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2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Dell

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 120,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, computer giant Dell (Nasdaq: DELL  ) has received a distressing two-star ranking. While one-star stocks have been the worst performers, our data has shown that two-star stocks still lag the market by a significant margin and should be approached with caution; conversely, highly rated stocks have outperformed the S&P.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Dell's business, and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Dell facts

Headquarters (founded)

Round Rock, Texas (1984)

Market Cap

$22.92 billion

Industry

Computer hardware

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$63.66 billion

Management

Founder/CEO Michael Dell
President of Global Operations Michael Cannon

Net Income Growth (average, past 5 years and trailing 12 months)

2.9% and (6.3%)

Competitors

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  )
IBM (NYSE: IBM  )

CAPS members bearish on Dell also bearish on:

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  )
General Motors (NYSE: GM  )

CAPS members bullish on Dell also bullish on:

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  )
Google

Sources: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, and Motley Fool CAPS.

Over on CAPS, some 29% of the 5,363 members who have rated Dell believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include CAPS All-Star Fenix2606 and lschneider03.

Earlier this month, Fenix2606 wrote that Dell "just can't compete in this sector anymore. They lack the innovation of Apple and HP and have been too slow to adapt to consumer preferences. ... Couple this with lower disposable income, and Dell has plenty of room left on the downside."

In a pitch from last month, lschneider03 shares that bearishness, tapping Dell as a PC has-been:

This company is still living in its past and believes that its direct to consumer distribution strategy sets it apart from its competitors. At one time it did, but no longer (it's been copied......even Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) does it now). Dell basically came into the industry, shook it up, flushed a lot of the excess profits of the industry down the drain with its lower pricing (due to its distribution strategy) and then they forgot to innovate after that. In the meantime, HP and Compaq get together and start kicking this Austin company's backside all over the place. DELL is a pretender and their best days will always be in their rear view mirrors.

What do you think about Dell, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 120,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so simply click here to get started.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Microsoft, Dell, and Wal-Mart are Motley Fool Inside Value picks. Apple is a Stock Advisor selection. Google is a choice of Rule Breakers. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2008, at 12:28 PM, madmilker wrote:

    Moooooooooooooooooo! tat cow gonna p^ss on tat "round" flat "rock."

    People in America need to realize jus what got America in this shape…”cheap” yes so-call cheap items from a foreign land.

    quote*Wal-Mart firmly believes in local procurement. We recognize that by purchasing quality products, we can generate more job opportunities, support local manufacturing and boost economic development. Over 95% of the merchandise in our stores in China is sourced locally. We have established partnerships with nearly 20,000 suppliers in China. *end quote!

    Now! if there be 182 country’s making items for the world to buy and they have only 5% of the pie in China…duh! This company makes the nice people of China support their currency(yuan) by keeping it in their country working for the people there…. but with the “yuan” going up in value and the US dollar going down…all the foreign items that the American consumer buys thinking it is cheap has went up in price.

    People…its all about the currency and to keep a currency strong you got to keep it floating around the country you live in so it can work for you. For the past 12 years all them US dollars are being shipped overseas to a foreign bank and with the American worker not making anything for the foreigner to buy the “we the people” have to turn to the “second” largest employer in America(Uncle Sam) to sell “we the people” debt in order to get all them dollars back!

    50 years ago a foreigner would had given their left nut for a US dollar or a Hershey’s chocolate bar and today the same foreigner has got Uncle Sam and the American consumer by both all the while Hershey is moving the chocolate factory to Mexico. Wake up! America and think “MADE IN AMERICA.”

    Wake up! America.....cheap items from a foreign land didn't make America great.....the American worker did....

    made in America.........priceless!

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2008, at 3:19 PM, dividendgrowth wrote:

    Steve Jobs will soon be dead and Apple too.

  • Report this Comment On December 18, 2008, at 7:23 AM, FirebirdMan wrote:

    I agree with you madmilker, only problem is our government (and most corporate america) is selling the American worker down the tubes. I've seen more American jobs lost to foreign countries in the last 3 years than I've seen in the previous two decades. I am very distraunt that our government and our american business' don't care about the american worker but only care about their bottom line. I didn't vote for Obama but he said something like this, I will take tax advantages away from corporations that take american jobs to foreign lands. I don't remember his exact quote but it made me sit up and take notice.

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