Sponsored by
Value Investing
  •  

5 Top-Rated Value Stocks

By Matt Koppenheffer March 17, 2008 Comments (0)

11 Recommendations

Are you familiar with the dynamic duo of Fama and French? No, they didn't sing "Private Eyes" -- that was Hall and Oates. And no, they didn't star in Tommy Boy -- that was Farley and Spade.

While the names Eugene Fama and Kenneth French may not come up in most dinner conversations, the two have done some of the most interesting academic research on stocks that I've read. In short, they've proposed that there's more to stock returns than volatility -- which was most academics' previous consensus. In research they conducted over various periods and across multiple geographic locations, Fama and French determined that stocks characterized as "value stocks" have consistently outperformed non-value stocks.

Today, I've rounded up five value stocks that are all trading at less than 1.5 times their tangible book value. To focus on high-quality stocks, I've cross-referenced these against ratings in our Motley Fool CAPS community of more than 86,000 investors.

Company

Tangible Book Value Multiple

1-Year Return

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

First Marblehead (NYSE: FMD)

0.9

(79.7%)

****

American Capital Strategies (Nasdaq: ACAS)

1.0

(12.0%)

*****

Huaneng Power (NYSE: HNP)

1.3

(25.5%)

*****

Cemex (NYSE: CX)

1.3

(18.9%)

*****

Loews (NYSE: LTR)

1.4

(7.2%)

****

Data from CAPS, Yahoo! Finance, and Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Current as of March 14.

Though the CAPS community obviously likes these stocks, I would advise against investing in any of them on the basis of this one metric alone. With that I mind, I thought I'd dig in a little further to the story at Motley Fool Hidden Gems favorite First Marblehead.

The long, hard fall
Many stocks out there have been hit by the credit crisis despite being innocent bystanders in the whole affair. Sinking consumer confidence and a lackluster economy brought on by the myriad problems in the financial markets have taken the steam out of these stocks even though they aren't directly exposed to the main risks out there. First Marblehead is not one of them.

The stock has lost nearly 80% of its value over the past year as investors headed for the hills, and it's still hard to say whether they were justified in doing so. First Marblehead works in the world of structured finance. It helps the backers of private student loans package and resell the loans as bundled securities and gets paid handsomely for its efforts. Right now, though, with the credit markets crazier than Gary Busey in his "I'm With Busey" days, nobody wants to buy the securities First Marblehead is selling.

So right now First Marblehead is more or less a business without a business, and it's currently running at a loss as it waits for the buyers of securitized loans to come out of hiding. A cash infusion from Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) promises that the company can continue to keep the lights on while it waits, but it still can't wait forever. In addition, during the company's most recent earnings conference call, management talked about the potential to move the business model in a new direction to help diversify its revenue streams. This would help, but it won't happen overnight.

First Marblehead has a big fan base on CAPS, with 2,865 players rating the stock an outperformer versus just 117 who think it will lag the market. One First Marblehead bull, CAPS All-Star spiritof78, wrote last December:

Busted growth stock anyone? I was never convinced earlier on about this company [maintaining] its high flying growth ... I liked the business model but found other options more appealing. At a [big] discount though why not buy the fire sale investors have started on this company's stock?

Though I tend to agree that the company's long-term prospects look good, it remains unclear what will happen for the time being. The stock may continue to drop as uncertainty, fear, and the real prospect of a bad outcome increase. On the other hand, if the securitization markets open back up or the company is able to get new revenue streams up and running, investors getting in at today's price could see hefty rewards.

So what do you think? Are these stocks values, or value traps? Log onto CAPS and let the rest of the 86,000-member community know what you think.

More CAPS Foolishness:

Get the best of the Fool delivered to your inbox every Friday

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 600015, ~/articles/articlehandler.aspx, 7/5/2008 9:47:48 AM, No ticker

FREE 1-Step Fool.com Access!

Already registered? Login Here

Simply enter your email address below to get:

  • Instant access to this article and all in-depth Motley Fool news and analysis.
  • A FREE special report, "The Motley Fool's Top Two Picks," immediately sent to your inbox. Inside you'll read about the Fool's two best plays for new money in 2008 — this report is free for a limited time.

No, thanks

Related Tickers

The First Marblehead Corp

FMD Down! $2.29 -0.16 (-6.53%) 1:06 PM
CAPS Rating:
3017 Outperforms
174 Underperforms
Rate This Stock

Major Indices

S&P 5001,262.90+0.11%
DJIA11,288.54+0.65%
RSL 2K665.78 -0.98%
NASD2,245.38 -0.27%
Updated: 1:04:33 PM
Sponsored by:

The Motley Poll

Will the U.S. economy fall into recession?

Sponsored by: