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The One Retailer You Must Avoid

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If anybody needed any additional proof that bookseller Borders Group (NYSE: BGP  ) was in dire straits, look no further than the recent word that it's postponing payments to vendors.

Needless to say, this won't go over well with those vendors. The Wall Street Journal has reported that one of Borders' major distributors, Rowman & Littlefield, is temporarily halting shipments to the bookseller in response.

About a month ago, major shareholder Bill Ackman of Pershing Capital brought up the idea that he might help finance an acquisition of Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS  ) by Borders. But that seemed like an awfully odd plot twist in light of Borders' precarious financial situation.

The news that Borders is delaying its payments to publishers to fend off a liquidity crunch is a bad, bad sign. Holiday-season sales usually bring cash to retailers; this news implies that Borders didn't fare well in that highly competitive environment. Meanwhile, Borders has already disclosed that it needs to refinance its debt, and it could default this quarter if those negotiations don't work out.

As has been the case for ages, Borders faces competition from Barnes & Noble and Books-a-Million (Nasdaq: BAMM  ) , as well as from discounters Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) , Target (NYSE: TGT  ) , and Costco (Nasdaq: COST  ) . Then there's e-commerce powerhouse Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) , which has a blockbuster hit in the form of the e-book reader Kindle; Google is peddling electronic books now, too, and Apple's iPad is a popular vehicle for e-books as well.

Borders stock is merely a highly speculative play, and the notion of its eventual and outright failure isn't a stretch of the imagination. Investors should avoid this stock and put their money to work in a company with a far more secure future. The three discounters – Target, Wal-Mart, and Costco – have shown that they know how to navigate a tough economic climate and provide customers with the top bestsellers at rock-bottom prices.

Although Ackman has pulled Borders' bacon out of the fire several times over the course of the company's history, investors should wonder how long he'll consider such efforts worth his while. After all, the current competitive landscape continues to drift toward online stores and e-books, and away from giant bricks-and-mortar booksellers.

What do you think? Sound off on Borders' survival chances in the comments box below.

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You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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Costco, Google, and Wal-Mart are Motley Fool Inside Value selections. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Apple, Amazon.com, and Costco are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. Wal-Mart is a Motley Fool Global Gains pick. The Fool owns shares of Apple, Costco, Google, and Wal-Mart. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Alyce Lomax does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2011, at 3:22 PM, mattsmithsd wrote:

    I just don't see many people reading books any more. When I am out and about, people are reading from their Blackberry, iPhone, Kindle, iPad and other electronic devices. Borders hasn't really changed with the time and is pretty much going to be left behind in the dust... I always saw a problem with Barnes and Noble's future. When walking into the store, more people are lounging around reading the magazines and books for free than those in line buying the merchandise. It was a good thought to welcome lounging people, but ultimately, it is hurting their sales.

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2011, at 4:27 PM, running01 wrote:

    I worked for Borders and was thrown out (along with many of the crew in 08) the writing was on the wall a long time ago.The media has started to catch on about two years ago but behind the scenes things are awful. Workers treated like crap and fired for no reason, and a skeleton crew to somehow make it all work. Borders has burned so many people, that I can hear the applause when they finally fold. No joke. Awful company.

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2011, at 5:20 PM, Millsteen wrote:

    I was in the Marlton, NJ store on a summer Sat night with 3 customers in the coffee area and probably another 5 people browsing in the store. When this store first opened, it was crowded on a typical Sat night as a place to hang out and browse the latest books. This is before Amazon and the web. I wondered how they pay the rent for this huge superstore, not to mention the lights. The answer came this month with the notice that Borders is closing this location along with others. Investing in retail is relatively easy. Visit and observe and look past the financial reports positive or negative. The answer is in front of you.

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2011, at 7:35 PM, madmilker wrote:

    Since Retail makes NOTHING....one would be smart to avoid them all.....

    On Wal*Mart's China web page under "About Us."

    "Wal-Mart China persists in local procurement which provides more job opportunities, supports local manufacture industry and promotes local economy. So far, 95% of merchandising sold at Wal-Mart China store are local products by which Wal-Mart has established business relations with nearly 20,000 suppliers. At Wal-Mart, we treat suppliers as partners and would like to develop with them. In 2008 Wal-Mart won the Supplier Satisfaction published by Business Information of Shanghai for five consecutive years."

    5% foreign in China...

    That doesn't support American exports and American jobs.

    Remember what Lance Winslow wrote in that article "The Flow of Trade in a Global Economy"....

    "Now let us look at Wal-Mart again; you buy a product there, 6% goes to the employees, 10-18% is profit to the company, 25% goes to other costs and 50% goes to re-stock or the cost of goods sold. Of the 50% about 20-25% goes to China, a guess, but you get the point. Now then, how long will it take at 433 Billion dollars at year for China to have all of our money, leaving no money flow for us to circulate? At a 17 Trillion dollar economy less than 40-years minus the 1/6 they buy from us. Some say that if we keep putting money into our economy, it would take forever, but if we do not then eventually all the money flow will go. If China buys our debt then eventually they own us, no need to worry about a war, they are buying America, due in part to our own mismanaged trade, so whose fault is that? Not necessarily China, as they are doing what's in the best interests, and we should make sure that trade is not only free, but fair too."

    Think for a moment about George Washington....yes the man that is on the US dollar bill....How do you think George feels being sent overseas in return for all that foreign so-call cheap items and being left in a foreign bank because the American worker doesn't make anything for the foreigners to buy. Cheap items didn't make this great union of 50 states the greatest place on the face of this Earth.....the American worker (union and non-union) did.

    You can't have a strong country without having a strong currency and you can't have a strong currency unless you keep it floating around within your 50 states. This is why the store with the star in the name puts 95% China made items in their stores in China....to keep their "yuan" in their country helping the nice people there. And with only 5% left for all the other 182 country's that make stuff including the United States of America....that doesn't produce very many jobs outside of China.

    Being an old person myself and knowing how it was back in the 40's, 50's and 60's in this union of 50 states....I look at George each time I pull him out of my billfold and make a promise to send him out for items made in America so after floating around helping each hand he touches just maybe one day he will shake mine again.

    Fifteen cargo ships pollute as much as 760 million automobiles.

    $9 billion a year in hidden taxes to all American taxpayers to clean fish from ballast tanks of ships...

    think about all those facts the next time you pull that George out of your pocket....

    Retail makes NOTHING...

    Governments only make MORE DEBT...

    It's time for less of those two and for America to get back to what it does best....MAKE STUFF..

    cause George Washington on that dollar can't help anyone in the United States of America if he is being held in a foreign hand.

    Made In America is the only way out of this mess cause foreign made put US here.

    duh!

    http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0JZS/is_6_22/ai_n2498...

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2011, at 7:48 PM, stan8331 wrote:

    I see brick & mortar book retailing reverting back to being dominated by local booksellers who can tolerate lower sales volume. National chains like Borders and Barnes & Noble are simply not competetive against the likes of Amazon, Wal-Mart and Costco - now or anywhere in the foreseeable future.

    Physical books are not headed for extinction, but Amazon's and Wal-Mart's business models are just too efficient to allow the brick & mortar bookstore chains to survive long-term in their current form.

  • Report this Comment On January 04, 2011, at 11:17 AM, DeanWitterNY wrote:

    Go Short!

  • Report this Comment On January 04, 2011, at 12:13 PM, dollarpimp wrote:

    Was in a Borders yesterday and the shelves were not only half-empty but in total disarray. This company is finished.

  • Report this Comment On January 04, 2011, at 12:55 PM, TMFLomax wrote:

    I just saw that yesterday the company also disclosed losing two major executives. Doesn't look good.

    Thanks for all the feedback, folks!

  • Report this Comment On January 04, 2011, at 6:51 PM, NotAnotherTrader wrote:

    Although it is cool to shop at Amazon for hard to find or specialty books, I think it's better to shop at a local Borders or Barnes and Noble store to benefit the local economy. Not to mention keep the jobs.

    I rather pay a few dollars more. Am I right or am I right?

  • Report this Comment On January 04, 2011, at 7:44 PM, RedRaiderMan wrote:

    Borders and B&N are chains as well. Too bad there aren't old fashioned bookstores like the one we had in my town when I was growing up.

    No coffee, computers, movies...just lots and lots of great books and friendly people.

  • Report this Comment On February 04, 2011, at 1:39 AM, SteveKL wrote:

    BGP and BKS collectively were responsible for the failure and closure of nearly 50% of the independent bookstores in the country between 1985 and 2005, according to industry trade group American Booksellers Association. Now that technology, big box retailers, and other factors are putting the squeeze on the big chain bookstores, it is ironic to think that the future of B&M bookselling may again revert to the small, locally-owned, independent bookstores that found it so hard to compete with the biggies.

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