Is Michael Dell a Palm Reader?

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Dell (Nasdaq: DELL) is apparently about to go shopping.

Yesterday's Wall Street Journal claims that the company is looking to acquire a "significant-sized company," according to someone who has spoken to CEO Michael Dell.

The paper suggests that Dell wants to expand in the area of data storage or tech services, but don't go making room on the Data Domain (Nasdaq: DDUP) porch for yet another interested suitor.

The Dallas Morning News is cutting to the chase in its tech blog, where it proposes that the company should be building up a $10 billion war chest to snap up Palm (Nasdaq: PALM).

Sounds great in theory. Dell has been rumored to be trying to get some skin in the smartphone market, but doing so has never made a whole lot of sense.

"Why does Dell believe it has a chance in the high-end wireless market?" I wrote five months ago. "Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM) is in too deep and Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) is way too cool."

The poor man's approach would be to simply lean on the Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) or Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) mobile operating systems, but that's a bad bet for Dell. Being a "me too" hardware player in a crowded niche -- outside of its computing strengths -- has been a losing proposition for Dell in the past. A logical foray into portable media players did not end well.

In steps Palm. Last week's successful debut of the Pre is turning heads. Unlike Research In Motion or Apple, Palm's current $2.4 billion in enterprise value wouldn't break Dell's bank, even with a healthy buyout premium. The deal would be highly dilutive, with Palm unlikely to turn a profit until fiscal 2011 at the earliest, but it would earn the meandering computing giant some necessary style points. It would also put a promising mobile platform -- Palm's webOS -- in Dell's eager paws.

The problem is that it's hard to see Palm cashing out now. The stock has been better than a 10-bagger for investors who picked up the stock near December's bottom. This week's regime change at the top is hardly indicative of a company interested in an exit strategy. If Dell had a shot, and at a great price, that time would have been six months ago.

The ship has sailed. If Dell is able to nab a desperate Palm later this year, it will be because the Pre cooled off after its brisk initial sales. Dell wouldn't want that Palm anyway, just as Palm isn't likely to be interested in saying "I do" to Dell today.

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz pecked out this article on a Dell laptop, though most of his computing devices are HP- or Apple-flavored. He owns no shares in any of the stocks in this article and is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 12, 2009, at 1:13 PM, pirate200 wrote:

    Palm? Nah...

    Storage: 3Par (NYSE:PAR) or Isilon (NASDAQ:ISLN) for fibre channel block storage or clustered file storage.

  • Report this Comment On June 12, 2009, at 2:04 PM, nicksf wrote:

    I beg to differ, why wouldn't Palm want to be bought by Dell. With Rubenstein in poistion to replace Michael Dell as CEO, the combined entity would have much more cash to win.

    Palm alone in a crowded handset market is a deathwish.

    On the other hand, Palm's best asset is it's web OS. Why not proliferate by extending this OS to a brand new touchscreen netbook, laptop, and pc space and take on HP and Apple head on.

    Apple got into the phone business to maximize it's network affect.

    Palm would be smart to do the same with a partner such as Dell or HP.

  • Report this Comment On June 12, 2009, at 4:19 PM, pmcki wrote:

    Gee, maybe someone should look at the potential of a major IP lawsuit by Apple. Ya think? There were mentions of this for some time, but those who speak acquisition to run the stock don't talk of it. Remember Rubenstein was literally on the beach (meaning beached, not employed) when Palm called. Palm has no apps, and it is fighting RIMM, Apple, and Google as well as many others. This is a very high risk situation for a company not recently known for good execution. Given it's earnings, it is a very risky expenditure of $2 billion. That's no chump change and Dell isn't that well capitalized, and remember it has some fairly well capitalized competitors in its own space like HP. This would be a good way to sink the ship of Dell and put them all on the beach.

  • Report this Comment On June 14, 2009, at 2:53 PM, QueridaNegra wrote:

    @pmcki - speaking of IP lawsuits, one might want to look a little closer. . . Palm (nee Handspring) INVENTED a lot of the tech that Apple has redeployed in their iPhone today. Palm's handset patent portfolio runs a LOT deeper than Apple's - remember they invented the PDA, touchscreens, etc... Apple won't sue Palm for patent infringement, they can't - it'd only turn around and bite them.

    Also, Palm has more apps than Apple does - from it's old platform, Garnet. There's an emulator that runs on the Pre which allows most of those legacy apps to be run. This is on top of the development of WebOS native apps going on now.

    (I own a Pre - never owned a Palm PDA)

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