Recs

8

The Perfect Investments for This Market

Last year's market crash knocked the stuffing out of many stocks. Many of those beatings were well-deserved. Money-losing car companies such as General Motors, and overleveraged investment banks such as Lehman Brothers, had serious debt problems that meant their demises were likely only a matter of time.

But many companies were knocked down for reasons other than the collapse of their financial house of cards. Some fell because the overall economy slipped into recession, taking their businesses along with it. Some dropped simply because the overall market was tanking. As people pulled money out of mutual funds, those funds needed to sell anything that had liquidity in order to raise cash.

In other words, while some "cheap" stocks deserved their haircuts, others are now serious bargains.

It's time to imitate Benjamin Graham
It's no coincidence that value investing -- the strategy that made Warren Buffett rich and famous -- was perfected on the heels of the Great Depression. With stocks trading as if financial Armageddon were just around the corner, it took a special kind of courage to buy during that meltdown.

Yet that's exactly what value investing pioneer Benjamin Graham was busy doing -- fine-tuning the concept of value investing and making his own fortune along the way.

These days, though the economy isn't quite as bad as it was during the worst of the Depression, the parallels are certainly strong enough for you to stand up and take notice. Unemployment is in the double digits in much of the country. This current recession has lasted longer than any since the Great Depression itself. And of course, the stock market's 2008 plunge invites way too many comparisons to the aftermath of the 1929 crash for comfort.

Whether or not we're really in the middle of the second Great Depression, it makes sense to study investors like Graham who were successful then. If history is repeating itself, his strategies provide a tremendous road map on how to invest successfully amid an otherwise nightmarish economy. And if this isn't Great Depression: Part Two, well, disciples of Graham -- such as Buffett -- have certainly been successful enough investors to suggest that value investing works outside of depressions as well.

The cheaper, the better
Perhaps the best part of the value investing strategy is that it's so very straightforward. In essence, value investors look to buy stocks for less than they're objectively worth, and then simply hold on to their investment until the market realizes that fact.

There's no rocket science involved, but you do need to be willing to buy what the rest of the market is busy selling as garbage -- provided there's really treasure buried there.

One way to tell whether the market has mispriced a company, thus creating a value opportunity, is to look for companies selling for less than their tangible book values. Take a look, for instance, at these:

Company

Price to Tangible Book Value Ratio

Price to Normalized Earnings Ratio

Ameren (NYSE: AEE  )

0.92

9.55

Ingram Micro (NYSE: IM  )

0.98

14.30

Endurance Specialty Holdings (NYSE: ENH  )

0.93

25.70

TechData (Nasdaq: TECD  )

0.95

13.80

Seaboard (NYSE: SEB  )

0.97

27.90

Energy Conversion Devices (Nasdaq: ENER  )

0.90

21.40

Ceradyne (Nasdaq: CRDN  )

0.92

9.01

Data from CapitalIQ, a division of Standard and Poor's, as of Aug. 17, 2009.

They're all trading below what they might fetch in a liquidation sale. Yet they've all posted positive normalized earnings over the past 12 months, which indicates that they may not be quite as dead as the market thinks they are.

While these aren't official buy recommendations, they -- and stocks like them -- are good places to start looking for opportunities to begin building your own value-focused portfolio. 

Are you ready to buy?
At Motley Fool Inside Value, we're salivating over the tremendous bargains now available in the market. As disciples of Graham and Buffett, we know that buying the survivors during a panic sale is a great way to make money as investors. If you'd like to follow along with us in the footsteps of those amazingly successful investors, then join us today for your 30-day free trial. Simply click here to get started.

Already subscribe to Inside Value? Log in at the top of this page.

This article was originally published on July 8, 2009. It has been updated.

At the time of publication, Fool contributor and Inside Value team member Chuck Saletta did not own shares of any company mentioned in this article. Endurance Specialty Holdings is an Inside Value selection. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2009, at 2:55 PM, ecdfan wrote:

    Wow? Really? ENER is "selling" below tangible book value? How do you know what ENER's book value is when they haven't reported their June quarter yet (which is their fiscal year end), and when the report will likely show severe losses that will continue in this (September) quarter as well? Don't you know that losses reduce tangible book value? Or you skipped that class in college?

    By the way, does giving away product increase or decrease tangible book value these days?

    http://ecdfan.blogspot.com/2009/07/money-for-nothing-and-pv-...

    Normalized earnings quickly turn into normalized losses when an outdated, inferior, and overpriced product becomes uncompetitive:

    http://ecdfan.blogspot.com/2009/07/how-united-solar-lost-thi...

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2009, at 4:20 PM, pradsynair wrote:

    @ecdfan

    While I understand your desire to make a point and comment on an article, I cannot quite understand your fascination with ecd. You call yourself an ecd fan and yet your comments and blogs are anything but. Almost any article that comes out about ecd, it always has a comment from you. I think a disclosure is in order. I am sure other FOOL readers would agree. I don't see your blog talking about anything else. Why this amazing interest in this particular stock?

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2009, at 7:05 PM, ecdfan wrote:

    pradsynair: ECD is a fascinating company - it is the only company in the world that has drained cash (generating negative free cash flows) on an annual basis for 40+ years without interruption - and I am a fan (meaning, I have taken the time to learn about it all I can, using publicly available information only). The front page of my blog clearly states: "This is a blog about all things ECD." Why are you surprised then that the blog focuses exclusively on ECD? Instead of asking me inane questions about my motivation, you should be trying to understand what the blog says and you should be checking the references I have provided there (just to make sure I am not lying). But that's just my humble opinion...

  • Report this Comment On August 19, 2009, at 10:17 AM, pradsynair wrote:

    @ecdfan

    So you are saying that you are the only person in the whole wide world to see this apparent cash drain. Interesting... pray tell what do you think is the right price for this stock and what the future holds for it given your extensive fascination and research...

  • Report this Comment On August 19, 2009, at 10:44 AM, ecdfan wrote:

    pradsynair: Nope, I am saying it is YOU that did not see "this apparent cash drain." Many, many shareholders and "partners" who got swindled over those years have seen it and are still seeing it. Telling the "right price" for a stock or "what the future holds" is not my hobby. You are mixing me with somebody else. My hobby is seeking the truth about ECD. Thus, my blog.

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Related Tickers

2/14/2012 4:02 PM
ENH $39.80 Up +0.23 +0.58%
Endurance Specialt… CAPS Rating: *****
IM $19.60 Up +0.11 +0.56%
Ingram Micro, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****
TECD $54.42 Up +0.76 +1.42%
Tech Data Corp CAPS Rating: ****
AEE $31.19 Down -0.01 -0.03%
Ameren Corp CAPS Rating: **
CRDN $32.78 Down -0.65 -1.94%
Ceradyne CAPS Rating: *****
ENER $0.29 Down -1.17 -80.14%
Energy Conversion… CAPS Rating: **

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