The Mr. Scrooge of Silver Miners

Recs

15

Panic 2008... Profit 2009!

Fool -- Now's the time to invest! David and Tom Gardner's new book reveals their strategy for million dollar wealth.

Perhaps we all feel a bit tight-pocketed this holiday season, but within the mining industry many pockets have been sewn shut as capital is carefully hoarded. Seeking to capitalize on tough times, the world's largest silver producer has offered to buy a joint venture partner for a cash pittance.

Fresnillo, which operates the prolific Fresnillo Mine in Mexico's Sierra Madre mountains, this week offered $4.54 per share in cash for shares of MAG Silver (AMEX: MVG). (That's below MAG's closing price on the previous day!) Fresnillo already owns 19.8% of MAG shares after a big purchase back in October, and now seeks to consolidate its interests throughout the Fresnillo II development project. With "bonanza" ore grades above 1,000 grams of silver per tonne, the joint venture's 238 million ounces of inferred silver resources and 480,000 ounces of gold makes this one of the choicest silver-bearing ore bodies this Fool has ever seen.

Interestingly, these figures exclude the results of exploration in 2008, which encountered ore grades as high as 10,000 grams per tonne at Valdecanas, and more than 4,000 g/t in the nearby Juanicipio vein. High ore grades make for highly profitable mines, as the operating costs associated with processing ore into its metal components are significantly reduced.

From emerging superstar Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) to fixed-cost fixture Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW), shares of precious-metal miners have tanked in unison since gold and silver began this protracted correction. Pan American Silver (Nasdaq: PAAS) barely clung to profits last quarter. A quick look at charts for Coeur d'Alene Mines (NYSE: CDE) or Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL) makes it clear that the junior silver miners have been among the hardest hit. Without any silver production to generate revenue, the market ripped into MAG Silver, dragging shares from a 52-week high of $18 to below $5. Shares slid mercilessly even as bonanza-grade discoveries filed in, causing MAG shares to appear increasingly undervalued.

Accordingly, shareholders and analysts alike are dubbing Fresnillo's $4.54-per-share offer for MAG a "take-under" offer. In the words of MAG Silver CEO Dan MacInnis, "This may be the first time in history that a hostile bidder has announced a bid at a price lower than the closing market price of the target's shares on the trading day prior to announcement."

I view the bid price as truly Scrooge-like. Worse yet, since Fresnillo doesn't trade on a U.S. exchange, it effectively bars many investors from following the asset forward. Bah, humbug, Fresnillo!

Further Foolishness:

"The most exciting development in my lifetime!" 15 years ago, Motley Fool founder David Gardner uncovered a secret that changed how he'd invest forever. It can make you money in up, down, and rollercoaster markets. To learn more, enter your email address now.

Over at Motley Fool CAPS, only 88 members have selected three-star-rated MAG Silver to outperform the S&P 500. Create your own CAPS portfolio today and cast your vote on where these shares are headed. CAPS is free and fun!

Fool contributor Christopher Barker eats promising exploration companies for breakfast. He can be found blogging actively within the CAPS community under the username TMFSinchiruna. He owns shares of Coeur d'Alene Mines, Hecla Mining, MAG Silver, Pan American Silver, Silver Wheaton, and Yamana Gold. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 788227, ~/articles/articlehandler.aspx, 1/9/2009 5:53:05 AM

Sign up for FREE Motley Fool site access!

Already registered? Login Here

It’s FREE! Enter your email address, and we’ll rush you to the article you're looking for right now.

Privacy / Legal Information

We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our web site and about other products and services that we think might interest you. The Motley Fool respects your privacy. Please read our Privacy Statement

.

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

What Fools Are Saying

Most Recommended

Jan 8 at 4:06 PM

Market Summary

DJIA 8,742.46 -27.24 -0.31%
S&P 500 909.73 +3.08 +0.34%
NASD 1,617.01 +17.95 +1.12%
Sponsored by:

Related Tickers

Mag Silver Corp.

CAPS Rating 5/5 Stars

$5.15

+0.66 (+14.70%)

Outperform102

Underperform3

Rate This Stock