Warren Buffett, who earlier this year was the world's richest man, once joked that he owed his enormous success entirely to his good luck in being born in the United States at a time when the capital markets were ripe with opportunity. For more than a decade, Buffett and his friend Bill Gates controlled the two top spots for worldwide wealth. But recently, newcomers have threatened their stranglehold on the top of the wealth list -- and those newcomers aren't from the U.S.
In 2007, the crown of the world's richest man belonged to Mexican business tycoon Carlos Slim Helu. Like Buffett, whose wealth is directly related to the performance of Berkshire Hathaway's
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Emerging economies display some similarities to the United States' conditions during the early part of the 20th century. Their populations are eager to become more educated, their governments are gradually adopting free-market-type economic policies, and their infrastructure direly needs improvement and expansion.
Thus, it's only prudent for intelligent investors to at least supplement their analysis of securities with businesses outside of the United States. You never know what you might uncover. At the very worst, you'll educate yourself further by understanding a foreign business. At the very best, you might find a buying opportunity, like Buffett did when he purchased shares of PetroChina
A savvy international investment
When news of Buffett's buy first broke, PetroChina's shares shot up about 8%. Even after the "Buffett premium," China's largest oil explorer and refiner was selling for about $30 per American depositary receipt, or roughly $45 billion. At that price, the company was selling for about 25% of its large U.S. counterparts' asking price. Yet PetroChina was gushing cash and earning almost 80% of the profits that the other U.S. oil titans were making. On top of that, the company was paying out 45% of its income in dividends each year, for a yield of 6% to 7%.
It didn't take a genius to realize that this was a fantastic business available for a good price. Yet part of the reason for the price discount relative to its American peers was that PetroChina was based in communist China. Still, its valuation was extremely cheap even after the Buffett pop. By the time Buffett sold last October, shares were trading around $150.
The U.S is still home to the strongest and safest equity market -- recent credit turmoil notwithstanding. Nothing shows that more than the dramatic drops in emerging-market stocks in recent months, with stocks like Baidu.com
At the end of the day, value investors simply focus on finding great businesses selling below their intrinsic value, and offering a satisfactory margin of safety and return on capital. As long as you follow this philosophy completely, and maintain your discipline, the emerging markets are ripe with opportunities for the prudent investor. Just ask Carlos Slim.
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