Last week, the Federal Reserve raised short-term rates for the first time since 2023. (Longer-term rates, like the 10-year Treasury yield, move with what bond traders expect from the Fed and inflation.) This week, hot business data and rising oil prices raised inflation risk, prompting traders to expect more hikes. The 10-year yield jumped to 5.113% on Wednesday, its highest since July 2007. A month ago, traders put October hike odds under 10%. By Thursday, the CME FedWatch tool put them near 70%.
- Homebuyers feel it: The average 30-year mortgage rate jumped to 7.12%, its highest since May 2024.
- Car loans cost more, too: At used-car retailer CarMax (NYSE:KMX), elevated prices and rising rates keep buyers on the sidelines. CarMax has cut corporate jobs three times in under a year. The Team Rule Breakers recommendation is currently in the Stock Advisor Penalty Box, our version of a hold.
- A Foolish portfolio perspective: Do the companies in your portfolio bring in more cash than they spend? Borrowing to fill a gap costs more now. Do profits comfortably cover the company’s interest bill? If your companies sell to borrowers, rates may work against them for a while.