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Warning: Sprint Nextel May Be Hiding Weakness

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Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S  ) carries $22.6 billion of goodwill and other intangibles on its balance sheet. Sometimes goodwill, especially when it's excessive, can foreshadow problems down the road.  Could this be the case with Sprint Nextel?

Before we answer that, let's look at what could go wrong.

AOL blows up
In early 2002, AOL Time Warner was trading for $66.27 per share. It had $209 billion of assets on its balance sheet, and $128 billion of that was in the form of goodwill and other intangible assets. Goodwill is simply the difference between the price paid for a company during an acquisition and the net assets of the acquired company. The $128 billion of goodwill in this case was created when AOL and Time Warner merged in 2000.

The problem with inflating your net assets with goodwill is that it can -- being intangible, after all -- go away if the acquisition or merger doesn't create the amount of value that was expected. That's what happened in AOL Time Warner's case. It had to write off most of the goodwill over the next few months, and one year later that line item had shrunk to $37 billion. Investors punished the stock along the way, sending it down to $27.04 -- or nearly a 60% loss.

In his fine book It's Earnings That Count, Hewitt Heiserman explains the AOL situation and how two simple metrics can help minimize your risk of owning a company that may blow up like this. Let's see how Sprint Nextel holds up using his two metrics.

Intangible assets ratio
This ratio shows us the percentage of total assets made up by goodwill and other intangibles. Heiserman says he views anything over 20% as worrisome, "because management might be overpaying for the acquisition or acquisitions that gave rise to the goodwill."

Sprint Nextel has an intangible assets ratio of 46%.

This is well above Heiserman's threshold, and you should keep a close eye on just how the company is fueling its growth. It's also useful to compare it to tangible book value.

Tangible book value
Tangible book value is simply what remains after subtracting goodwill and other intangibles from shareholders' equity (also known as book value). If this is not a positive value, Heiserman advises you to run away because such companies may "lack the balance sheet muscle to protect themselves in a recession or from better-financed competitors."

Sprint Nextel's tangible book value is -$9.27 billion, so we have another yellow flag.

By the way, I asked Heiserman about the tendency for some large-cap blue chips -- names like Procter & Gamble, IBM, and Altria -- to have a high intangible assets ratio and negative tangible book value. He says this can be OK, provided the company has (1) modest or no net debt, (2) persistent and rising levels of free cash flow, and (3) stock buybacks at a discount to intrinsic value.

Foolish bottom line
To recap, here are Sprint Nextel's numbers, as well as a bonus look at a few other companies in its industry.

Company

Intangible Assets Ratio

Tangible Book Value (Millions)

Sprint Nextel 46% ($9,267)
AT&T (NYSE: T  ) 49% ($19,241)
Vodafone Group (Nasdaq: VOD  ) 45% $30,490
Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ  ) 46% ($63,228)

Data provided by Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

If you own Sprint Nextel, or any other company that fails one of these checks, make sure you understand the business model and management's objectives. You can never base an entire investment thesis on one or two metrics, but there is a yellow flag here. I'll help you keep a close eye on these ratios over the next few quarters by updating them soon after each earnings report.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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Fool analyst Rex Moore owns shares of Procter & Gamble, but no other companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares of Altria Group and IBM. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Procter & Gamble, Vodafone Group, and AT&T. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 07, 2011, at 3:15 PM, Aryabod wrote:

    Do you honestly think your anology with AOL/Time Warner makes any sense when associating it with Sprint.

    While Sprint was having difficulty it still continued to generate respectable cash flow. At the same time it paid down close to $4 billion of its debt over the course of five quarters. All this was done while maintaining $4.3 billion in cash and a $900 million credit line at the end of last quarter.

    No matter how we look at it Sprint Still has better 3G/4G infrastructure than ATT. Its lack of an iPhone was, and I emphasize WAS, a major liability, however thanks to numerous Android smartphones that have been launched in the latter year Sprint's line up IMHO is no less than anything offered by its national competitiors. Nevertheless, having the iPhone will no doubt benefit Sprint, and for that matter Apple when they do eventually get the iPhone, which many assume will be this fall.

    Now let us look at what Sprint has done in the latter 18 months. It purchased iPCS and Virgin Mobile, added 135 million POPS of 4G, added 4 million subscribers while paying down $4 billion in debt leaving it with $4.3 billion in cash as of Q2 11.

    At the end of Q2 2011 Sprint had 52 million subscriber as to TMobile's 33 million. Sprint also had more than 10 million Post Paid subscribers than TMobile. Sprint also added over a million subscribers in Q2 while TMo had a net loss.

    Now let us do a little calculus using the ATT and Tmobile merger. If TMobile with 33 million subs and limited spectrum is worth $39 billion then what would Sprint be worth? Let us discount Sprint's net debt of $15 billion to put them on a level field. With this done, we would have $24 billion left. We also should note that all spectrum is not the same, hence assuming lower range radio frequencies have better coverage. All in all Sprint's 800, 1900 and 2500 Mhz spectrum is substantially better than TMobile's. They also have better Post Paid subscribers, in quality and numbers. Unlike TMo, Sprint currently has 135 million POPS of real 4G infrastructure (802.16e) that can be easily upgraded without disrupting their legacy Wimax 4G.

    Even if we don't include many of Sprint's advantages over TMo, such as spectrum holdings, Post Paid and Pre Paid subscribers, coverage and line up of phones. Sprint's current market cap of $11 billion just doesn't make sense.

    Notwithstanding the aforementioned, Sprint's future looks very bright. Their 'Network Vision' has already addressed how they intend to upgrade their networks and lower their operating expenses. This with the growth expected in demand for data, which according to Cisco, " Global mobile data traffic will increase 26-fold between 2010 and 2015. Mobile data traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 92 percent from 2010 to 2015, reaching 6.3 exabytes per month by 2015," speaks aplenty and with the finite aspect of spectrum and the necessary capital investments needed to compete in this sphere I just don't see any game changing events other than positive effects from M&A in the near future.

    On anther note, I for one don't think the AT&T/TMo merger will pass the FCC and Dept of Justice without major concessions, especially when the talk of the town is an impending recession, which obviously entails inevitable layoffs.

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