    For everyone else....not so much.

  • Report this Comment On February 19, 2010, at 12:36 PM, NeoMeister wrote:

    My problem with the Gardners isn't just that they make mistakes but that they refuse to engage in any kind of responsible risk management and are wayyy too optimistic about investing (See their Rule Makers/Rule Breakers book fawning over tech stocks in ...1999)

    Their buy n hold fanaticism just doesn't work very well for the average investor who simply cannot afford to buy and hold a stock till it goes down 90%+ from when it was recommended (See AIB)

    Sure if you're Warren Buffett and have plentiful cash reserves to ride out nasty market cycles or have the influence where you can simply replace management when their performance isn't satisfactory then sure! Buy and hold works great!

    For everyone else...not so much.

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