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Has Cisco Gone Bonkers?

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"Beware Greeks bearing gifts," goes one old saw. Today, let's bring that into the 21st Century, and apply it to the world of investing.

Beware companies bearing too much cash
The tech world was set abuzz last week when BusinessWeek voiced rumors that Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) may move even deeper into the consumer electronics market.

Fools may recall that Cisco first began branching out of its business customer focus in earnest with a pair of acquisitions earlier in the millennium -- buying first Linksys back in 2003, then set-top cable box maker Scientific-Atlanta in 2006. After each of these moves, Cisco then sat quietly, digesting its prize, for more than a year. But in recent months, as Cisco's cash coffers swelled to bustin', we've seen a corresponding burst of mergers and acquisitions activity at the tech powerhouse.

In January, Cisco announced the introduction of a new "wireless home audience system." Hardly a month went by before Cisco announced its next target: mini-camcorder maker Pure Digital Technologies. Now, fast-forward a couple of weeks, and we see Cisco filing patents that suggest its next move will be the introduction of its very own smartphone. According to Business Week, Cisco has applied for patents on tech relevant to PDAs, wireless delivery of video, and -- most tellingly -- a "network-connected phone" capable of streaming video

Which to my Foolish eye, all adds up to "Cisco wants to build a smartphone." The move, assuming Cisco follows through -- which I hope it doesn't -- follows in the footsteps of other tech giants making bumbling forays into the space. It's been reported since January that Dell (Nasdaq: DELL  ) has plans to take on Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) and Palm (Nasdaq: PALM  ) in the smartphone space. Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  ) made its own big push just three months earlier.

Say it ain't so, Cisco
While refusing to confirm or deny the rumors, Ken Wirt, Cisco's VP of consumer marketing, loftily opined: "There are a lot of things people thought we wouldn't do that we can do." The real question, however, isn't "would" or "could," but what should Cisco do?

Consider: Right now, Cisco dominates the Internet equipment space. Its $40 billion in annual revenues dwarfs hard-hit smaller rival Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU  ) . Likewise, lesser networking competitors Nortel and Ciena (Nasdaq: CIEN  ) are also losing money while Cisco boasts a beefy 23% operating margin on its business. Simply put, Cisco's unstoppable on its own turf.

Foolish takeaway
For Cisco to leave its comfort zone and put billions of dollars of shareholder capital on the line, attacking established businesses like Apple, Nokia, and Palm -- each of which earns less on its sales than Cisco already does -- seems insane. It's diworsification incarnate, and should never happen.

Want a preview of how this could play out for Cisco investors? Examine what's happened to those who went before:

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of any company named above. Dell is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 06, 2009, at 6:12 PM, InfoThatHelp wrote:

    Cisco is addressing the RIM corporate business. RIM's cash cow is it's BES enterprise solution which is a poor man's Cisco for a long time. Cisco is rightfully reclaiming it's rightful place from RIM which is fleeing from Cisco to compete with Apple, Nokia, Palm, Samsung, LG etc.

  • Report this Comment On April 07, 2009, at 1:31 PM, atpeace wrote:

    Not to disagree with the point that Cisco is doing more of a consumer push, but Scientific Atlanta was about a lot more than set top boxes. It allowed Cisco to penetrate a lot deeper with cablecos on IP infrastructure and be a one stop shop. Linksys also allowed Cisco to compete in the SMB space with price points they weren't willing to go to on their traditional ethernet switch lines.

  • Report this Comment On April 07, 2009, at 10:01 PM, InfoThatHelp wrote:

    Rim BES is a program that provides corporations the ability to retrieve corporate documents from behind the firewall; to add, read, rename and delete folders on the BB, which will be reflected on the desktop BB email client; create rules within the inbox to filter email, also reflected on the desktop; the ability to view attachments in calendar entries and meeting requests; as well as the ability to download and store emails and email attachments onto microSD cards. All these and more can be installed and executed on Cisco hotpoints too all Cisco clients which will free all subscribers at prices much much lower than the BES license. At the Cisco level not only can corporations save huge costs from the high BES license fees, but Cisco can also greatly enhance inter-corporate collaboration tasks and workflows that is simply not possible at the BES level. Cisco would be a fool not capturing Rim's BES market as soon as possible.

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