2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Universal Forest?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 130,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, wood products producer Universal Forest Products (Nasdaq: UFPI) has received a distressing two-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Universal Forest's business, and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Universal Forest facts

Headquarters (founded)

Grand Rapids, Mich. (1955)

Market Cap

$543.04 million

Industry

Lumber, wood production

TTM Revenue

$2.23 billion

Management

CEO Michael Glenn (since 2006)
CFO Michael Cole (since 2000)

Return on Equity (average, last five years and TTM)

10.3% and 0.8%

Competitors

Plum Creek Timber (NYSE: PCL)
Weyerhaeuser (NYSE: WY)

CAPS members bearish on UFPI also bearish on

Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL)
Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM)

CAPS members bullish on UFPI also bullish on

USG (NYSE: USG)
General Electric (NYSE: GE)

Sources: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, and Motley Fool CAPS. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Over on CAPS, fully 23 of the 87 members who have rated Universal Forest -- some 26% -- believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include All-Star bdash, who is ranked in the top 7% of our community, and TSIF.

In February, bdash tapped Universal Forest as a stock primed to get chopped: "Hasn't fallen with other timber companies and has a P/E of 100+. They make everything you could want as far as house construction is concerned."

In a pitch from last month, TSIF also seemed stumped over the stock's resilience:

I can't find what's propping Universal Forest Products up in this economy. Yes, do it yourselfers are still out there, ... but overall, this is the wrong product mix in the wrong economy and with negative cash flow, and no hurricanes in sight, this company seems to be teetering with its low cash on hand, climbing acct. payable and very high P/E. Low volume, some loyal following, but with a sub-1% profit margin, I think it will need something more to hold up it's trusses.

What do you think about Universal Forest, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 130,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so simply click here to get started.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. USG is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. The Fool owns shares of Plum Creek Timber. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 09, 2009, at 9:47 PM, dallas8791 wrote:

    UFPI is an industry that makes industrial lumber products unlike weyerehauser or plum creek. UFPI buys lumber then makes any wood container, skid, pallet, etc. I sharpen the saws they use and lately they have dulled more than they have in the past two years. Just a little info on my part.

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